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UFC 320 Predictions – Veronica Hardy vs Brogan Walker Preview, Predictions And MMA Betting Odds

Zaid Quraishi

The women’s flyweight division brings fans an interesting matchup. Veronica Hardy vs Brogan Walker happens at UFC 320 with vastly different momentum levels between the fighters. This fight could serve as a tune-up bout for Hardy after her recent setback. 

Hardy suffered a decision loss to the improving Eduarda Moura back in November, snapping what had been a nice run. Before that defeat, she was riding a four-fight winning streak. The Moura loss was a learning experience against a rising prospect. Now Hardy gets what looks like a confidence-building matchup to get back in the win column. 

Walker represents a fighter who has struggled mightily since joining the UFC and has been largely inactive. ‘The Bear’ last fought way back in April 2023, losing a decision to Iasmin Lucindo. Before that, Juliana Miller stopped her by technical knockout. Those are her only two UFC appearances, and both ended in losses. At 36 years old after turning that age in August, Walker is taking this fight after nearly two years of inactivity. 

 Veronica Hardy vs Brogan Walker Preview

Hardy stands 5’4″ with a 64 inch reach. Her striking output is moderate at 3.12 significant strikes landed per minute with 45% accuracy. She absorbs 3.48 strikes per minute with 49% striking defense. As a southpaw, Hardy creates awkward angles that orthodox fighters sometimes struggle with initially.

Hardy averages 0.93 takedowns per fight at 41% accuracy. Her takedown defense sits at 55%, which isn’t great but should be sufficient against Walker’s limited grappling. She averages 0.3 submissions per fight, showing some danger on the ground. At 29 years old with a 9-5-1 record, Hardy knows who she is as a fighter and what she needs to do to win.

Walker also stands 5’4″ but carries a three inch reach advantage at 67 inches. She lands just 2.04 significant strikes per minute with terrible 30% accuracy. She absorbs 3.70 strikes per minute with poor 47% striking defense. Walker is a switch-stance fighter who can attack from both stances, adding some unpredictability.

The grappling stats for Walker are absolutely brutal and tell the story of her UFC struggles. She’s attempted zero takedowns in her two UFC fights. Her takedown defense is catastrophic at just 11%, meaning opponents take her down basically at will. She’s never attempted a submission, averaging zero per fight. At 36 years old with an 8-4 record and 0-2 UFC mark, Walker is fighting an uphill battle against ‘Father time’ and ring rust.

 Veronica Hardy vs Brogan Walker MMA Betting Odds 

According to FanDuel, Veronica Hardy is one of the biggest favourites on the entire UFC 320 card for obvious reasons. She’s listed at -770. Brogan Walker comes in at +540 as a massive underdog. Those odds suggest bookmakers see virtually no path to victory for ‘The Bear.’

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The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at +158. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is higher and the odds (-205reflect that.

 Veronica Hardy vs Brogan Walker Predictions And Picks 

Hardy isn’t a terribly dynamic or well-rounded fighter by elite standards, but against an 0-2 UFC fighter who hasn’t competed in nearly two years, she should cruise. Walker’s takedown defense means Hardy can put her on the mat whenever she wants. That catastrophic number suggests Walker has fundamental flaws in her grappling that opponents exploit easily.

The inactivity factor cannot be overstated here. Walker last fought in April 2023, which was almost two full years ago. Ring rust is real, and coming back after that long against an active UFC fighter is asking for trouble. Timing, conditioning, and mental sharpness all deteriorate with extended layoffs. Walker will likely feel slow and hesitant compared to Hardy’s recent activity.

If we bet on the fight, we are going with Veronica Hardy to win via unanimous decision.

(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)

(Image Credit: Dustin Safranek – Imagn Images)

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I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!

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