West Bromwich Albion
Burnley
>Championship · 2West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley: Prediction and Odds, Championship, 23/08/2026
The Hawthorns hosts a compelling Championship clash on August 23 as West Bromwich Albion welcome Burnley, two recently relegated sides chasing immediate promotion. West Brom are priced at 2.80 after a strong opening weekend, while Burnley arrive searching for their first win following a frustrating start to the campaign.
Projected final score: 1-1
The H2H record is the defining factor here: Burnley are unbeaten in their last 7 meetings with West Brom, including back-to-back 1-1 and 0-0 draws in the two most recent clashes. West Brom's home shot advantage and early-season form offer some encouragement, but 3.30 reflects how reliably these sides cancel each other out.
A low-scoring affair is likely given the structural caution both teams show in this fixture, with two of the last three H2H results producing under 2.5 goals. Burnley's defensive absences and both sides averaging 2.0 goals conceded per game suggest at least one goal each, making 1.77 a natural fit for a tight 1-1 outcome.
Match Analysis
West Bromwich Albion enter as the home favorite at 2.80, buoyed by a 2-1 opening-day victory at Norwich. Sitting 5th in the Championship, the Baggies boast superior possession and shot output, making them the logical pick to take at least a point.
- 2-1 win at Norwich on matchday one gives West Brom early momentum and 5th-place standing.
- 52.5% average possession and 4.1 shots on target per game outpace Burnley's 3.4.
- Home advantage supported by 12.5 total shots per game versus Burnley's 10.7 this season.
- Harry Whitwell returns to training after a precautionary calf issue, boosting defensive depth.
Burnley arrive at The Hawthorns as the away side priced at 2.50, sitting 11th after a 2-2 draw with West Ham. Their DDDLD run of five consecutive draws or defeats signals a team yet to find consistency, though their H2H record against the Baggies remains remarkably resilient.
- Burnley's DDDLD recent run reflects five matches without a win entering this fixture.
- Three key absences in Cullen (ACL), Beyer (knee), and Banel (training) hollow out midfield and defence.
- Burnley concede 2.0 goals per game this season, leaving Hayen's backline exposed on the road.
Key point: With both sides conceding freely and Burnley's draw-heavy H2H DNA, the double chance covering home or draw complements well without needing to chase a decisive winner.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley
West Bromwich Albion
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Burnley
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Probabilities & Odds: West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley
Source : betmgm.comMatch Information
Final thoughts on the predictions for West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley
West Brom's strong start, home advantage at The Hawthorns, and Burnley's woeful recent form make the double chance 1X the clear pick. Burnley have drawn four and lost one of their last five, showing no capacity to win away from home right now. Back West Brom not to lose, covered by the home price at 2.80. Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley?
The pick is 1X (Home or Draw), backed by the draw at 3.30, with the most decisive factor being Burnley's seven-match unbeaten run against West Brom, including back-to-back draws in the two most recent meetings, making a clean Baggies win the least likely outcome.
What is the highest odd for West Bromwich Albion to win?
The outright West Brom win is available at 2.80, which carries real risk given Burnley's strong H2H record here. For bettors wanting safer coverage, the double chance combining a home win or draw removes the away-win risk while still leaning on West Brom's home advantage.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
The H2H record points firmly toward caution: the last two meetings ended 1-1 and 0-0, and Burnley's draw-heavy tendency suppresses scoring. Under 2.5 goals at N/A looks the logical call, with West Brom averaging just 4.1 shots on target per game and key attackers Bany and Johnston both absent.
When and where is West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley played?
The match kicks off on Sunday, 23 August 2026 at 12:00 BST (noon local time) at The Hawthorns in West Bromwich, the home ground of West Bromwich Albion.
Can Burnley pull off an upset against West Bromwich Albion?
Burnley are priced as slight favorites at 2.50, and their form gives genuine grounds for optimism: unbeaten in seven straight against the Baggies and carrying a draw-heavy DNA in this fixture. Absences of Cullen and Beyer hurt their midfield, but a point or even a narrow win is entirely realistic.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
Both Teams to Score: No at 1.91 stands out as the sharpest alternative. The last two H2H clashes produced just one goal combined, West Brom's main attackers are unavailable, and Burnley's defensive structure, even weakened, has consistently kept this fixture low-scoring.
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