Mandatory Credit: Jonathan Hui-Imagn Images

Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini Head-to-Head and Prediction for ATP Italian Open 2025 Round of 32

A Tight Head-to-Head Sets Stage for Rome Showdown

Mandatory Credit: Jonathan Hui-Imagn Images

Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini are set to clash for the eighth time in the third round of the Italian Open. The sixth-seeded Norwegian and 29th-seeded Italian both received first-round byes. In the second round, Berrettini battled past Jacob Fearnley in straight sets, needing a tiebreak to close out the second. Ruud, on the other hand, overcame a tough test from Alexander Bublik, eventually sealing the win in three sets.

Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini Preview

Berrettini’s 2025 season has been a blend of promise and inconsistency. With a 12–9 record and no titles, he’s had flashes of form, quarterfinals in Qatar, Dubai, and Miami, highlighted by a straight-sets win over Novak Djokovic. He upset world No. 2 Alexander Zverev in Monte Carlo before falling to Lorenzo Musetti but withdrew early in Madrid with an abdominal injury.

Stat-wise, he’s fired 224 aces and won 77% on first serve while saving 69% of break points. However, a 38% conversion rate from 122 break chances and just 27% on first-serve returns reflect his struggles on the return game.

Casper Ruud is officially an ATP Masters 1000 champion 🏆 pic.twitter.com/1UEDE6uoUs
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) May 4, 2025

On the other hand, World No. 7 Ruud seems to be peaking. He clinched his first ATP Masters 1000 title in Madrid, defeating Jack Draper in the final after beating Daniil Medvedev, Taylor Fritz, and Francisco Cerundolo. He also made the Barcelona quarterfinals and reached the Dallas final earlier in the season.

Ruud has tallied 130 aces and won 71% of first-serve points while converting 37% of 176 break points and saving 71% of the 162 he faced, evidence that his game is rounding into form after a slow start.

Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini Head-to-Head Record

Casper Ruud leads the head-to-head against Matteo Berrettini 4-3 in a rivalry marked by momentum swings and closely contested matches. Only once has either player won back-to-back, and that edge currently belongs to Ruud.

Their showdown began at Roland Garros in 2019, where Ruud claimed a straight-sets victory. A year later, Berrettini responded in kind at the US Open, delivering a straight-set win of his own. Later that same season, Ruud regained the advantage in Rome with a gritty come-from-behind victory. But Berrettini struck back at the 2021 Madrid Masters, leveling their rivalry at two apiece after a dominant semifinal performance.

Madrid champ vs hometown hero 🤜🤛

It's Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini in Roma! pic.twitter.com/gzrJ96gcst
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) May 10, 2025

In 2022, Ruud found another gear. He defeated Berrettini in a tightly contested Gstaad final and followed it up with a commanding straight-sets win at the US Open quarterfinals, his only consecutive victories in this series, pushing the scoreline to 4-2.

Their most recent encounter came at the 2023 United Cup, where Berrettini snapped Ruud’s streak with a clean straight-set win, bringing the head-to-head to 4-3.

Now, with their eighth clash set for the Italian Open, anticipation is high. Can Berrettini level the rivalry once again, especially with the home crowd behind him? Or will Ruud reclaim control as he did two years ago?

Year	Event	Round	Winner	Score
2023	United Cup	Round Robin	Matteo Berrettini	6–4, 6–4
2022	US Open	Quarterfinal	Casper Ruud	6–1, 6–4, 7–6
2022	Gstaad	Final	Casper Ruud	4–6, 7–6, 6–2
2021	Madrid Open	Semifinal	Matteo Berrettini	6–4, 6–4
2020	Italian Open	Quarterfinal	Casper Ruud	4–6, 6–3, 7–6
2020	US Open	Round of 32	Matteo Berrettini	6–4, 6–4, 6–2
2019	Roland Garros	Round of 64	Casper Ruud	6–4, 7–5, 6–3

Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini Comparison

Casper Ruud	Category	Matteo Berrettini
7	Ranking	30
279-146	Career W-L	200-107
21-6	YTD W-L	12-9
13	Career Titles	10
0	Grand Slams	0
1	YTD Titles	0

Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini Prediction

Given their tight 4–3 head-to-head and recent form, this match could go either way. Matteo Berrettini has home-court advantage and a powerful serve, but Casper Ruud’s consistency and recent Madrid title give him the edge.

Prediction: Casper Ruud in straight sets

Also Read: Karen Khachanov vs. Francesco Passaro Preview, Prediction and Betting Odds for ATP Italian Open 2025 Round of 32