UFC Qatar – Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker Predictions, Betting Odds And Best Bets

Lightweight title implications define November 22nd at UFC Qatar with the Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker fight. Tsarukyan’s relentless wrestling will meet Hooker’s elite kickboxing in a clash where pressure battles experience.

Tsarukyan stands 5’7″ with a 72 inch reach and 22-3 record. He showcases balanced striking at 3.79 per minute with 48% accuracy while absorbing just 1.84. His striking defense sits at 53%, showing solid defensive awareness. Tsarukyan’s grappling dominates with elite 3.25 takedowns per fight at 37% accuracy and 0.0 submission attempts. His strong 75% takedown defense ensures scrambles favor his wrestling when opponents shoot.

👀🇶🇦 Arman Tsarukyan and Dan Hooker face off for the first time at Qatar.

🎥 @engageind pic.twitter.com/74UyRRLHMt
— Home of Fight (@Home_of_Fight) November 18, 2025

Hooker measures 6’0″ with a 75 inch reach. His 24-12 record showcases aggressive striking at 5.03 per minute with matching 48% accuracy while absorbing a concerning 4.72. His striking defense registers at just 51%, revealing defensive vulnerabilities despite elite kickboxing credentials. Hooker’s grappling shows minimal involvement with 0.73 takedowns per fight at 34% accuracy and 0.3 submission attempts. His impressive 78% takedown defense has proven effective against elite wrestlers.

Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker Predictions And Picks

This UFC fight breaks down to whether Hooker’s five-inch height advantage, three-inch reach advantage, and elite kickboxing can keep Tsarukyan at distance. If this stays standing, Hooker holds clear advantages with more strikes per minute and superior physical dimensions creating distance management opportunities.

However, the statistics reveal a grappling mismatch favoring Tsarukyan’s championship-level wrestling. His 3.25 takedowns per fight should eventually overwhelm Hooker’s takedown defense, especially as rounds progress and defensive wrestling deteriorates. More critically, Tsarukyan absorbs just 1.84 strikes per minute compared to Hooker’s alarming 4.72 absorbed, revealing massive defensive gaps that Tsarukyan’s pressure exploits.

If we bet on this fight, we are going with Arman Tsarukyan to win by KO/TKO.

Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker MMA Betting Odds

Arman Tsarukyan enters as a heavy favorite at -530 on FanDuel. Meanwhile, Dan Hooker comes in as the +360 underdog. The odds reflect confidence in Tsarukyan’s wrestling dominance and power striking overwhelming Hooker’s physical advantages and recent form.

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The odds for the fight going the distance stand at +166. The probability favors an early finish with odds at -215, reflecting Tsarukyan’s finishing ability and Hooker’s vulnerability absorbing high strikes per minute.

Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker Best Bets

Here are the best bets for Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker fight:

Tsarukyan Moneyline (-530)

Heavy favorite but justified by complete advantages. His high takedowns per fight combined with superior striking defense should overwhelm Hooker’s dimensions. The wrestling pressure accumulates damage over five rounds against aging veteran.

Tsarukyan by KO/TKO (+155)

Excellent value on the most likely finish. Tsarukyan’s power striking against Hooker’s alarming strikes absorbed per minute stat creates accumulating damage opportunities. His ability to soften opponents before takedowns makes knockout probable or even a ground and pound TKO.

Fight Under 3.5 Rounds (-128)

Strong bet on Tsarukyan’s finishing ability. Hooker’s accumulated damage over 11 UFC years and defensive vulnerabilities make early stoppage likely. Tsarukyan’s relentless pressure should break Hooker’s resistance within four rounds before championship-level adjustments extend the fight.

(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)

(Image Credit: Mark J. Rebilas – Imagn Images)

Zaid Quraishi

mma

I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!