Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images

Brandon Nakashima vs. Jesper De Jong Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round – 1

30th seed Nakashima looks to fend off a rising Dutch qualifier in the first round of the US Open.

Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images

The 2025 US Open first round presents a compelling clash between No. 30 seed Brandon Nakashima and Dutch qualifier Jesper de Jong. Nakashima, still chasing his first title since the 2022 San Diego Open, has put together a steady yet unfulfilled campaign in 2025. The American reached semifinals in Acapulco and Houston, while also making quarterfinal runs in Delray Beach, Challenger Bordeaux, Stuttgart, Queen’s, and most recently Washington. Despite these deep runs, he has struggled to break through at times, most recently suffering a second-round exit in Cincinnati at the hands of Alexander Zverev. Statistically, Nakashima remains one of the steadier servers on tour, with 379 aces this season, winning 74% of first-serve points and converting 35% of 289 break opportunities.

Brandon Nakashima kicks off his Washington campaign in style!
The American leads 2-0 with an early break against his compatriot Ethan Quinn in the opening set. pic.twitter.com/XibV9E8tkg
— Fungiball.io 🎾 (@Fungiball_off) July 22, 2025

De Jong, meanwhile, is enjoying a quiet breakthrough of his own. The 25-year-old Dutchman climbed to a career high of No. 79 last month before dipping slightly to No. 83. While still searching for his maiden ATP title, he has proven competitive this season, reaching the Nordea Open final before falling to Luciano Darderi. His Challenger form has been equally strong, with a final in Murcia, semifinals in Occitanie and Girona, and a string of quarterfinals, including most recently in Cancun. De Jong’s numbers suggest a well-rounded game with 182 aces, 75% first-serve points won, and a 36% break-point conversion rate across 160 opportunities.

ATP Tour Finalist! 🤩

Jesper De Jong advances into a career first ATP Tour-level final with a 6-3 7-6 win over Ugo Carabelli#NordeaOpen pic.twitter.com/LHjdtZhMzh
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) July 19, 2025

Brandon Nakashima vs. Jesper De Jong Head-to-Head Record

Brandon Nakashima and Jesper De Jong do not have a head-to-head yet.

Brandon Nakashima vs. Jesper De Jong Comparison

Brandon Nakashima	Category	Jesper De Jong
31	Current Ranking	83
120-101	Career W-L	16-18
25-21	YTD W-L	14-10
1	Career Titles	0
0	Grand Slams	0
0	YTD Titles	0

Brandon Nakashima vs. Jesper De Jong Prediction

Nakashima’s serve and composure on big stages should tilt this match in his favor, though De Jong’s form and confidence make him dangerous enough to push the American.

Prediction: Brandon Nakashima in straight sets

Brandon Nakashima vs. Jesper De Jong US Open 2025 Betting Odds

Nakashima enters as the favorite at 8/25, his higher seeding and ATP-level experience giving him the edge. De Jong’s odds at 5/2 reflect his underdog status but leave room for an upset.

Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:

Brandon Nakashima: 8/25

Jesper De Jong: 5/2

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):

Total Sets Under 4.5: 3/10

Total Sets Over 4.5: 5/2

Total Games Under 41.5: 13/25

Total Game Over 41.5: 29/20

Nakashima Set 1 Winner: 4/9

De Jong Set 1 Winner: 17/10

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Image Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images

Brandon Nakashima

US Open 2025

Rudra Dubey

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.