Paolini Aims to Halt Krejcikova’s Cincinnati Run in Push Toward Quarterfinal Glory.
Seventh seed Jasmine Paolini will face unseeded Barbora Krejcikova in the fourth round of the Cincinnati Open 2025. Paolini entered with a first-round bye and quickly found her rhythm, defeating Maria Sakkari and 26th seed Ashlyn Krueger in straight sets. Krejcikova’s route was tougher, with the former world No. 2 needing three sets to overcome Alycia Parks, 10th seed Elina Svitolina, and lucky loser Iva Jovic.
Point so good your opponent applauds it 🔥@JasminePaolini | #CincyTennis pic.twitter.com/hN37dXufwd
— wta (@WTA) August 12, 2025
Paolini’s season has been both stellar and streaky. Her crowning moment came in Rome, where she stunned Coco Gauff in straight sets en route to the title, followed by doubles triumphs in Rome and Roland Garros alongside Sara Errani. Semifinal runs in Miami, Stuttgart, and Berlin added to her resume, though early exits have dotted her post-Berlin calendar. In 41 matches this year, she’s struck 55 aces, winning 60.9% of first-serve points and 46.1% on return, and converting 49.3% of break points.
This one still hurts… 🥺
— Barbora Krejcikova (@BKrejcikova) July 9, 2025
Wimbledon will always hold a special place in my heart. Coming back after a 6-month break due to a back injury, my goal was simply to step on the grass and make it through the first round. I did that. And I started to feel more like myself again.… pic.twitter.com/2X4PWr9IJa
Krejcikova’s campaign has been hampered by a six-month injury layoff. Returning in May at Strasbourg, she managed a strong Eastbourne showing before withdrawing with a thigh issue. Her Wimbledon title defense ended in the third round to Emma Navarro, followed by a Montreal first-round loss. In 10 matches this year, she’s hit 28 aces, winning 65.6% on first serve, 42% on return, and converting 38.7% of break points.
Barbora Krejcikova owns a commanding 2-0 head-to-head lead over Jasmine Paolini. Their first encounter came at the 2018 Australian Open, where the Czech barely broke a sweat in cruising past her opponent. Six years later, a far more polished Paolini returned for another shot in 2024, but even then, she couldn’t crack the code of the two-time Grand Slam champion.
| Year | Winner | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Wimbledon | Finals | Barbora Krejcikova | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 2018 | Australian Open | Qualifying Round 1 | Barbora Krejcikova | 6-2, 6-1 |
| Jasmine Paolini | Category | Barbora Krejcikova |
| 9 | Current Ranking | 80 |
| 414-283 | Career W-L | 397-228 |
| 28-13 | YTD W-L | 5-5 |
| 3 | Career Titles | 8 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 2 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
Paolini’s momentum and recent high-profile wins give her the edge, especially against an opponent still searching for form after injury.
BAGLIORI AZZURRI 🤩
— ItaliaTeam (@ItaliaTeam_it) August 13, 2025
Al Masters 1000 di Cincinnati va in scena una super Italia! 😯
Jasmine Paolini c’è e batte Krueger 7-6 6-1, Lucia Bronzetti lotta e vince in rimonta contro Ostapenko! 🥎
Bolelli-Vavassori e Sonego-Musetti non sbagliano nel doppio maschile, Luca Nardi avanza… pic.twitter.com/ujYOXk8hH2
Prediction: Jasmine Paolini in straight sets
At 8/11, Paolini enters as the slight favorite, with the market reflecting her sharper match fitness. Krejcikova’s 11/10 offers value for those banking on her experience and 2-0 head-to-head lead.
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Jasmine Paolini: 8/11
Barbora Krejcikova: 11/10
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):
Total Sets Under 2.5: 11/20
Total Sets Over 2.5: 27/20
Total Games Under 19.5: 31/20
Total Games Over 19.5: 12/25
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Image Credits: Imagn Images
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mma I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.
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