The Premier League Matchday 27 slate runs from February 21-23, 2026. It will featuring a title-race showdown at the Etihad, a North London Derby with Champions League implications, and a high-variance clash at Goodison Park. Manchester City will welcome Newcastle United amid fixture congestion.
Whereas, Tottenham Hotspur will host Arsenal in a derby that could reshape the top four. Everton FC will face a rejuvenated Manchester United who are determined to keep their five match unbeaten streak across all competitions. In the league, they’re unbeaten in nine games which will work further as motivation for the Red Devils.
For more analysis across England and Europe, visit our main soccer predictions and Premier League betting tips hub, but for now, scroll on for today’s best bets.
Odds from FanDuel and BetMGM, accurate as of Friday afternoon ET. Premier League lines can move quickly on matchday, so always check the latest prices before betting.
Best Bet #1 – Manchester City vs Newcastle United: Erling Haaland to Score or Assist
Saturday’s fixture at the Etihad Stadium will see Manchester City take on Newcastle United in hopes of catching up to the league leaders. The Magpies have struggled defensively on the road. Whereas, across their last ten league matches, Man City have averaged over 2.3 xG per game while conceding under 1.0 xGA.
Their home form remains dominant. Sustained possession has helped them generate high shot volume and repeated penalty-area penetration. Newcastle, by contrast, have allowed more than 1.6 xGA per match in their previous five away outings. Erling Haaland remains the focal point of Man City’s attack.
Over his last ten appearances in all competitions, he has averaged above 0.85 non-penalty xG per 90. He also continues to rank among league leaders in shots on target. Man City’s is expected to dominate and Haaland’s involvement rate in goals says he can end up either as finisher or secondary assister through rebounds and hold-up play. So, Haaland to register a goal contribution seems like a justified pick.
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Best Bet #2 – Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal: Arsenal to Win
The result in Sunday’s North London Derby at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium can see a shift in the top-four race. Arsenal are entering the match with one of the league’s strongest form in both attack and defense. They’re averaging roughly 2.0 xG per match across their last ten league fixtures while conceding under 1.1 xGA.
Their defensive structure under sustained pressure has improved. Whereas, Spurs’ recent form has been less consistent. In their last ten games, they have conceded in eight. They’ve allowed over 1.5 xG per game during that span. Notably, Spurs are effective in counterattacks.
However, their high defensive line has been exploited by teams with pace. In recent past, the head-to-head results have resulted in Arsenal’s favor. The Gunners are currently unbeaten in seven games against Spurs. And considering the current form of the two teams, Arsenal could comfortably get away with another win.
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Best Bet #3 – Everton vs Manchester United: BTTS: Yes
At Goodison Park, Everton will host Manchester United in a fixture that can be more open than cagey. Everton’s last ten league matches have seen both teams score in seven instances. They’ve also conceded over 1.4 xGA per game in that period. However, they have also generated consistent attacking output at home.
They’re averaging close to 1.6 xG at Goodison over recent weeks. Manchester United’s away performances have similarly trended toward mutual scoring outcomes. Across their last five matches on the road, they have conceded in each. In the meantime, they’ve produced over 1.7 xG per game.
The Red Devils are also ahead in head-to-head records with 95 wins to Toffees’ 69. And goals have flown from both sides as Man United have scored 323 while Everton have scored 291 goals. So, considering both teams’ recent form and past records, BTTS: Yes seems like a justified pick.
Premier League Best Bets for Matchday 27 Recap – February 21-23, 2026
Best Bet #1: Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad – Kylian Mbappe to Score Anytime (-260 at FanDuel)
Best Bet #2: Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid – Total Goals Over 1.5 (-300 at BetMGM)
Best Bet #3: Girona vs Barcelona – Barcelona to Win (-330 at FanDuel)
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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