UFC Vegas 113’s main card features a middleweight clash between Michal Oleksiejczuk and Marc-Andre Barriault. This three round battle pits the Polish power striker against the Canadian brawler in an action-packed matchup at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Oleksiejczuk opens as a massive -500 favorite, with Barriault at +360 as the underdog. This middleweight bout promises fireworks with both fighters known for aggressive striking and finishing ability.
Here’s how we’re betting UFC Vegas 113: Oleksiejczuk vs Barriault, including our UFC predictions, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.
Mini Fight Info Strip
Event: UFC Vegas 113 – UFC Apex
Weight class: UFC Middleweight bout
Fight length: 3-round main card bout
Date & time: Saturday, February 7, 2026 – Main card: 09:00 p.m. ET, walk time ~10:00: p.m. ET
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Odds updated: February 5, 2026 – 04:20 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins or late injury news.
Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know
Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Oleksiejczuk vs Barriault.
Tale Of The Tape
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Marc-Andre Barriault
Record
21-9 (1 NC)
17-10 (1 NC)
Age
30
36
Height
6’0″
6’1″
Reach
74″
74″
Stance
Southpaw
Orthodox
Sig. Strikes Landed
5.34
5.70
Striking Accuracy
51%
47%
Takedowns
1.02
0.37
Takedown Defense
52%
68%
Submission Avg.
0.0
0.1
Oleksiejczuk holds advantages in youth, striking accuracy, striking defense, and takedown volume. Barriault counters with superior height, striking volume, better takedown defense, and minimal submission threat advantage. The southpaw vs orthodox matchup creates dangerous power angles for both fighters.
Fighter Breakdown – Michal Oleksiejczuk Analysis
Oleksiejczuk comes in with a 21-9 (1 NC) record bringing explosive power striking to the middleweight division. The 30 year old Polish fighter is a dangerous finisher with a southpaw stance creating knockout angles.
Strengths: Elite striking volume (5.34 per minute) with knockout power. Superior striking accuracy (51%). Better striking defense (59%). Southpaw stance creates awkward angles. Moderate wrestling threat (1.02 takedowns). Finishing instincts and aggression.
Weaknesses: High damage absorption (4.41 per minute). Poor takedown defense (52%). Moderate takedown accuracy (43%). Zero submission threat. Defensive vulnerabilities against power strikers. Inconsistent against elite competition.
Betting Angles: Oleksiejczuk’s -500 moneyline offers minimal value. Oleksiejczuk by KO/TKO (-175) provides best value given finishing ability and Barriault’s poor defense. Fight Under 1.5 Rounds (-168) aligns with both fighters’ aggressive styles and finishing rates.
Barriault brings a 17-10 (1 NC) record with brawling mentality and volume striking. The 36 year old Canadian is an aggressive fighter who trades power for defensive responsibility.
Strengths: Highest striking volume. Height advantage (6’1″). Superior takedown defense (68%). Knockout power in orthodox stance. Aggressive mentality. Experience against quality competition.
Weaknesses: Poor striking defense (50%). Highest damage absorption. Lower striking accuracy (47%). Minimal wrestling offense (0.37 takedowns). Poor takedown accuracy (28%). Age factor at 36 years old. Defensive vulnerabilities create finish opportunities.
Betting Angles: Barriault’s +360 moneyline offers value only as a pure knockout lottery ticket. Barriault by KO/TKO (+600) provides longshot value given his power and volume.
Best Bets For Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault
This middleweight clash features two aggressive strikers with poor defensive metrics, virtually guaranteeing an early finish. Barriault’s catastrophic 50% striking defense and massive 5.63 strikes absorbed per minute make him extraordinarily vulnerable to Oleksiejczuk’s power. The Canadian’s aggressive, brawling style means he willingly trades in the pocket rather than using movement or defense.
Oleksiejczuk’s southpaw power and superior striking accuracy create immediate knockout opportunities against Barriault’s porous defense. At -180 (implied 64.3%), we project this ends under 1.5 rounds closer to 70-75% of the time.
Oleksiejczuk’s power striking against Barriault’s defensive vulnerabilities creates the clearest path to victory. The Polish southpaw’s knockout ability combined with superior accuracy and better defense suggests he lands the decisive blow first in this firefight.
Barriault’s aggressive style plays directly into Oleksiejczuk’s strengths. The Canadian pressures forward and trades rather than using movement, creating stationary targets for power shots. At -175 (implied 63.6%), we project Oleksiejczuk wins by KO/TKO around 65-70% of the time, offering solid value as the overwhelmingly most likely result.
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Small stake only. While Oleksiejczuk is the clear favorite, Barriault’s volume striking and knockout power create puncher’s chance opportunities. If Barriault’s aggression and forward pressure force Oleksiejczuk into defensive mode, the Canadian’s volume could accumulate damage quickly against Oleksiejczuk’s poor 52% takedown defense.
At +600 (implied 14.3%), this offers excellent payout if the aggressive exchange favors Barriault’s volume over Oleksiejczuk’s accuracy. Keep stakes at 0.25 units maximum given the low probability and clear skill differential.
Prediction – Final Verdict
Official pick: Michal Oleksiejczuk by KO/TKO
We are backing Oleksiejczuk to secure a devastating knockout victory. The Polish southpaw’s power striking and superior defensive metrics should prove decisive against Barriault’s catastrophic defensive vulnerabilities.
We see the fight opening with both fighters exchanging aggressively. However, Oleksiejczuk’s superior striking accuracy and defensive awareness should allow him to land cleaner, heavier shots. Barriault should press forward with his characteristic volume but the poor 50% striking defense leaves massive openings.
Oleksiejczuk will likely capitalizes on these defensive lapses with southpaw power shots, likely landing a devastating power shot within the first 2 rounds. Barriault’s aggressive, brawling mentality means he continues pressing forward even as damage accumulates, eventually walking into the finish.
How to Bet UFC Vegas 113: Tips for This Card
Beyond the middleweight main card bout, UFC Vegas 113 offers several compelling matchups that create both opportunities and traps for bettors.
Card Tips:
Mario Bautista’s volume approach becomes more effective over 25 minutes. Championship rounds favor high-output fighters..
Submission specialists in heavyweight are rare. Jailton Almeida’s 2.0 submission attempts per fight makes him an outlier in the division. This specialization creates value in finish markets.
Barriault’s 5.70 volume vs Oleksiejczuk’s 51% accuracy creates classic striker matchup. Accuracy typically wins against poor defense.
UFC Vegas 113 Fight Card
Main Card (09:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)
Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira – Bantamweight bout, 5 rounds
Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi – Flyweight bout, 3 rounds
Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev – Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds
Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Middleweight bout, 3 rounds
Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker – Light Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds
Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)
Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko – Welterweight bout, 3 rounds
Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza – Women’s Strawweight bout, 3 rounds
Said Nurmagomedov vs Javid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura – Women’s Flyweight bout, 3 rounds
Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
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