UFC Vegas 113’s main card features a light heavyweight clash between Dustin Jacoby and Julius Walker. This 3 round battle pits the veteran striker against the rising prospect in an intriguing matchup at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Jacoby opens as a –200 favorite, with Walker at +165 as the underdog. This light heavyweight bout could determine positioning for both fighters in a competitive division.
Here’s how we’re betting UFC Vegas 113: Jacoby vs Walker, including our UFC predictions, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.
Mini Fight Info Strip
Event: UFC Vegas 113 – UFC Apex
Weight class: UFC Light Heavyweight bout
Fight length: 3-round main card bout
Date & time: Saturday, February 7, 2026 – Main card: 09:00 p.m. ET, walk time ~09:00 p.m. ET
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Odds updated: February 5, 2026 – 9:20 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins or late injury news.
Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know
Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Jacoby vs Walker.
Tale Of The Tape
Dustin Jacoby
Julius Walker
Record
21-9-1
7-1
Age
37
26
Height
6’3″
6’4″
Reach
76″
78″
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
Sig. Strikes Landed
5.37
4.33
Striking Accuracy
47%
55%
Takedowns
0.33
3.50
Takedown Defense
62%
100%
Submission Avg.
0.0
0.0
Jacoby holds advantages in experience, striking volume, and striking defense. Walker counters with youth, superior height, reach, striking accuracy, elite takedown volume, perfect takedown defense, and lower damage absorption.
Fighter Breakdown – Dustin Jacoby Analysis
Jacoby comes in with a 21-9-1 record bringing elite striking volume to the light heavyweight division. The 37 year old veteran is a technical striker with extensive UFC experience and finishing ability.
Strengths: Superior striking volume (5.37 per minute) overwhelms opponents. Better striking defense (57%). Extensive UFC and professional experience. Technical striking fundamentals. Proven durability over 31 professional fights. Knockout power.
Weaknesses: Significant age disadvantage at 37 years old. Minimal wrestling offense (0.33 takedowns). Poor takedown accuracy (25%). Zero submission threat. Higher damage absorption (4.02 per minute). Physical decline concerns.
Betting Angles: Jacoby’s -200 moneyline offers moderate value given experience advantage. Jacoby by KO/TKO (+165) provides solid value given striking volume and power.
Walker brings a 7-1 record with elite physical attributes and wrestling skills. The 26 year old prospect is a rising talent with superior athleticism and grappling prowess.
Strengths: Massive youth advantage at 26 years old. Superior striking accuracy (55%). Perfect takedown defense (100%). Elite takedown volume (3.50 per fight). Outstanding damage avoidance. Height and reach advantages. Athletic upside and potential.
Weaknesses: Limited UFC and professional experience (7-1 record). Lower striking volume (4.33 per minute). Poor striking defense (43%). Moderate takedown accuracy (36%). Zero submission threat. Unproven against elite competition.
Betting Angles: Walker’s +165 moneyline offers value based on physical advantages and perfect takedown defense. Walker by Decision (+460) provides longshot value if wrestling dominates.
Jacoby’s experience advantage and superior striking volume should prove decisive despite Walker’s impressive physical tools. The veteran’s 5.37 significant strikes per minute creates relentless pressure that tests inexperienced opponents, and his 57% striking defense keeps him competitive against Walker’s accuracy.
Walker’s perfect 100% takedown defense is impressive but built against lower-level competition. If Walker attempts to implement his wrestling, Jacoby’s 62% takedown defense should neutralize most attempts.
At -200 (implied 66.7%), we project Jacoby wins closer to 70% of the time, offering moderate value on the moneyline.
Value Prop: Jacoby by KO/TKO (+165)
Jacoby’s striking volume and power against Walker’s poor 43% striking defense creates clear knockout opportunities. The veteran’s 5.37 strikes per minute accumulates damage quickly, and Walker’s inexperience defending against elite volume could lead to defensive breakdowns and finish opportunities.
At +165 (implied 37.7%), we project Jacoby wins by KO/TKO around 40-45% of the time, offering solid value as a likely result.
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Small stake only. If Walker’s perfect takedown defense holds against UFC-level competition and his wrestling offense breaks through Jacoby’s 62% defense, the prospect could grind out a decision with control time. Walker’s superior accuracy could score effectively while using wrestling to bank rounds.
At +460 (implied 17.9%), this offers excellent payout if Walker’s physical advantages overcome experience deficits. This requires Walker’s wrestling exceeding expectations while neutralizing Jacoby’s striking volume. Keep stakes at 0.5 units maximum.
Prediction – Final Verdict
Official pick: Dustin Jacoby by KO/TKO
We are backing Jacoby to secure a knockout victory. The veteran’s superior striking volume and experience should overwhelm Walker’s defensive vulnerabilities, leading to a finish as accumulating damage breaks down the prospect.
In round 1, we see competitive exchanges as Walker’s accuracy lands clean shots, but Jacoby’s relentless pressure and superior striking defense allow him to bank the round with volume. Walker should attempt takedowns to slow the pace, but Jacoby’s 62% takedown defense should hold firm.
As round 2 progresses, the accumulated damage from Jacoby’s volume should begin showing on Walker. We see him getting caught with a combination that puts him on the canvas as the veteran lands ground and pound, forcing the referee to stop the fight.
This victory should demonstrate Jacoby’s veteran savvy and position him for continued competition in the light heavyweight division.
How to Bet UFC Vegas 113: Tips for This Card
Beyond the light heavyweight main card bout, UFC Vegas 113 offers several compelling matchups that create both opportunities and traps for bettors.
Card Tips:
Jacoby’s 31 professional fights vs Walker’s 8 creates massive octagon IQ differential. Veterans exploit inexperienced opponents’ defensive errors.
Kyoji Horiguchi’s 3.64 striking output vs Amir Albazi’s 2.72 creates a clear judging advantage. Activity wins close rounds at UFC Apex without crowd influence.
Mario Bautista’s volume approach becomes more effective over 25 minutes. Championship rounds favor high-output fighters.
UFC Vegas 113 Fight Card
Main Card (09:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)
Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira – Bantamweight bout, 5 rounds
Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi – Flyweight bout, 3 rounds
Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev – Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds
Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Middleweight bout, 3 rounds
Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker – Light Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds
Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)
Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko – Welterweight bout, 3 rounds
Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza – Women’s Strawweight bout, 3 rounds
Said Nurmagomedov vs Javid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura – Women’s Flyweight bout, 3 rounds
Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
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