Get to know the betting odds, predictions and picks for the upcoming Iasmin Lucindo vs Angela Hill fight at UFC Vegas 109!
This Saturday at UFC Vegas 109, fans get a perfect example of prospect vs veteran when 23 year old Brazilian prospect Iasmin Lucindo faces 40 year-old veteran Angela Hill. The age gap tells only part of the story. Hill started kickboxing when Lucindo was still learning to walk, yet both fighters find themselves at similar crossroads in their careers.
Hill has been a fairly active fighter in the UFC. She has seen every style, faced every type of opponent, and survived a lot of wars since her debut in 2014. Lucindo brings the hunger and athleticism of youth, having turned professional as a teenager and quickly establishing herself as a future contender.
Both fighters stand 5’3″ and cut to 115 pounds, but that’s where the similarities end. Lucindo carries a slight reach advantage at 66 inches compared to Hill’s 64 inch reach. Iasmin Lucindo operates as a measured striker who picks her spots carefully. She throws 2.94 significant strikes per minute with 44% accuracy while absorbing just 2.53 strikes coming back. Her striking defense sits at an impressive 65%. Where Lucindo really shines is her grappling game as she averages 2.15 takedown attempts per fight with solid 60% accuracy. Her takedown defense needs work at 54%, but she rarely hunts submissions with only 0.2 attempts per bout.
Angela Hill brings the opposite energy with her high volume striking approach. She unleashes 5.47 significant strikes per minute with better 50% accuracy, though she absorbs 4.92 strikes coming back at her. Her striking defense checks in at 61%. Hill’s grappling numbers tell the story of a pure striker at just 0.81 takedown attempts with 32% accuracy. Her takedown defense is excellent at 75% and she almost never hunts submissions with 0.1 attempts per fight.
The oddsmakers have spoken on this contest. According to Fanduel, they have made Iasmin Lucindo a favorite at -210. Meanwhile, Angela Hill comes back as an underdog between +162. These odds reflect Lucindo’s youth advantage and superior grappling skills.
The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is lower and the odds (+330) reflect that. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at -550.
This fight comes down to whether Angela Hill can impose her striking volume before Lucindo establishes control. Hill’s best chance involves backing Iasmin Lucindo against the fence and unleashing combinations that overwhelm the younger fighter’s defense. Her experience in these situations gives her clear advantages in scrambles and exchanges.
Lucindo’s blueprint requires patience and tactical execution. She must use her footwork to avoid Hill’s pressure while setting up takedown opportunities. Once the fight hits the ground, her superior grappling should take over. The key involves not getting drawn into Hill’s preferred firefights.
If we bet on the fight, we are going with Iasmin Lucindo to win the fight via unanimous decision.
(Image Credit: Jason da Silva – Imagn Images)
mma I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
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