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Chelsea vs Manchester United: prediction and odds

Premier League · matchday 9
Chelsea
Chelsea
31 Oct 2026
12:30
Stamford Bridge
Manchester United
Manchester United
the prediction:
Chelsea (draw no bet)1.37
homedrawaway
Betfred1.834.003.75
Betano1.803.903.80
Bally Bet1.853.903.95
Premier League· matchday 9

Matchday 9 of the Premier League brings Chelsea and Manchester United together with a clear gap between them: Chelsea sit 6 points ahead of their visitors. For United, the task is to close on a side above them, while the hosts are still 8 points adrift of the top, so a win at Stamford Bridge would trim a deficit that remains sizeable this early in the season. Our pick is Chelsea in the draw no bet market, with a 2-1 home win as the predicted score.

our prediction
DNB 1: Chelsea (draw no bet)
1.37at Virgin Bet
Chelsea are fifth, United sixteenth, and United are winless in five. Chelsea lack James and three others, while United miss Ugarte and suspended Yoro.
2 – 1

A 2-1 home win fits the draw no bet pick on Chelsea: the scoreline gives the hosts the decisive goal while leaving United enough to reply once. That second goal is also why Both teams to score – yes sits beside the main selection. Chelsea's edge in quality is enough for victory, but United's attack is not shut out.

Recommended bets

Chelsea (draw no bet)

Draw no bet on Chelsea means the stake is returned if the match ends level, so only a Manchester United win loses it. The betting market makes Chelsea the favourite, and this selection at 1.37 from Virgin Bet removes the draw from the equation.

Both teams to score – yes

Both teams to score – yes needs a goal from each side. Both sides have a 71% both-teams-to-score rate this season, Chelsea's defence has been leaky and United have shipped goals recently. That makes 1.53 at Betfred a coherent companion to the main selection.

Chelsea win

Chelsea win asks for a victory in the 90 minutes, with no refund on a draw. Chelsea's superior table position and home advantage make them the likelier winner. 1.85 is available at Bally Bet.

Chelsea vs Manchester United odds comparison

odds comparison
BetfredBetanoBally BetBetMGMBetVictorBetway
Home1.831.801.851.831.801.77
Draw4.003.903.903.903.903.80
Away3.753.803.953.903.803.80
Under 2.5––2.402.35––
Over 2.5––1.551.53––
BTTS yes1.53–1.511.50––
BTTS no2.38–2.402.35––

Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis

Chelsea

Chelsea sit 5th with 13 points from 8 games, built on 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats and a goal difference of +2. Their 17 goals in 7 Premier League games are the more productive tally of the two sides, and it gives the 2-1 prediction a base.

  • Chelsea's 13 goals conceded in 7 games are 3 more than United's tally.

Manchester United

Manchester United have scored 10 goals in their 7 Premier League games this season, 7 fewer than Chelsea. They have also conceded 10, so the attack offers less cover when the defence is breached.

Chelsea lost 0-2 to Tottenham Hotspur on 24 October 2026, so how they respond to that defeat may decide whether the 2-1 home win arrives.

Chelsea
recent results
DLWWL
wins2/5 (40%)
draws1/5 (20%)
losses2/5 (40%)
3.4total goals
40%both teams to score
1.8goals scored
1.6goals conceded
Manchester United
recent results
DLDLL
wins0/5 (0%)
draws2/5 (40%)
losses3/5 (60%)
2.8total goals
60%both teams to score
0.6goals scored
2.2goals conceded
Chelsea
winsgoals scoredconceded (inv.)under 2.5over 2.5
last 52W 1D 2L
goals scored1.8
goals conceded1.6
under 2.540%
over 2.560%
Manchester United
winsgoals scoredconceded (inv.)under 2.5over 2.5
last 52D 3L
goals scored0.6
goals conceded2.2
under 2.560%
over 2.540%
Chelsea · 4-2-3-1Manchester United · 4-2-3-1
1215526172016187193934562114254710720
39 Mike Penders34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong5 Maxence Lacroix6 Levi Colwill21 Jorrel Hato14 Jordan Henderson25 M. Caicedo47 Geovany Quenda10 Cole Palmer7 Pedro Neto20 João Pedro
1 Senne Lammens2 Diogo Dalot15 Leny Yoro5 Harry Maguire26 Ayden Heaven17 Andrey Santos20 Carlos Baleba16 Amad Diallo18 Youri Tielemans7 Mason Mount19 Bryan Mbeumo
absences
Emiliano Martínez (injured)Pep Chavarría (injured)Reece James (injured)Roméo Lavia (suspended)
Manuel Ugarte (injured)Leny Yoro (suspended)

Both sides line up in a 4-2-3-1. Chelsea's XI carries Cole Palmer, Pedro Neto and João Pedro, with Levi Colwill and Maxence Lacroix in defence.

Harry Maguire and Diogo Dalot anchor the Manchester United back line, while Bryan Mbeumo, Amad Diallo and Mason Mount supply the attacking threat.

competition

Premier League · matchday 9

date and time

31 Oct 2026 · 12:30

stadium

Stamford Bridge

Where to watch Chelsea vs Manchester United

Chelsea host Manchester United at Stamford Bridge on 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 12:30. The match is shown on TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate, HBO Max and the TNT Sports app.

What is the main prediction for Chelsea vs Manchester United?

The main pick is Chelsea (draw no bet), with medium confidence. The betting market makes Chelsea the favourite, and the predicted score is 2-1. A level result returns the stake, so only a Manchester United win costs the bet.

What are the best odds for Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Chelsea (draw no bet) is priced at 1.37 by Virgin Bet. Chelsea win is 1.85 at Bally Bet, and Both teams to score – yes is 1.53 at Betfred.

When is Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Chelsea vs Manchester United is on 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 12:30. The match is played at Stamford Bridge, the home ground of Chelsea, in the Premier League.

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