The Bears, fresh off a dramatic 31-27 Wild Card comeback victory over the Green Bay Packers, leverage home-field advantage and their resilient defense paired with explosive playmaking from quarterback Caleb Williams and key weapons. Chicago’s momentum build on their NFC North title and strong late-season surge.
The Rams, advancing with a thrilling 34-31 Wild Card win over the Carolina Panthers, brings a high-powered offense led by Matthew Stafford, elite receivers like Puka Nacua, and a veteran coaching staff under Sean McVay.
Our best bet for the Bears vs Rams is Caleb Williams under 1.5 passing TDs: (-145) (Sourced via BetMGM).
Caleb Williams threw 27 passing TDs over 17 regular season games in 2025 (about 1.59 per game average), but the Bears’ offense often leans on their ground game and explosive plays rather than consistent aerial scoring. In his Wild Card performance vs Green Bay, he had just 2 passing TDs on 48 attempts amid a comeback, showing efficiency but not volume in big spots. The Rams boast a strong defense that allowed only 26 passing TDs all season (about 1.53 per game), ranking mid-to-upper tier in limiting QB scores.
Chicago’s home-field edge at Soldier Field and a physical Rams front that pressures QBs could force shorter throws, checkdowns, or run reliance, limiting deep/red-zone passing opportunities. Williams has shown growth but faces a veteran unit that caps explosive plays. This game favors lower-scoring, grind-it-out affair favoring defense and ground attacks over multi-TD aerial outbursts.
Same-Game Parlay Picks for Bears vs Rams
Here are our picks for a 3-leg same game parlay for the Bears vs Rams Divisional round game (Sourced from BetMGM).
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The Rams boast veteran QB Matthew Stafford, who led the league in TD passes and the MVP favorite, alongside explosive weapons like Puka Nacua or DeVante Adams, Sean McVay’s elite play-calling, and a proven playoff pedigree winning the Super Bowl in the 2021 season. They’ve shown resilience with road comebacks and rank strong in key metrics like pass rush, despite recent defensive lapses.
Chicago’s young QB Caleb Williams has dazzled with comebacks (league-high fourth-quarter rallies), but faces a step-up in competition against a veteran unit that can exploit inconsistencies in high-pressure spots. At -200, the juice reflects the Rams’ superior experience and offensive firepower in what many see as a winnable road spot. If the Bears trail in this game, a comeback like they achieved against the Packers, may not possible as the Rams are way too good offensively compared to the Packers who struggled with consistency on offense and defense all season long.
The Rams’ star WR erupted for 1,486 receiving yards (2nd among WRs) on 112 catches with 11 TDs in 2025, maintaining elite production and red-zone dominance (6 of his TDs from inside the 10-yard line). He scored in 8 of his last 11 games, including multi-TD outings, and thrives as Matthew Stafford’s primary target in high-leverage situations.
Chicago’s secondary allowed 28 passing TDs this season (mid-tier vulnerability), struggling against explosive perimeter threats despite strong overall defense. With Stafford’s MVP like play-making, McVay’s creative scheming, and Nacua’s consistent involvement (high target share in playoffs expected), he is highly likely to find the end zone in this playoff battle.
Matthew Stafford Under 35.5 Passing Attempts (-130)
Stafford averaged 34.8 passing attempts per game in 2025 (593 attempts over 17 games), but the Rams’ balanced attack under Sean McVay frequently leans on the run game (top-10 rushing efficiency) when leading or controlling tempo, especially in road playoff spots. In recent high-stakes games, Stafford has stayed under 35 attempts 9 times this season, including multiple instances below 30 when the ground game clicks.
Chicago’s weak run-defense and the weather could force the Rams to use their running game more frequently. Not to mention the fact that the Bears also led the league in forcing turnovers and catching interceptions with 23 picks this season. Sean McVay may want to use a more conservative approach, in order to keep the avoid turnovers, and using the run game could achieve just that. Hence, we believe Stafford staying under 35.5 attempts is highly likely.
Here is a look at the line, spread, and points Over/Under for the Bears vs Rams Divisional round game, as per BetMGM.
Moneyline Prediction
The moneyline for this game sits in the favor of the Rams at (-200), while the Bears, despite being at home, are the (+165) underdog. The Bears have surprised a lot of analysts and teams this season, and are highly likely to make a comeback if they trail early, like they’ve done all season long. Looking at the Rams who nearly faltered against the Panthers in the Wild Card round, their defense needs to get sharper, as the Bears are highly dangerous at home compared to when they are on the road. Looking at this, we will stick with the Rams to win.
Over/Under (Total) Prediction
The over/under for the total points in the Bears vs Rams game is set at 48.5. The Rams allowed 31 points to a Carolina team and it was frankly surprising. The Panthers were one of the worst offenses in the league but despite their rankings, the Rams could not control them from getting points. Similarly, the Bears thrive on getting picks but are near the bottom of the rankings in nearly every major defensive statistical category. This is the reason why we will pick Over, as both teams have great offenses but have struggled defensively at times.
Spread Prediction
The Rams are the slight favorites to win the matchup with a -3.5 spread over the Bears. The Rams, expect for the home-field advantage, have everything else in their favor. They have playoff experience, Super Bowl trophy win Stafford, MVP frontrunner for 2025-26 regular season, explosive WRs, and a better defense. They have zero excuses to lose this matchup against a Bears team that have just arrived in the playoffs. Hence, we are sticking with the Rams to cover the spread and win. However, the Bears might just surprise everybody once again.
Bears vs Rams Odds
Here, we take a look at the latest Bears vs Rams odds from a couple of our favourite sportsbooks, namely, FanDueland BetMGM.
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Trends to Know for Bears vs Rams
The Bears are 12-5-1 against the spread this season.
The Rams are 12-6 against the spread this season.
The Over is 11-7 in the Rams’ games this season.
The Over is 9-9 in the Bears’ games this season.
The Rams are 6-4 against the spread on the road this season.
The Bears are 6-3 against the spread at home this season.
Latest Injuries for Bears vs Rams
Latest Injury report for the Bears
C.J. Gardner-Johnson: Out
Amen Ogbongbeminga: Out
Joe Tyron Shoyinka: Out
Ozzy Trapilo: Out
T.J. Edwards: Out
Andrew Billings: Out
Braxton Jones: Injured Reserve
Latest Injury report for the Rams
Kevin Dotson: Questionable
Ahkello Witherspoon: Injured reserve
Matthew Stafford: Questionable
Jordan Whittington: Out
Josh Wallace: Out
Terrance Ferguson: Out
Weather Report for Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams
According to the forecasted weather report, Sunday evening brings bitterly cold conditions for the 6:30 PM ET kickoff, with temperatures around 10°F and a windchill of -6°F. Winds blow at 12 mph with gusts up to 22 mph. Periods of snow are expected, accumulating roughly an inch. This harsh, wintry setup favors the cold-weather Bears and poses a significant challenge for the Rams who are accustomed to warm weather.
What time is the Bears vs Rams Divisional Game?
The matchup between the Bears vs Rams Divisional round game will kick off at 6:30 PM ET, slated for a Sunday, January 18, 2026, primetime slot.
The Bears take on the Rams to end the Divisional round matchups on Sunday at Soldier Field, Chicago, home of the Bears.
How can I watch the Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams?
The Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams Divisional round matchup will be broadcasted live on NBC. Fans can also catch the action through streaming platform services such as Peacock, NFL+ (Chicago area only), Hulu + Live TV, or YouTube TV.
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
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