June 2, 2022; Paris, France; Coco Gauff (USA) celebrates winning her semifinal match against Martina Trevisan (ITA) on day 12 of the French Open at Stade Roland-Garros.

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Coco Gauff vs. Jasmine Paolini Head to Head Record, Prediction and Betting Odds for WTA Italian Open 2025 Final

Monumental summit clash at the Eternal City!

June 2, 2022; Paris, France; Coco Gauff (USA) celebrates winning her semifinal match against Martina Trevisan (ITA) on day 12 of the French Open at Stade Roland-Garros.

Coco Gauff is set to take on Jasmine Paolini in the women’s singles final of the 2025 Internazionali BNL d’Italia on Saturday. While the No. 4 seeded American has a higher ranking, Italy’s Paolini will have her home fans cheering her on. Both players had to overcome adversity in order to reach the summit clash, and will attempt to claim their first trophy at the Italian capital.

Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Preview

Coco Gauff came through a marathon semifinal against Olympic gold medalist Zheng Qinwen on Thursday night. The 21-year-old required three and a half hours to emerge victorious in a deciding set tiebreak. A former Roland Garros runner-up, Gauff has a 6-2 clay court record in 2025. Her incredible return of serve and solid defensive prowess are tailor-made for this surface. The 2023 US Open winner defeated Mboko, Linette, Raducanu, Andreeva and Qinwen en route to the final.

The Italian Open has yet to see a local women’s singles winner since 1985. Additionally, it had been over a decade since an Italian woman reached the final here in Rome. Jasmine Paolini will be carrying the weight of an entire nation on her shoulders on Saturday. The 29-year-old reached two Grand Slam finals last year, which has self-admittedly strengthened her mindset in 2025. With a 9-2 clay court record this year and 51% break point conversion rate, Paolini’s run to the final is hardly surprising.

Paolini-Gauff al Wta Roma, dove vedere in tv e streaming #SkySport #SkyTennis https://t.co/mRQhTzrEP7
— skysport (@SkySport) May 16, 2025

Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Head to Head Record

Coco Gauff leads the head-to-head vs Jasmine Paolini by a 2-1 margin. However, the Italian won their most recent encounter in 2025.

The first meeting between these two stars was at Adelaide in 2021. Gauff prevailed in three sets to gain the upper hand in the rivalry. Two years later, the World No. 3 produced a more polished performance to down Paolini in straight sets. After another two year gap, the 2024 Roland Garros finalist was able to halve her deficit by thrashing Gauff in the Stuttgart quarterfinal.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Stuttgart	Quarterfinal	Jasmine Paolini	6-4 6-3
2023 Cincinnati	Quarterfinal	Coco Gauff	6-3 6-2
2021 Adelaide	Round-1	Coco Gauff	6-4 6-7(4) 6-2

Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Career Comparison

Coco Gauff	Category	Jasmine Paolini
1	Grand Slams	0
9	WTA Singles Titles	2
9	WTA Doubles Titles	7
2	WTA-1000 Titles	1
R3 (Paris 2024)	Olympics Best Performance	R3 (Paris 2024)
No. 3	Current World Ranking	No. 5

Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Italian Open 2025 Prediction

Both players will feel comfortable and confident to capture the trophy on Saturday. While Gauff enjoys the slower courts in Rome with high density in the air, Paolini will expect the crowd to give her the extra push. The American is 1-2 in clay court finals; her Italian counterpart is yet to win a singles title on the red dirt. There will be plenty of cross court exchanges, and both players will attack second serves. With every single match in this rivalry so far going to whoever wins the opening set, early momentum will be the key on Saturday.

Prediction: Jasmine Paolini in three sets.

Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini Italian Open 2025 Betting Odds

Gauff has a narrow edge in the pre-match odds. The American is emerging with a 68% chance of grabbing the championship in Roma Italia. However, the markets are beginning to show more fluctuations than initially expected.

Coco Gauff Win: -200

Jasmine Paolini Win: +155

(According to BetMGM)

Betting

Coco Gauff

Italian Open

Jasmine Paolini

Rome Masters

Tennis

WTA

WTA 1000

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.