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UFC 320 Predictions – Ramiz Brahimaj vs Austin Vanderford Preview, Predictions And MMA Betting Odds

Zaid Quraishi

UFC 320 delivers a welterweight clash between two submission specialists riding different waves of momentum. Ramiz Brahimaj vs Austin Vanderford features a hot finisher against a former Bellator contender making his UFC mark. This matchup promises grappling exchanges and potential fireworks on the ground. 

Brahimaj has been on an absolute tear with back to back finishes that earned him bonus checks. In May, he choked out Billy Ray Goff with a slick submission that earned Performance of the Night honors. Before that, he shocked people by knocking out Mickey Gall, proving he’s not just a grappler. That knockout earned another bonus and showed Brahimaj has dangerous hands to go with his ground game. 

Vanderford brings serious credentials from his time in Bellator as a former title contender. He won his UFC debut in February by completely dominating Nikolay Veretennikov with superior wrestling and ground control. That performance moved his professional record to 13-2 and showed he can translate his Bellator success to the UFC level. 

Ramiz Brahimaj vs Austin Vanderford Preview

Brahimaj stands 5’10” with a 72 inch reach, solid measurements for welterweight. His striking output is low at just 2.14 significant strikes landed per minute with 45% accuracy. He absorbs a heavy 3.81 strikes per minute with poor 43% striking defense. 

The grappling stats reveal where Brahimaj truly excels. He averages 1.99 takedowns per fight at 41% accuracy, showing he actively pursues the mat. His takedown defense is weak at just 47%, but that rarely matters when he wants the fight on the ground anyway. The real danger is his submission game. Brahimaj averages a massive 1.7 submissions per fight. At 32 years old with a 12-5 record, Brahimaj is an orthodox fighter who has found his identity as a finisher.

Vanderford stands 5’11” with a 74-inch reach. His striking is more active at 4.08 significant strikes landed per minute with excellent 63% accuracy. He absorbs just 2.66 strikes per minute with 51% striking defense. 

The grappling numbers for Vanderford are equally impressive. He averages 1.77 takedowns per fight at just 25% accuracy, suggesting he’s selective about when he shoots. His takedown defense is perfect at 100%, meaning nobody has taken him down in the UFC yet. That’s a huge advantage in a grappling-heavy matchup. He averages 1.8 submissions per fight, slightly higher than Brahimaj’s output. 

Ramiz Brahimaj vs Austin Vanderford MMA Betting Odds 

According to FanDuel, Austin Vanderford is listed at -295. Meanwhile, Ramiz Brahimaj comes in at +240 as a significant underdog. These odds suggest bookmakers think Vanderford’s size and wrestling will control this fight.

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The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at -122. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is lower and the odds (-102reflect that.

Ramiz Brahimaj vs Austin Vanderford Predictions And Picks

This fight presents a genuine puzzle because both men are dangerous grapplers with finishing ability. Vanderford’s size advantage could prove decisive if he gets top position and starts grinding. His two inch reach advantage helps on the feet, and that extra inch in height gives him leverage in grappling exchanges. His perfect takedown defense against Brahimaj’s weak 47% defense suggests the fight will happen where Vanderford wants it.

Brahimaj’s path to victory involves hurting Vanderford on the feet before the wrestling exchanges begin. That Mickey Gall knockout showed legitimate power in his hands. If he can land clean early and wobble Vanderford, suddenly those grappling advantages disappear. Brahimaj has proven he can finish opponents quickly with his submission skills. 

If we bet on the fight, we are going against the grain and betting on Ramiz Brahimaj to win via unanimous decision.

(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)

(Image Credit: Brad Penner – Imagn Images)

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I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!

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