The UFC Vegas 113 prelims feature a bantamweight clash between Muin Gafurov and Jakub Wiklacz. This three round battle pits the Tajik wrestler against the Polish submission specialist in a grappling-heavy matchup at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Gafurov opens as a -145 favorite, with Wiklacz at +120 as the underdog. This bantamweight bout could position the winner for continued advancement in a deep division.
Here’s how we’re betting UFC Vegas 113: Gafurov vs Wiklacz, including our UFC predictions, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.
Mini Fight Info Strip
Event: UFC Vegas 113 – UFC Apex
Weight class: UFC Bantamweight bout
Fight length: 3-round prelim bout
Date & time: Saturday, February 7, 2026 – Prelims: 06:00 p.m. ET, walk time ~06:40 p.m. ET
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Odds updated: February 6, 2026 – 4:50 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins or late injury news.
Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know
Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Gafurov vs Wiklacz.
Tale Of The Tape
Muin Gafurov
Jakub Wiklacz
Record
20-6
17-3-2
Age
29
29
Height
5’7″
5’10”
Reach
68″
72″
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
Sig. Strikes Landed
2.89
3.07
Striking Accuracy
45%
55%
Takedowns
1.47
0.00
Takedown Defense
70%
28%
Submission Avg.
0.0
3.0
Wiklacz holds advantages in height, reach, striking volume, striking accuracy, and elite submission threat. Gafurov counters with superior striking defense, damage avoidance, takedown volume, and significantly better takedown defense.
Fighter Breakdown – Muin Gafurov Analysis
Gafurov comes in with a 20-6 record bringing wrestling-based approach to the bantamweight division. The 29 year old Tajik fighter is a control-oriented grappler with solid defensive metrics.
Strengths: Superior striking defense (52%). Outstanding damage avoidance. Better takedown volume (1.47 per fight). Significantly superior takedown defense (70%). Wrestling-based control approach. Experience against varied competition.
Betting Angles: Gafurov’s -145 moneyline offers minimal value despite wrestling advantages. Gafurov by Decision (+210) requires banking control time. Fight goes distance ( -110) aligns with both fighters’ recent history.
Wiklacz brings a 17-3-2 record with elite submission skills and superior physical attributes. The 29 year old Polish fighter is a dangerous grappler with exceptional finishing ability.
Strengths: Massive height (5’10”) and reach (72″) advantages. Superior striking volume (3.07 per minute). Better striking accuracy (55%). Elite submission threat (3.0 attempts per fight). Physical advantages at bantamweight. Finishing ability.
Weaknesses: Terrible takedown defense (28%). Zero wrestling offense. No takedown accuracy (0%). Poor striking defense (36%). Higher damage absorption (2.47 per minute).
Betting Angles: Wiklacz’s +120 moneyline offers value based on submission threat. Wiklacz by Submission (+290) provides solid value given elite attempts.
Both fighters’ contrasting styles and defensive capabilities suggest this reaches the judges despite Wiklacz’s submission threat. Gafurov’s superior takedown defense (70%) and exceptional damage avoidance keep him safe from Wiklacz’s primary finishing weapons. While Wiklacz threatens 3.0 submissions per fight, Gafurov’s wrestling-based approach and defensive awareness minimize submission danger.
From the striking perspective, both fighters possess limited knockout power. At -102 (implied 51.4%), we project this goes the distance around 60-65% of the time, offering solid value. The near pick’em odds on the distance prop reflect uncertainty, but the defensive metrics and fighting styles favor survival.
Wiklacz’s superior physical attributes and striking accuracy create a path to decision victory if he can neutralize Gafurov’s wrestling. The Polish fighter’s massive height and reach advantages allow him to control distance and land cleaner strikes from range, banking rounds with effective striking.
Judges favor effective striking and octagon control. Wiklacz’s physical advantages allow him to implement both. At +390 (implied 20.4%), this offers excellent payout if Wiklacz’s physical advantages overcome Gafurov’s wrestling. This represents the underdog path to victory that creates value.
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Small stake only. Wiklacz’s elite 3.0 submission attempts per fight create legitimate finishing opportunities against any opponent. If Gafurov’s poor takedown accuracy (26%) leads to failed attempts where Wiklacz reverses position or Gafurov gets stuck in disadvantageous positions, the Polish fighter’s submission skills become immediately dangerous.
The stylistic clash creates potential for scrambles. Even one successful submission attempt could end the fight. At +300 (implied 25%), this offers solid payout for Wiklacz’s most dangerous weapon. However, Gafurov’s defensive awareness suggests he manages risks well. Keep stakes at 0.25 units maximum.
Prediction – Final Verdict
Official pick: Jakub Wiklacz by Unanimous Decision
We are backing Wiklacz to secure a unanimous decision victory, likely 29-28 on the scorecards. The Polish fighter’s superior physical attributes and striking accuracy should overcome Gafurov’s wrestling advantages over three rounds.
Wiklacz should establish range control immediately with his massive height and reach advantages. Hi’s superior striking accuracy and slightly better volume should accumulate points early. Gafurov will attempt to implement his wrestling gameplan, shooting takedowns to neutralize Wiklacz’s striking advantages and bank control time. However, his poor 26% takedown accuracy means most attempts fail, and even successful takedowns against Wiklacz’s terrible 28% defense don’t guarantee sustained control.
Gafurov may steal a round with successful wrestling control, particularly if he can implement his gameplan early. However, Wiklacz’s superior striking and physical advantages should win the majority of rounds. We see the decision being competitive but clear.
How to Bet UFC Vegas 113: Tips for This Card
Beyond the bantamweight prelim bout, UFC Vegas 113 offers several compelling matchups that create both opportunities and traps for bettors.
Card Tips:
Wiklacz’s 3-inch height and 4-inch reach create significant striking advantages when skills are comparable. Size matters at lower weight classes.
Volume wins decisions. Ketlen Souza’s 4.56 strikes per minute vs Bruna Brasil’s 2.66 creates massive activity differential. UFC Apex judges favor aggression and output without crowd influence.
Mario Bautista’s volume approach becomes more effective over 25 minutes. Championship rounds favor high-output fighters.
UFC Vegas 113 Fight Card
Main Card (09:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)
Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira – Bantamweight bout, 5 rounds
Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi – Flyweight bout, 3 rounds
Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev – Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds
Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Middleweight bout, 3 rounds
Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker – Light Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds
Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)
Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko – Welterweight bout, 3 rounds
Nikolay Veretennikov vs Niko Price – Welterweight bout, 3 rounds
Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza – Women’s Strawweight bout, 3 rounds
Said Nurmagomedov vs Javid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura – Women’s Flyweight bout, 3 rounds
Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
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