Not every UFC fighter becomes a household name, even after years of competition. Some athletes toil away on prelim cards, building respectable records without ever capturing mainstream attention. They win some, lose some, and provide solid matchups for prospects climbing the ladder. The featherweight division is packed with these journeymen fighters who keep the UFC machine running smoothly. The Ricardo Ramos vs Kaan Ofli fight represents that.
This bout represents a crossroads for both men, although at different stages of their careers. One veteran has survived years in the world’s toughest organization despite a mediocre record. The other newcomer has already stumbled twice and faces potential release with another loss. Brazilian fans will expect their countryman, Ramos to handle business efficiently and move forward. Turkish supporters hope their fighter can pull off a win that saves his UFC career.
Ricardo Ramos stands at 5’9″ tall with a 72 inch reach. He lands 2.97 significant strikes per minute with just 36% accuracy. On defense, Ramos absorbs 4.06 strikes per minute, which is concerning for a fighter trying to climb the rankings. His 54% striking defense is mediocre at best.
Where Ramos truly separates himself is his grappling game. He averages 2.57 takedowns per fight with an impressive 57% accuracy. His 70% takedown defense demonstrates solid balance and sprawling technique. Ramos also hunts for submissions, averaging 0.7 attempts per fight. He’s finished multiple opponents by submission throughout his career, proving dangerous once fights hit the canvas.
Kaan Ofli (12-4-1) stands just 5’7″ tall with a 66 inch reach. He lands only 2.00 significant strikes per minute with 45% accuracy. However, his accuracy is notably better than Ramos at 45% versus 36%. On defense, Ofli absorbs 2.93 strikes per minute, which is significantly better than Ramos’s 4.06. His 60% striking defense also edges Ramos’s 54%.
The grappling statistics reveal Ofli’s glaring weakness. He averages zero takedowns per fight with 0% accuracy and 0% takedown defense. Those zeros are alarming. His submission average also reads zero. This complete absence of grappling ability creates massive problems against someone who actively pursues takedowns.
The bookmakers have made their decision on this matchup. According to FanDuel, they have installed Ricardo Ramos as a clear favorite at -194. Meanwhile, Kaan Ofli returns at +148 underdog. Those odds reflect the physical and stylistic advantages Ramos enjoys.
The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at -110. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is higher and the odds (-116) reflect that.
This fight presents a classic grappler versus striker matchup where the grappler holds every advantage. Ofli’s only path to victory involves knocking Ramos out cold before any grappling exchanges occur. His low output of two strikes per minute makes that outcome unlikely. Ramos doesn’t need to engage in risky striking battles. He can simply shoot takedowns repeatedly until one succeeds.
The six-inch reach disadvantage Ofli faces makes controlling distance nearly impossible. Ramos can pepper him with jabs while staying outside Ofli’s punching range. When Ramos decides to close distance, Ofli lacks the wrestling to stop takedowns. Once on the ground, Ramos’s submission game becomes extremely dangerous. Ofli has shown zero grappling acumen throughout his career, suggesting he’s never trained extensively in that area.
If we bet on the fight,we are going with Ricardo Ramos to win via submission.
(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)
(Image Credit: Scott Wachter – Imagn Images)
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