Gambling is prohibited for underage individuals | Commercial content | Regional restrictions may apply | T&Cs apply | Play responsibly
Belinda Bencic follows through on a return to Coco Gauff during their fourth-round match on Stadium 1 at the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, Calif., on Wed., March 12, 2025.
Belinda Bencic follows through on a return to Coco Gauff during their fourth-round match on Stadium 1 at the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, Calif., on Wed., March 12, 2025.
Tokyo Olympics gold medalist Belinda Bencic will return to grass court action at the 2025 Bad Homburg Open, as she faces Ekaterina Alexandrova of Russia in the Round of 32 on Monday. The two stars are capable of producing fast-paced tennis of the highest order – making this encounter a mouth watering one. The winner of this match will face Maria Sakkari in the pre-quarterfinals.
It has been an injury-stricken campaign for Belinda Bencic thus far. The 28-year-old, who reached the quarterfinals at the Australian Open in her first Grand Slam after maternity leave, was dealt with an arm injury in Rome and Paris. Yet, the World No. 37 has an impressive 21-9 record in 2025. She is searching for her second trophy this year, after capturing the Abu Dhabi Open championship.
World No. 18 Ekaterina Alexandrova suffered one of the most gut-wrenching losses in recent times, when she gave up 11 match points during a semifinal loss to Elise Mertens at the Libema Open last week. She enters this match with a 23-12 record, and one title in 2025. Her winning rates on service games and return games are 68% and 50%, respectively.
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Belinda Bencic Head to Head Record
Belinda Bencic leads the head-to-head against Ekaterina Alexandrova by 4-3. This translates to a 57.1% success rate against her Russian counterpart.
The rivalry between the two baseliners originated in 2019. Bencic, who reached the US Open semifinals later that year, defeated Alexandrova at the Indian Wells Round of 32 in straight sets. However, the now 30-year-old exacted revenge by winning the next two match-ups against the Swiss. Bencic eventually grabbed a stranglehold of the duel and edged in front.
Event
Round
Winner
Score
2023 Charleston
Quarterfinal
Belinda Bencic
6-3 6-3
2023 Miami
Round of 32
Ekaterina Alexandrova
7-6(8) 6-3
2022 Charleston
Semifinal
Belinda Bencic
6-4 6-3
2021 Berlin
Quarterfinal
Belinda Bencic
6-4 4-6 7-6(4)
2021 Stuttgart
Round of 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
6-1 7-5
2019 Eastbourne
Round of 32
Ekaterina Alexandrova
6-7(6) 6-2 6-3
2019 Indian Wells
Round of 32
Belinda Bencic
6-4 6-2
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Belinda Bencic Career Comparison
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Category
Belinda Bencic
0
Grand Slams
0
5
WTA Singles Titles
9
1
WTA Doubles Titles
2
0
WTA-1000 Titles
2
R2 (Tokyo 2020)
Olympics Best Performance
Gold (Tokyo 2020)
No. 18
Current World Ranking
No. 37
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Belinda Bencic WTA Bad Homburg Open 2025 Prediction
More than anything, Bencic will be using this encounter to test out her arm. The Swiss starlet, who is making a return after a 1.5 month hiatus, will be looking to kick-start her grass court campaign in style. However, Alexandrova looked in fine touch at the Libema Open. She also ranks within the Top-10 in terms of break point conversion rate on this surface so far – which is normally the chink in her armor.
Prediction: Ekaterina Alexandrova in three sets.
Battling into the semis ⚔️
Ekaterina Alexandrova has secured her spot in the semifinals after taking out V. Kudermetova in three tough sets, 5-7, 6-4, 6-2.#LibemaOpenpic.twitter.com/ibfHaAeV6u
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Belinda Bencic WTA Bad Homburg Open 2025 Betting Odds
According to the initial odds, Alexandrova starts as the favourite against Bencic. The Russian has the serve and groundstrokes to back it up. Additionally, Bencic is yet to have any game time on grass so far. Here are the odds (as per BetMGM):
The length of the match is likely to be around the 21.5 game mark. If the money line is to be trusted, a 2-0 victory for Alexandrova is the most likely outcome. Here are the in-match odds for this Round of 32 match (as per BetMGM):
Total Games <21.5: 5/6
Total Games By Bencic >10.5: 17/20
Total Sets <2.5: 13/25
Alexandrova to Win 2-0: 9/10
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.
My message to the readers is not to be shy to express themselves – regardless of whether it is playing, talking or writing about sport. And if you’re a fan of Roger Federer, Lionel Messi and/or Stephen Curry – I’m your guy.
