Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx WNBA Playoffs Game 3 Preview, Betting Odds, and Predictions – 09/26

Game 2 between the Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx turned into one of the most dramatic contests of the postseason. Minnesota looked firmly in control early, building a 20‑point lead behind Napheesa Collier’s scoring and Kayla McBride’s perimeter shooting.

The Lynx defense forced Phoenix into rushed possessions, and by halftime it felt like the top seed was on its way to a commanding 2‑0 series lead. But the Mercury refused to give-up, leaning on their depth and defensive pressure to claw back into the game.

The turning point came in the third quarter when Phoenix Mercury’s bench, led by Kathryn Westbeld and Sami Whitcomb, swung the momentum. Westbeld’s steals and transition buckets energized the team, while Whitcomb’s clutch three‑pointer at the end of regulation forced overtime.

Satou Sabally carried the scoring load with 24 points, and Alyssa Thomas added a double‑double, keeping the Mercury steady as Kahleah Copper battled through an ankle scare. In overtime, Phoenix’s ball movement and timely shooting outpaced a Minnesota Lynx squad that suddenly looked rattled, missing their first five shots of the extra period.

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Game 3 Details

When: Friday, September 26, 2025

Time: 09:30 pm ET

Venue: PHX Arena in Phoenix

TV: ESPN2

Live Stream: Fubo

With that matchup in mind, let’s break down the key betting angles and player props for Game 3.

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Total Over/Under Prediction – WNBA Best Bets

The lines for Game 3 suggest a tight, competitive matchup. The total is set at 158.5 with the over at -110, pointing to a game expected to land in the high 70s or low 80s for each side. Minnesota is favored by 4.5 at -105, a modest number that shows their stronger overall profile but also Phoenix Mercury’s ability to hang around after stealing Game 2.

A narrower prop of 151–160 total points at +250 offers value if you see a slower, defensive game, while the Lynx moneyline at -175 is the safer but more expensive play. Together, the odds show confidence in Minnesota Lynx to respond, but they also leave the door open for another close finish if Phoenix can keep the pace under control.

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Player Props Predictions – WNBA Betting Picks

Satou Sabally Over 10 (-630) Satou Sabally’s line is set low, and the heavy focus reflects how likely she is to clear it. Her versatility as a scorer attacking off the dribble, hitting mid‑range shots, and running in transition, makes double figures almost automatic. The price is steep, but the expectation is consistency, not surprise.

Kahleah Copper Over 10 (-390) Kahleah Copper’s aggressive style and ability to get downhill make this line very attainable. She thrives in transition and creates contact, often earning easy points at the free‑throw line. Oddsmakers clearly expect her to reach double digits comfortably, and while the odds aren’t generous, her role ensures steady scoring opportunities.

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Napheesa Collier Over 20 (-180) Napheesa Collier’s prop is the most demanding, but also the most telling. Minnesota Lynx leans on her as their go‑to option, and she has the skill set to score inside and out. At -180, the market expects her to shoulder a heavy load, especially in a vital playoff setting.

Main Pick – Napheesa Collier Over 20 (-180, FanDuel) Among these props, Collier’s over stands out as the main play. While Sabally and Copper are near locks for double digits, Napheesa Collier’s line offers a balance of risk and reward. If the Minnesota Lynx is to control the game, her scoring volume will be the deciding factor, making this the sharper bet.

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Spread Prediction

Minnesota Lynx at -4.5 (-105) on the spread offers a balanced mix of value and expectation. The line suggests oddsmakers see the Lynx as the steadier team, capable of winning by two possessions if they avoid the late‑game lapses that cost them in Game 2.

The moneyline price reflects similar confidence, though the spread provides better return if Minnesota executes. With Napheesa Collier leading the offense and their defense likely tightening, this number positions the Lynx as the sharper side heading into Game 3.

Spread/Money Line Pick: Minnesota Lynx -4.5 (-105) at BetMGM

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