UFC 324 features a critical women’s flyweight bout between rising contender Natalia Silva and former two-time strawweight champion Rose Namajunas. Silva looks to extend her perfect 7-0 UFC record with wins over Alexa Grasso and Jessica Andrade, while Namajunas seeks a statement victory to earn her promised title shot. This 3-round main card fight could determine the next challenger for the 125-pound belt.
Silva brings a 19-5-1 record and has won 12 straight fights across all promotions with recent decision victories over former champion Andrade. Namajunas enters with a 14-7 record and is 3-2 in her last five, most recently defeating Miranda Maverick. Silva is around a -425 favorite with Namajunas at roughly +310 as the underdog.
Here’s how we’re betting UFC 324: Silva vs Namajunas, including our UFC predictions, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.
Mini Fight Info Strip
Event: UFC 324 – T-Mobile Arena
Weight class: Women’s Flyweight bout
Fight length: 3-round main card fight
Date & time: Saturday, January 24, 2026 – Main card 9:00 p.m. ET, walk time ~09:30 p.m. ET
21+. AZ/CO/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA/MD/MA/MI/NJ/OH/PA/TN/ VA/WV/WY only. Offer not available in DC/MS/NV/NY/PR. New customers only. Qualifying deposit (min $10) and first real money wager required. If qualifying bet settles as a loss, user is refunded 100% in non-withdrawable bonus bets up to $1,500. Full T&Cs can be found on betmgm.com.
Odds updated: January 22, 2026 – 12:00 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins or late injury news.
Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know
Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Silva vs Namajunas.
Tale Of The Tape
Natalia Silva
Rose Namajunas
Record
19-5-1
15-7
Age
28
33
Height
5’4″
5’5″
Weight
125 lbs
125 lbs
Reach
65″
65″
Stance
Southpaw
Orthodox
Significant Strikes Landed
5.04
3.60
Striking Accuracy
46%
41%
Takedowns
0.34
1.49
Takedown Defense
92%
62%
Submission Average
0.0
0.4
Silva holds advantages in youth, and striking volume while Namajunas has superior submission average. Both fighters have identical reach and similar striking accuracy. The five-year age gap favors Silva’s pace and cardio. Neither has a significant physical edge, making technique and game planning very important.
Fighter Breakdown – Natalia Silva Analysis
Silva comes in with a 19-5-1 record including recent decision victories over Jessica Andrade and Viviane Araujo. The 28 year old Brazilian is ranked #2 in the women’s flyweight division and has been perfect in the UFC at 7-0.
Strengths: Excellent speed and footwork with elite cardio for three rounds. Strong offensive wrestling (0.34 TD/15min). Well-rounded striking with Taekwondo background. Never been stopped in 25 professional fights. Riding 12-fight winning streak.
Weaknesses: Hasn’t faced a better grappler than Namajunas. Can be hit in extended exchanges. Hasn’t faced many elite strikers in UFC. First time fighting a former multi-time champion.
Betting Angles: Silva’s -425 moneyline is steep but reasonable given her form. Silva by Decision (-180) is our primary play as Namajunas is durable. Fight goes the distance (-400) also appeals given both fighters’ recent decision trends.
Fighter Breakdown – Rose Namajunas Analysis
Namajunas brings a 14-7 record with victories over Miranda Maverick, Tracy Cortez and Amanda Ribas in her flyweight run. The 33 year old former two-time UFC strawweight champion is one of the sport’s most technical strikers with championship experience.
Strengths: Elite striking technique and fight IQ. Former two-time UFC champion with big-fight experience. Strong submission defense and grappling credentials. Excellent takedown defense. Five career submission wins show grappling threat. Mental toughness from wars with Weili Zhang and Joanna Jedrzejczyk.
Weaknesses: Age 33 with significant mileage from title reigns. Moving up from strawweight means facing bigger, stronger opponents. Lost to elite flyweights like Erin Blanchfield and Manon Fiorot. Speed disadvantage against younger, quicker Silva.
Betting Angles: Namajunas’ +310 moneyline offers value for her championship pedigree. Namajunas by Decision (+480) is interesting if she can neutralize Silva’s speed with technique. Fight goes the distance is most likely outcome.
Silva wins this fight, but Namajunas is far too durable and experienced to be finished. Rose has only been stopped twice in 21 UFC fights, both by slams or head kick knockouts from elite strikers. Silva’s game is built on volume, movement and cardio rather than one-punch power. We see Silva controlling range for three rounds, landing more strikes and mixing in occasional takedowns to win a clear 30-27 or 29-28 decision. At -180 (implied 64.3%), we think this hits around 70% of the time, offering solid value.
Both fighters have gone to decision in their last five combined fights at a high rate. Silva has gone the distance in 4 of her last 5, while Namajunas has done so in all of her last 5 fights. Neither possesses devastating finishing power, and both have elite cardio. At -400 (implied 80%), we think this hits closer to 85%, making it a slight value play even at a steep price for parlay building.
21+ and present in AZ/CO/CT/IA/IL/IN/KS/LA (permitted parishes only) /MA/MD/MI/NJ/NY/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY. Minimum $10 first deposit required. Promotion Bonus will be credited to your account within 72 hours settlement of Qualifying Wager. First online real money wager only (minimum $5). Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expires in 14 days. Bonus bets and NFL Sunday Ticket code will be issued within 72 hours of bet placement. See full terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com.
Small stake only. While unlikely, Namajunas has five career submission wins and excellent grappling credentials. If Silva shoots reckless takedowns and Namajunas can secure position, a rear-naked choke or armbar is possible. Silva’s 63% takedown defense could create scrambles where Rose’s technique shines. At 18-1, this offers massive payout for a specific but plausible scenario. Keep stakes at 0.25 units maximum.
Prediction – Final Verdict
Official pick: Natalia Silva by Unanimous Decision
We are backing Silva to win a unanimous decision. Her speed, youth and activity should overwhelm the veteran Namajunas over three rounds. Silva will most likely use her footwork to circle away from danger, land combinations, and mix in takedowns to control rounds.
Namajunas will have moments with her technical striking, but Silva’s pace and cardio should prove too much. With a win over a former champion, this should solidify Silva’s claim and earns her the promised title shot against Valentina Shevchenko.
How to Bet UFC 324: Tips for This Card
Beyond the Silva-Namajunas bout, UFC 324 offers several compelling matchups that create both opportunities and traps for bettors.
Card Tips:
Namajunas was promised a title shot with a win, adding extra motivation. Consider whether that pressure helps or hurts her performance.
Both fighters excel in decisions over finishes. Decision props and “Fight goes the distance” offer strong value across the women’s flyweight division.
Derrick Lewis vs Waldo Cortes-Acostais pure finish hunting. Consider “Fight doesn’t go the distance” props heavily.
I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
mma 
