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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Hamad Medjedovic Preview, Prediction and Betting Odds for ATP Cincinnati Open 2025 Round-3

Sankalp Harikrishnan

Winner to face Mensik or Nardi in Round-4.

2023 runner-up Carlos Alcaraz resumes his quest for a maiden title at this event, as he takes on Serbian sensation Hamad Medjedovic in the 2025 Cincinnati Open Round of 32 on Tuesday. While the Spaniard endured a tough opening round match over the weekend, Medjedovic is yet to drop a set across two matches so far. Having lost in Round-2 last year, can Alcaraz go one step further as he looks to capture the crown in Ohio? Follow The Playoffs News and BetMGM for all things tennis!

Carlos Alcaraz vs Hamad Medjedovic Match Preview

The head-to-head record between Alcaraz and Medjedovic is currently 0-0. The Lindner Family Tennis Centre in Mason, Ohio will play host to their first career meeting. Alcaraz is chasing his first title at this tournament, and enters this match on the back of a three set win over Dzumhur in Round-2. Prior to this, the World No. 2 secured five titles during the course of the season – including Roland Garros. He tumbled on the last hurdle at the Wimbledon Championships vs Sinner, but remains the premier ATP starlet at the moment.

While Alcaraz will be chasing his 50th win of 2025 against Medjedovic, the 22-year-old Serbian has reached one hard court final this year. He has put up a 5-3 record on the surface, which includes wins over the likes of Medvedev, Tsitsipas and Khachanov. Medjedovic is searching for his first career title – he is currently ranked No. 72 in the world. With a 71% success rate on hard court service games, he starts this contest as the minnow over the second seed.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Hamad Medjedovic Career Comparison

Carlos AlcarazCategoryHamad Medjedovic
5Grand Slams0
21ATP Singles Titles0
0ATP Doubles Titles0
7Masters-1000 Titles0
Silver (Paris 2024)Olympics Best Performance
No. 2Current World RankingNo. 72

Carlos Alcaraz vs Hamad Medjedovic ATP Cincinnati Open 2025 Prediction

Alcaraz managed to find his best tennis when it mattered most against Dzumhur. His power will come in handy in groundstrokes exchanges against Medjedovic, as the Serbian can outhit players more often than not. Winning over 87% points on first serve so far, the underdog will have to attack and look for free points whenever possible. The more opportunities Alcaraz has to take charge of rallies, the lesser chance Medjedovic has to advance.

Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz in three sets.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Hamad Medjedovic ATP Cincinnati Open 2025 Betting Odds

Alcaraz is an outright favourite against the underdog Medjedovic in terms of the pre-match betting odds. According to the implied probability on the money line, the five-time major champ stands tall with an 88% chance of advancing to the next stage of the competition. Take a look at the most likely scenarios (as per BetMGM):

  • Carlos Alcaraz Win: 2/15
  • Hamad Medjedovic Win: 24/5
  • Total Games <21.5: 10/11
  • Total Games By Medjedovic <8.5: Evens
  • Alcaraz -4.5 (Game Handicap): 19/20
  • Alcaraz to Win 2-0: 4/9
  • Medjedovic to Win At Least 1 Set (Yes): 6/4

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Aaron Doster, Imagn Images)

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.

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