UFC Vegas 113’s prelims feature a women’s strawweight clash between Bruna Brasil and Ketlen Souza. This 3 round battle pits two Brazilian strikers against each other in a competitive matchup at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Souza opens as a -160 favorite, with Brasil at +135 as the underdog. This women’s strawweight bout could position the winner for continued advancement in the division.
Here’s how we’re betting UFC Vegas 113: Brasil vs Souza, including our UFC predictions, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.
Mini Fight Info Strip
Event: UFC Vegas 113 – UFC Apex
Weight class: UFC Women’s Strawweight bout
Fight length: 3-round prelim bout
Date & time: Saturday, February 7, 2026 – Prelims: 06:00 p.m. ET, walk time ~07:45 p.m. ET
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Odds updated: February 6, 2026 – 12:55 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins or late injury news.
Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know
Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Brasil vs Souza.
Tale Of The Tape
Bruna Brasil
Ketlen Souza
Record
11-5-1
15-6
Age
32
31
Height
5’6″
5’3″
Reach
65″
63″
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
Sig. Strikes Landed
2.66
4.56
Striking Accuracy
56%
57%
Takedowns
1.46
0.30
Takedown Defense
53%
50%
Submission Avg.
0.2
0.3
Souza holds advantages in experience, striking volume, striking accuracy, and submission attempts. Brasil counters with superior height, reach, striking defense, takedown volume, and takedown defense. The orthodox vs orthodox matchup creates traditional striking exchanges with potential grappling.
Fighter Breakdown – Bruna Brasil Analysis
Brasil comes in with an 11-5-1 record bringing measured striking and wrestling to the women’s strawweight division. The 32 year old Brazilian is a technical fighter with reach advantages and grappling ability.
Strengths: Superior height (5’6″)and reach (65″) advantages. Better striking defense (52%). Superior takedown volume (1.46 per fight). Elite takedown accuracy (64%). Better takedown defense (53%). Physical advantages at strawweight.
Betting Angles: Brasil’s +135 moneyline offers value based on physical advantages and wrestling. Brasil by Decision (+210) requires banking control time and reach advantage. Fight goes distance (-300) strongly favored by metrics.
Souza brings a 15-6 record with aggressive striking volume and finishing experience. The 31 year old Brazilian is a pressure fighter with superior offensive output and proven durability.
Strengths: Superior striking volume (4.56 per minute). Better striking accuracy (57%). More extensive experience (15-6 record). Aggressive pressure-based style. Slightly better submission threat (0.3 attempts). Proven finishing ability.
Betting Angles: Souza’s -160 moneyline offers solid value given striking volume advantage. Souza by Decision (+120) provides excellent value as most likely result.
Souza’s superior striking volume and aggressive pressure should overcome Brasil’s physical advantages over three rounds. Her 4.56 significant strikes per minute, nearly double Brasil’s 2.66 output, creates sustained offensive pressure that forces Brasil into defensive mode and wins rounds with activity.
At -160 (implied 61.5%), we project Souza wins closer to 65% of the time, offering solid value on the moneyline. The Brazilian’s multiple paths to victory: sustained striking volume, late-round pressure, or capitalizing on Brasil’s low output make her the safer investment.
Souza’s striking volume advantage combined with both fighters’ low finishing rates strongly suggests a decision victory. The Brazilian’s 4.56 strikes per minute should accumulate scoring opportunities across three rounds, and her aggressive pressure wins rounds with judges favoring activity and forward movement.
Souza’s experience winning decisions demonstrates she knows how to accumulate rounds and maintain pressure over fifteen minutes. At +120 (implied 45.5%), we project Souza wins by decision closer to 50-55% of the time, offering excellent value as the most likely result.
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Small stake only. If Brasil effectively uses her height and reach advantages while implementing her wrestling, she could bank rounds with control time and distance management. The physical advantages at 5’6″ vs 5’3″ create significant striking range differential if properly utilized.
This scenario requires Brasil dramatically increasing her offensive output, which represents a significant tactical adjustment. She needs to use her physical gifts actively rather than conservatively, capitalizing on every reach advantage opportunity. At +210 (implied 32.3%), this offers solid payout if Brasil’s physical advantages and wrestling overcome Souza’s volume approach. Keep stakes at 0.5 units.
Prediction – Final Verdict
Official pick: Ketlen Souza by Unanimous Decision
We are backing Souza to secure a clear unanimous decision victory, likely 29-28 or 30-27 on the scorecards. The Brazilian’s superior striking volume and aggressive pressure should prove decisive over fifteen minutes despite Brasil’s physical advantages.
Souza should establish her striking dominance immediately, pressuring forward with her characteristic volume and forcing Brasil to fight defensively. While Brasil’s height and reach advantages allow her to land from distance initially, her low offensive output means Souza significantly outlands her in every exchange.
Brasil may steal a round using her reach effectively and potentially banking control time with a successful takedown, but Souza’s sustained pressure and volume win the majority of rounds. Judges favor the fighter moving forward and landing more strikes, which strongly benefits Souza’s aggressive approach over Brasil’s conservative style.Her accumulated volume and forward pressure should close strong, securing a clear decision.
How to Bet UFC Vegas 113: Tips for This Card
Beyond the women’s strawweight prelim bout, UFC Vegas 113 offers several compelling matchups that create both opportunities and traps for bettors.
Card Tips:
Volume wins decisions. Souza’s 4.56 strikes per minute vs Brasil’s 2.66 creates massive activity differential. UFC Apex judges favor aggression and output without crowd influence.
Kyoji Horiguchi’s 3.64 striking output vs Amir Albazi’s 2.72 creates a clear judging advantage. Activity wins close rounds at UFC Apex without crowd influence.
Experience level in women’s divisions. Both fighters have 15+ professional fights, creating veteran-vs-veteran matchup. Experience gaps matter less when both possess extensive cage time.
UFC Vegas 113 Fight Card
Main Card (09:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)
Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira – Bantamweight bout, 5 rounds
Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi – Flyweight bout, 3 rounds
Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev – Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds
Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Middleweight bout, 3 rounds
Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker – Light Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds
Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)
Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko – Welterweight bout, 3 rounds
Nikolay Veretennikov vs Niko Price – Welterweight bout, 3 rounds
Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza – Women’s Strawweight bout, 3 rounds
Said Nurmagomedov vs Javid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura – Women’s Flyweight bout, 3 rounds
Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
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