As Super Bowl LIX approaches, the anticipation surrounding Patrick Mahomes continues to grow.
The Kansas City Chiefs quarterback is set to play in his fourth Super Bowl, aiming to lead his team to a historic fourth title in six seasons.
Already regarded as one of the most dominant players in the NFL, Patrick Mahomes has consistently delivered in the postseason, making him a prime target for prop bets in the biggest game of the year.
For bettors looking to capitalize on Mahomes’ performance, there are several intriguing prop bets available. Whether it’s his passing yards, touchdowns, or rushing ability, oddsmakers have laid out various lines that reflect his impact on the game.
Below, we break down three of the best Mahomes-related Super Bowl props and analyze the value behind each one.
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1. Passing Completions: Over 24.5 Completions
Patrick Mahomes has long been known for his ability to extend plays and make pinpoint throws under pressure. Facing a strong Philadelphia Eagles pass rush, he will likely lean on quick, short-to-medium range passes to move the chains effectively. Given the Eagles’ defensive front, Mahomes may look to release the ball quickly, leading to a high number of completions.
Historically, Patrick Mahomes has averaged over 25 completions per game in the postseason, and in last year’s Super Bowl, he hit 21 completions on just 27 attempts while battling through an ankle injury.
With the Eagles defense likely to pressure him frequently, expect Mahomes to rack up completions, making the Over 24.5 completions an enticing prop bet.
2. Rushing Yards: Over 29.5 Yards
One of Mahomes’ most underrated qualities is his mobility. While he isn’t a run-first quarterback, he often takes off when plays break down, especially in high-stakes games like the Super Bowl. In the 2023 AFC Championship Game, he rushed for 26 yards on a sprained ankle, proving that he’s more than willing to use his legs when needed.
Given that the Eagles’ defense has one of the best pass-rushing units in the league, Mahomes might be forced out of the pocket several times throughout the game. The Super Bowl stage tends to amplify quarterbacks’ willingness to scramble for key first downs, making the Over 29.5 rushing yards a solid wager.
3. Passing Touchdowns: Over 1.5 Touchdowns
Mahomes is one of the best red-zone quarterbacks in the NFL, and when the Chiefs get inside the 20-yard line, there’s a strong chance he’s throwing for a touchdown. He has thrown for at least two touchdowns in each of his last three Super Bowl appearances, making this one of the safer prop bets on the board.
While Kansas City’s offense has evolved to include a stronger run game, Mahomes remains the focal point of their attack. The Eagles’ secondary, while strong, has struggled at times against elite quarterbacks. Mahomes’ ability to extend plays and find open receivers makes betting the Over 1.5 passing touchdowns a favorable option.
The biggest game of the year is here! Don’t miss your chance to bet on Super Bowl LIX—sign up now and claim your exclusive offer before kickoff!
Betting on Patrick Mahomes props has become a staple of Super Bowl wagering, and for good reason. As one of the most talented quarterbacks in the league, Mahomes consistently delivers on the biggest stage. Whether it’s piling up completions, scrambling for key first downs, or throwing multiple touchdowns, he is the engine that drives the Chiefs’ offense.
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