Aug 1, 2025; Montreal, QC, Canada; Iga Swiatek (POL) looks on against Eva Lys (GER) in third round play at IGA Stadium.

Iga Swiatek vs. Clara Tauson Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for WTA National Bank Open 2025 Round of 16

Winner to face Keys or Muchova in the QFs.

Aug 1, 2025; Montreal, QC, Canada; Iga Swiatek (POL) looks on against Eva Lys (GER) in third round play at IGA Stadium.

Six-time Grand Slam champion Iga Swiatek looks to improve her unbeaten run to 10 matches, as she takes on Clara Tauson of Denmark in the National Bank Open 2025 Round of 16 on Sunday. The Polish superstar hasn’t dropped a set in over a month, and hasn’t conceded more than three games in a set across her last four encounters. With a chance of reclaiming the World No. 2 ranking this week in Montreal, there is a lot at stake for Swiatek. How does BetMGM analyse her chances against the Danish prodigy? Let’s find out.

Going into the 2025 Wimbledon Championships, Iga Swiatek hadn’t won a tour-level title in over a year. She stunned the world by outdoing herself on grass, winning her sixth major. The Pole reached four semis and three quarters in her first seven tournaments of the year, before relinquishing her crown at Roland Garros. Swiatek then made the final in Bad Homburg, and ended up winning at SW19. The 24-year-old has a 44-11 record in 2025, including a 52% success rate on hard court return games.

Swiatek Swings On 👉@iga_swiatek moves past Lys 6-2, 6-2 for a spot in the Round of 16.#OBN25 pic.twitter.com/IdSvFqYx95
— wta (@WTA) August 2, 2025

Speaking of Wimbledon, World No. 19 Clara Tauson happened to be one of Swiatek’s victims at this year’s competition. The 22-year-old has bounced back phenomenally well after a disheartening QF exit in Washington last week – she has beaten Bronzetti and Starodubtseva without dropping a set so far. Tauson began the year with a title charge in Auckland. Reaching the summit clash in Dubai and a semifinal finish in Linz means that the 16th seed enters this match with an uplifting 30-15 win-loss record.

Quick Work by Clara 👏

Clara Tauson defeats Starodubtseva in straight sets to advance to Round 4.#OBN25 pic.twitter.com/YepzrxNKYs
— wta (@WTA) August 1, 2025

Iga Swiatek vs Clara Tauson Head to Head Record

Swiatek has an unbeaten 2-0 record against Tauson. If the discarded Fed Cup tournament is taken into consideration, the former World No. 1’s record further improves to 3-0. Swiatek and Tauson clashed at the 2022 Indian Wells Masters, wherein the former managed to earn a challenging three set win. In the return fixture at All England Club in 2025, Swiatek managed a rather straightforward victory.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Wimbledon	Round of 16	Iga Swiatek	6-4 6-1
2022 Indian Wells	Round of 32	Iga Swiatek	6-7(3) 6-2 6-1

Iga Swiatek vs Clara Tauson Career Comparison

Iga Swiatek	Category	Clara Tauson
6	Grand Slams	0
23	WTA Singles Titles	3
0	WTA Doubles Titles	0
10	WTA-1000 Titles	0
Bronze (Paris 2024)	Olympics Best Performance	R1 (Paris 2024)
No. 3	Current World Ranking	No. 19

Iga Swiatek vs Clara Tauson WTA National Bank Open 2025 Prediction

The reigning Wimbledon champion made it very clear that she wants to continue the momentum, and she has done just that. Swiatek is finding her range from the back of the court, and her serves have an extra kick on the high bouncing courts in Montreal. Tauson will hope to engage in some neutral cross-court exchanges, as she has the knack of painting the lines against the run of play. However, we believe the No. 2 seed will power through.

Prediction: Iga Swiatek in three sets.

Iga Swiatek vs Clara Tauson WTA National Bank Open 2025 Betting Odds

Swiatek is a strong favourite against underdog Tauson in the Canadian Open Round of 16. According to the implied pre-match probability on the money line, the Polish star has an 87% chance of advancing to the last eight stage. Here are all the important odds to know about before placing your bets (as per BetMGM):

Iga Swiatek Win: 1/6
Clara Tauson Win: 17/4

Total Games <19.5: 41/50
Total Games By Tauson <7.5: 17/20
Total Games By Swiatek <12.5: 8/13
Tauson +5.5 (Game Handicap): 10/11

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: David Kirouac, Imagn Images)

Betting

Clara Tauson

Iga Swiatek

Karolina Muchova

Madison Keys

National Bank Open

Tennis

US Open

WTA

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.