England can qualify for the 2026 World Cup if they beat Latvia away on Tuesday night. As a result, the Daugava Stadium in Riga could witness England’s WC qualification celebration, Thomas Tuchel’s side have been flawless so far, winning all five games without conceding. Meanwhile, Latvia enter the contest in poor form, with their qualifying campaign all but over.
Thomas Tuchel’s men have been efficient and dominant since he took over from Gareth Southgate, maintaining England’s strong qualifying momentum. Their most recent outing was a 3-0 friendly win over Wales with Morgan Rogers, Ollie Watkins, and Bukayo Saka all finding the net. The result followed a run of emphatic qualifying victories. The Three Lions’ balance between attack and defensive control has been key, as they remain the only European team yet to concede a goal in qualifying.
| Bets | Moneyline | Moneyline |
| Full Time Result | Latvia: +4000, England: -2000 | Draw: +1500 |
| Draw No Bet | Latvia: +2800 | England: NA |
| Total Goals | Over 3.5: -135 | Under 3.5: -110 |
| Latvia to Win and Both Teams to Score | Yes: +5000 | No: +4000 |
| England to Win and Both Teams to Score | Yes: +250 | No: -275 |
(Odds via BetMGM)
The math is simple for the visitors: a win guarantees top spot in Group K. With Serbia’s loss to Albania, England now hold a four-point cushion with a game in hand and boast the best goal difference in the group. Tuchel’s side are looking to extend their perfect record and head into the final rounds with full momentum. Given their defensive solidity and depth in attack, the Three Lions are expected to approach this fixture with a professional, composed mindset.
For Latvia, it’s been a campaign of frustration and missed chances. Paolo Nicolato’s side have picked up just one win from six matches and were recently held to a disappointing 2-2 draw by bottom-placed Andorra. Latvia’s lack of cutting edge in front of goal has been costly. They’ve managed only four goals in qualifying while conceding eight. hTeir record against elite opposition doesn’t offer much encouragement either.
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Given England’s solid defensive form and Latvia’s lack of attacking threat, Under 3.5 Goals looks like a smart pick. The Three Lions have yet to concede a single goal in World Cup qualifying, recording five straight wins with clean sheets, while Latvia have scored only four times in six matches. England tend to control games with efficiency rather than chase huge scorelines. Four of their last five wins have all finished with three or fewer goals. Meanwhile, Latvia’s last five out of six matches have featured under 3.5 goals.
With Harry Kane priced at -235 to score anytime, there’s greater value in backing him to net the opening goal at +220. The Bayern Munich forward has been in devastating form this season, scoring 11 goals in just six Bundesliga matches. Kane is expected to return to England’s starting XI after being rested last time out. Now fully fit and raring to go, Kane will once again lead the line for the Three Lions. Given his sharpness in front of goal and England’s dominance in possession, the captain is a strong candidate to break the deadlock in Riga.
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When these two sides met at Wembley earlier in the campaign, England cruised to a comfortable 3-0 win. With their World Cup berth now within touching distance, Tuchel’s men will be eager to wrap up qualification here with another similar result. Latvia, meanwhile, will aim to make a respectable showing in front of their home fans. But all signs point toward another routine victory for England.
Final Prediction: Latvia 0-3 England
Bettors can explore a variety of betting options on BetMGM, including full-time results, over/under goals, and player props for this clash.
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