Golden Boy Promotions presents a highly anticipated rematch between rising junior featherweight prospects Manuel Flores and Jorge Chavez at Acrisure Arena in Palm Desert, California. The 10-round super bantamweight bout is a rematch of their controversial July 2025 majority draw.
Flores enters with a 20-1-1 record including 16 knockouts, having fought to a majority draw in their first meeting after a 5 fight knockout streak. Chavez comes in undefeated at 14-0-1 with 8 knockouts, also coming off the draw. Flores enters at essentially pick’em odds at -102 with Chavez now favored at -130.
Here’s how we’re betting Flores vs Chavez 2, including our boxing predictions, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.
Mini Fight Info Strip
Event: Rocha vs. Curiel II – Golden Boy Fight Night
Weight class: Junior Featherweight / Super Bantamweight (122 lbs)
Fight length: 10 rounds
Date & time: Friday, January 16, 2026 – 9:00 p.m. ET / 6:00 p.m. PT (Main card), Ringwalks ~10:30 p.m. ET / 7:30 p.m. PT
21+ and present in AZ/CO/CT/IA/IL/IN/KS/LA (permitted parishes only) /MA/MD/MI/NJ/NY/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY. Minimum $10 first deposit required. Promotion Bonus will be credited to your account within 72 hours settlement of Qualifying Wager. First online real money wager only (minimum $5). Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expires in 14 days. Bonus bets and NFL Sunday Ticket code will be issued within 72 hours of bet placement. See full terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com.
Odds updated: January 15, 2026 – 8:30 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins.
Tale of the Tape – Key Stats To Know
Tale Of The Tape
Manuel Flores
Jorge Chavez
Record
20-1-1
14-0-1
Age
27
25
Height
5’7″
5’6″
Reach
68″
69″
Stance
Southpaw
Orthodox
Weight Class
122 lbs
122 lbs
KO/TKO Wins
16
8
KO/TKO Percentage
80%
57%
Pro Debut
2017
2021
Rounds Boxed
~88
~85
Flores holds advantages in experience, knockout percentage, and knockout power. Chavez counters with youth, undefeated record (only the draw), reach advantage, and orthodox vs southpaw stance matchup.
Fighter Breakdown – Manuel Flores Analysis
Flores brings a 20-1-1 record with 16 knockouts including a controversial majority draw against Chavez in their July 2025 meeting. The 27 year old trains at Diaz Training Camp under Joel and Antonio Diaz.
Strengths: Elite knockout percentage (80%) shows devastating finishing ability. 5 fight knockout streak before the draw demonstrated elite form. Trains alongside world champions Israil Madrimov and Murodjon Akhmadaliev. Southpaw stance creates difficult angles against orthodox fighters. Superior striking volume overwhelms opponents. Performance improved dramatically in rounds 7-9 of first fight. Elite cardio maintains pace late in fights.
Weaknesses: Lone professional loss to Walter Santibanes in 2023. Controversial draw suggests judges didn’t clearly favor his volume approach. Gave too much respect early in first fight allowing Chavez to establish rhythm. Tends to start slow before finding rhythm. Lower power shots compared to Chavez’s heavier hands.
Betting Angles: Flores’s path runs through establishing his jab early, utilizing superior volume striking, and maintaining constant pressure throughout 10 rounds. His 80% knockout rate creates finishing opportunities, but the first fight showed Chavez’s durability. At -102, he offers slight value, though the line has moved significantly toward Chavez since opening.
Fighter Breakdown – Jorge Chavez Analysis
Chavez brings a 14-0-1 record with 8 knockouts including the majority draw where one judge scored the fight 97-93 in his favor. The 25 year old from Tijuana trains under Hector Lopez in Santa Ana alongside top talent.
Strengths: Undefeated record (only one draw) shows consistency. Superior power punching lands heavier shots. Won early rounds of first fight with defining punches. Reach advantage helps establish jab. Orthodox stance vs southpaw creates favorable angles. Strong chin absorbed Flores’s volume in first fight. One judge clearly favored him (97-93) in first meeting.
Weaknesses: Lower knockout percentage (57%) compared to Flores. Less professional experience with seven fewer fights. Faded in rounds 7-9 of first fight as Flores rose. Lower volume output allows opponents to dictate pace. Four of last five fights went to decision showing declining finishing rate.
Betting Angles: Chavez’s path requires establishing power shots early, controlling first half of fight, and weathering Flores’s late surge better than the first meeting. His heavier hands create knockout opportunities, but his cardio questions late are concerning. At -130 (now the favorite), the betting line has shifted dramatically in his favor, suggesting sharp money believes his power shots swayed judges more than Flores’s volume in their first meeting.
At -300, this bet carries a 75% implied probability, but we believe this fight goes the distance closer to 85-90% of the time based on both fighters’ profiles. Neither fighter has been stopped professionally in a combined 37 fights, and their first meeting went the full 10 rounds with both showing excellent durability. Flores’s 5 fight knockout streak came against lesser opposition than Chavez, while Chavez’s recent fights have mostly gone to decision.
21+ and present in AZ/CO/CT/IA/IL/IN/KS/LA (permitted parishes only) /MA/MD/MI/NJ/NY/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY. Minimum $10 first deposit required. Promotion Bonus will be credited to your account within 72 hours settlement of Qualifying Wager. First online real money wager only (minimum $5). Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expires in 14 days. Bonus bets and NFL Sunday Ticket code will be issued within 72 hours of bet placement. See full terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com.
This offers excellent value given the competitive nature of their first fight. Chavez enters at -130 on the moneyline, and his decision prop at +115 is practically even money. One judge scored their first fight 97-93 for Chavez, proving his power shots impressed officials. If Chavez improves his late-round cardio and maintains his early-round success throughout 10 rounds, his heavier punching could sway judges.
Small stake only, 0.5 units maximum. Flores’s superior cardio and volume striking create a legitimate path to decision victory. His relentless pace and championship conditioning should manifest late, allowing him to win rounds 7-10 clearly. At +230, this offers strong underdog value for a fighter who nearly won their first meeting and whose southpaw volume approach could steal rounds on scorecards despite Chavez landing heavier shots.
Prediction – Final Verdict
Official pick: Jorge Chavez by Decision
We are backing Chavez to capture the decision victory in this highly competitive rematch. The significant line movement from Flores to Chavez suggests sharp bettors believe Chavez’s power shots and early round success will sway judges more than Flores’s late round volume. Chavez should establish his power punching early, land his heavier right hand consistently, and control rounds 1-5.
Flores’s superior cardio and volume striking will manifest in championship rounds, likely winning rounds 6-10 on at least one scorecard as his output increases while Chavez’s power and volume decline. However, judges often favor the fighter who lands cleaner, heavier shots over volume punchers, especially in close rounds. The one judge who scored their first fight 97-93 for Chavez demonstrates how much his power impressed officials.
We see a closely contested fight with Chavez winning rounds 1-4 clearly, Flores surging in rounds 7-9, and the middle rounds (5-6) being competitive swing rounds. The scorecards will be tight; likely 96-94 Chavez, 96-94 Flores, and 97-93 Chavez for a decision victory. Chavez’s power punching and cleaner landing should prove decisive over Flores’s volume approach.
However, given both fighters’ durability and the fight going the distance at -300, that remains our primary betting recommendation despite predicting a Chavez decision victory.
How to Watch Flores vs. Chavez 2
Broadcast: DAZN (Worldwide)
Start Time:
9:00 p.m. ET / 6:00 p.m. PT (Main Card)
10:30 p.m. ET / 7:30 p.m. PT (Expected Ringwalks for Flores vs Chavez)
DAZN Subscription Options:
DAZN Standard – Access to 185+ fights annually
DAZN Ultimate – Includes all PPV events (this is not a PPV event)
Full Fight Card
Main Card (DAZN) – 9:00 p.m. ET / 6:00 p.m. PT
Main Event: Alexis Rocha vs. Raul Curiel II – WBC/NABF Welterweight titles, 12 rounds
Co-Main: Manuel Flores vs. Jorge Chavez II – Junior Featherweight bout, 10 rounds
John “Scrappy” Ramirez (15-1, 9 KOs) vs. Byron Rojas (29-5-3, 12 KOs) – Bantamweight bout, 10 rounds
Jordan Panthen (11-1, 9 KOs) vs. Jean Rivera-Pacheco (10-2, 1 KO) – Welterweight bout, 10 rounds
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