All-Spanish battle in the Queen’s semifinal.
World No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz will battle fellow countryman Roberto Bautista Agut in the semifinals of the 2025 HSBC Championships at Queen’s Club in London. Saturday’s final four encounter will be the third meeting between the Spanish starlets on the pro circuit. The winner of this match will take on Jack Draper or Jiri Lehecka in the final.
Currently on a 16-match winning streak since losing the Barcelona Open summit clash, top seed Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t displayed his best level this week. After a patchy couple of encounters to start his campaign, the five-time Grand Slam champion engineered a polished performance to beat Arthur Rinderknech 7-5 6-4. With a 40-5 record and several ranking points to gain in Queen’s, Alcaraz will be gunning to progress and possibly take revenge vs Jack Draper in the final.
On the other side of the net, Roberto Bautista Agut secured three wins in a tournament for the first time in eight months. He snapped a losing streak against Top-10 players by defeating Holger Rune in the quarterfinals, and also garnered victories over Jakub Mensik and Nuno Borges this week. The World No. 51 is fighting for a Top-50 spot and his 13th tour-level trophy in West Kensington.
Carlos Alcaraz has an advantage of 2-0 in the head-to-head against Roberto Bautista Agut. The last meeting between the two players was at Barcelona in 2023.
The Spanish prodigy is yet to drop a set against his elder-statesman. At Indian Wells in 2022, Alcaraz demolished RBA in straight sets to reach the Round of 16. Interestingly, this will be the deepest stage of a tournament wherein the two European gladiators are clashing.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2023 Barcelona | Round of 16 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022 Indian Wells | Round of 32 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-2 6-0 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | Category | Roberto Bautista Agut |
| 5 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 20 | ATP Singles Titles | 12 |
| 0 | ATP Doubles Titles | 0 |
| 7 | Masters-1000 Titles | 0 |
| Silver (Paris 2024) | Olympics Best Performance | QF (Rio 2016) |
| No. 2 | Current World Ranking | No. 51 |
Having endured a hat-trick of three set thrillers, Roberto Bautista Agut will have to contend with fatigue as well as the wrath of Alcaraz. The reigning Roland Garros and Wimbledon champ won 92% points on first serve, and didn’t face a single break point vs Rinderknech. One of the main ploys for him will be to use the drop shot and test the 37-year-old legs of RBA.
Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets.
Carlos Alcaraz is the strong favourite in this encounter against Roberto Bautista Agut. According to the implied probability on the money line, the 22-year-old has a 75-80% chance of winning this semifinal. Here are the odds (as per BetMGM):
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Regarding the in-match betting, a straight sets victory for Alcaraz is the most likely outcome. Here are the intricate odds (as per BetMGM):
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
