Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marta Kostyuk Head to Head Record, Prediction and Betting Odds for WTA Italian Open 2025 Round-of-16

The Belarusian has a 2-0 record against Kostyuk on clay court.

Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports

World No. 1, Aryna Sabalenka will take on Marta Kostyuk in the round-of-16 clash of the 2025 Italian Open. The Belarusian fought back from a set down to beat Sofia Kenin 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 in third-round. Marta Kostyuk got better of Leylah Fernandez in straight sets to set a date with Sabalenka on Monday.

Chasing her first Italian Open title, Sabalenka took 2 hours and 13 minutes to counter the former Australian Open winner in Round-of-32. The world No. 1 converted 6/23 break points and won her 8th consecutive game. Sabalenka can eye her third 1000 series title of the season as her main rivals like Swiatek and Pegula got eliminated last weekend. With an astonishing 33-5 record this year and titles in Madrid and Miami, Sabalenka is clear favourite to win the Rome Masters this season.

Also Read: 2025 Italian Open – Holger Rune, Elena Rybakina, Stefanos Tsitsipas out as Weekend turns graveyard for top seeds

On the flip side, Marta Kostyuk faces a toughest assignment to reach maiden quarterfinals in Italian Open. She beat Alexandra Eala, Daria Kasatkina, and Leylah Fernandez in her glorious campaign at Rome without dropping a single set. The Ukrainian ace reached the quarterfinals in Doha, and Madrid.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Head to Head Record

Aryna Sabalenka has a 3-0 record against Marta Kostyuk. Their last meeting was one month back in Madrid and Sabalenka won 7-6(4) 7-6(7) in the quarterfinals. The Belarusian has a 2-0 record against Kostyuk on clay court.

🎙️Marta Kostyuk ahead of her match against Aryna Sabalenka in Rome — and reflections on their recent battle in Madrid:

On the Madrid match:

"I think I played really well. Honestly, I gave it everything I had. It was probably the first time I stepped onto the court against a… pic.twitter.com/22q9vrJGTg
— Ukrainian Tennis • BTU (@ukrtennis_eng) May 12, 2025

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Madrid	Quarterfinals	Aryna Sabalenka	7-6(4) 7-6(7)
2023 Paris	Round-1	Aryna Sabalenka	6-3, 6-2
2022 Dubai	Round-1	Aryna Sabalenka	6-4, 6-1

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Career Comparison

Aryna Sabalenka	Category	Marta Kostyuk
3	Grand Slams	1
20	WTA Singles Titles	1
6	WTA Doubles Titles	2
9	WTA-1000 Titles	0
R2 (Tokyo 2020)	Olympics Best Performance	QF (Paris 2024)
No. 1	Current World Ranking	No. 29

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Italian Open 2025 Prediction

Sabalenka has always been a tough opponent for any player specially on clay court where she went 9-1 in the current season. However, Marta Kostyuk also posted a 10-3 record on this surface and currently, she is having her best campaign in the Rome Masters.

The Ukrainian ace didn’t win a single set out of three meetings against Aryna Sabalenka. The Belarusian has won 33 WTP matches this year, most by any player and is already on eight-match winning streak. Sabalenka is clear favourites to win the Round-of-16 tie against Kostyuk on Monday.

Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka to win in straight sets.

Also Read: Aryana Sabalenka Squeezes Past Sofia Kenin to Storm into Rome Masters Last 16

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Italian Open 2025 Betting Odds

A 2-0 Sabalenka victory seems to be the most common bet for success.

Moneyline: Sabalenka -325, Kostyuk +280.
Spread: Sabalenka -4.5 (-115), Kostyuk +4.5 (-110).
Total games: Over 20.5 (-115), Under 20.5 (-110).

Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marta Kostyuk

Marta Kostyuk

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