UFC Vegas 114’s main card features a featherweight clash between veteran Andre Fili and rising prospect Jose Miguel Delgado. This 3-round bout pits the experienced 35-year-old American against the explosive 27-year-old switch-stance finisher at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Delgado opens as a -350 favorite, with Fili at +275 as a heavy underdog. This featherweight matchup could be a statement fight for Delgado as he looks to announce himself on the main card stage, while Fili desperately needs a win to keep his UFC career alive.
Here’s how we’re betting UFC Vegas 114: Fili vs Delgado, including our UFC predictions, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.
Mini Fight Info Strip
Event: UFC Vegas 114
Weight class: UFC Featherweight bout
Fight length: 3-round main card fight
Date & time: March 14, 2026 – Main card 10:00 p.m. ET, walk time ~11:25 p.m. ET
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Odds updated: March 12, 2026 – 10:00 PM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins.
Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know
Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Fili vs Delgado.
Andre Fili
Jose Delgado
Record
25-12-0 (1 NC)
10-2-0
Age
35
27
Height
5’11”
5’11”
Reach
74″
74″
Stance
Orthodox
Switch
Sig. Strikes Landed
3.87
8.22
Striking Accuracy
37%
54%
Strikes Absorbed
4.23
5.44
Striking Defense
51%
47%
Takedowns
2.22
1.81
Takedown Accuracy
45%
42%
Takedown Defense
71%
60%
Submission Avg.
0.2
0.0
Delgado holds a staggering advantage in striking volume at 8.22 significant strikes landed per minute with far superior accuracy. Fili counters with better striking defense and takedown defense, but the offensive output gap is enormous. Identical height and reach make this a pure skills matchup with no physical advantages to lean on.
Fighter Breakdown – Andre Fili Analysis
Fili comes in with a 25-12-0 record (1 NC) as one of the veteran fighters on the UFC roster. The 35 year -old Sacramento native has been in competitive fights throughout his career but has struggled to string together wins at this stage, losing four of his last six.
Strengths: Durable veteran who has seen every style across 37 professional fights. Solid striking defense at 51%. Respectable takedown defense at 71% to counter any wrestling attempts. Switch-hitting experience means he’s seen awkward stances before. Capable submission threat with a 0.2 average.
Weaknesses: Losing four of his last six fights signals serious decline. Poor striking accuracy at 37%. Absorbs 4.23 significant strikes per minute, a concerning number against Delgado’s volume. Age 35 is a real factor at featherweight against a 27 year old. Vastly outgunned in offensive striking output.
Betting Angles: Fili by Decision (+550) offers lottery ticket value if he somehow survives and grinds out a tactical upset.
Delgado brings a 10-2-0 record and looks every bit like a future contender based on his statistical profile. The 27 year old switch-stance fighter has elite-level offensive output by any measure.
Strengths: Extraordinary striking volume at 8.22 significant strikes per minute. Excellent striking accuracy at 54% while throwing at that volume. Switch stance creates constant adjustment problems for opponents. 8 year age advantage over Fili. Strong finishing ability.
Weaknesses: Only 60% takedown defense leaves him vulnerable to wrestling if Fili commits early. Absorbs 5.44 significant strikes per minute. Limited UFC experience at just 12 professional fights. Submission defense untested against a grappler with Fili’s experience.
Betting Angles: Delgado by KO/TKO (+110) is our best bet and primary play. Fight doesn’t go distance (-270) offers solid value given the pace both fighters bring.
Getting plus money on a heavy favorite to finish by stoppage is exceptional value. Delgado’s 8.22 significant strikes per minute against Fili’s 51% striking defense creates an unsustainable punishment rate.
Delgado’s 54% accuracy at extreme volume means he lands clean shots in bunches. Fili has been stopped before and his 4.23 strikes absorbed per minute baseline will be shattered against Delgado’s output. At +110 (implied 47.6%), we project this outcome closer to 55-60%, making this one of the cleaner value plays on the card.
Both fighters produce high-action exchanges and neither is built for boring decisions. Delgado’s offensive output virtually guarantees damage accumulation, and Fili’s aggressive style means he won’t survive by running. Between Delgado’s power and Fili’s own willingness to trade, three clean rounds feels unlikely.
At -270 (implied 73%), this is strong but justified value. The pace these two create together almost demands a stoppage.
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Small stake only. Fili has 10 career KO/TKO wins and Delgado absorbs 5.44 strikes per minute. If Fili lands a clean counter early in round one before the pace overwhelms him, there is a real finishing scenario. At +700 (implied 12.5%), even a small stake returns well for the upset. Keep stakes at 0.5 units maximum.
Prediction – Final Verdict
Official Pick: Jose Delgado by KO/TKO
We are backing Delgado to make a statement with a finish, likely in rounds one or two. Fili will be game early and look to land the counter right hand that has served him throughout his career. But Delgado’s volume and accuracy should begin to overwhelm him quickly.
The numbers tell the story here. Delgado lands 8.22 significant strikes per minute at 54% accuracy. Fili absorbs 4.23 per minute against opponents who aren’t remotely as active as Delgado. The math points to a short night for the veteran.
Fili’s durability may extend things into round two, but we don’t see a path to round three. This fight announces Delgado as a legitimate name in the featherweight division.
How to Bet UFC Vegas 114: Tips for This Card
Card Tips:
Delgado’s 8.22 strikes per minute is among the highest output of any fighter on this card
Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos headlines with a 17-year age gap in the main event.
Ion Cuțelaba vs Oumar Sy offers explosive knockout potential at light heavyweight.
UFC Vegas 114 Fight Card
Main Card (10:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)
Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos — Featherweight bout, 5 rounds
I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
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