The UFC Vancouver prelims feature an all-Brazilian women’s strawweight clash between two fighters seeking their breakthrough moment. Stephanie Luciano vs Ravena Oliveira brings together prospects who both stumbled in recent outings and need wins desperately.
Luciano recently dropped a split decision to Sam Hughes in her most recent fight. That loss stung because Luciano felt she had the bigger moments despite getting outwrestled throughout 15 minutes. Her Dana White’s Contender Series appearance ended in a rare draw where both fighters earned contracts, which was pretty wild. Oliveira is still searching for her first UFC victory after losing a unanimous decision to Tainara Lisboa in her promotional debut. That setback was disappointing because Oliveira held titles in 2 smaller organizations before joining the UFC. This matchup should produce fireworks as neither fighter is known for playing it safe.
Luciano brings a record of 6-2-1 and stands 5’6” tall with a 65 inch reach. She lands an impressive 5.36 significant strikes per minute at 41% accuracy. Luciano only absorbs 3.38 strikes per minute thanks to excellent striking defense at 61%. Her wrestling stats show 0.67 takedowns per fight at 66% accuracy, though grappling isn’t her preferred approach. Luciano’s takedown defense is strong at 80%, making her difficult to hold down consistently. She’s never attempted a submission in the UFC, as her Muay Thai background keeps her focused on striking battles.
Oliveira enters with a solid record of 7-2-1 and stands 5’5” with a 65 inch reach. She lands just 1.00 significant strikes per minute at 48% accuracy. Oliveira only absorbs 1.20 strikes per minute as her striking defense sits at 48%. Where Oliveira differentiates herself is wrestling, averaging 2.00 takedowns per fight at 66% accuracy. Her takedown defense checks in at 62%, making her vulnerable but willing to engage in grappling exchanges. Oliveira has zero submission attempts in the UFC, preferring to win fights through ground control and striking when opportunities arise.
FanDuel has installed Stephanie Luciano as a heavy favorite at -300. Meanwhile, Ravena Oliveira comes back as a significant underdog at +245. These odds reflect Luciano’s superior striking output and activity level compared to Oliveira’s debut performance.
The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at -290. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is lower and the odds (+215) reflect that.
This fight will be decided by whether Oliveira can close distance and get takedowns against Luciano’s 80% defense. Luciano’s massive advantage in striking output should dominate if this stays standing. She lands over 5 times more strikes per minute than Oliveira, which is an absolutely staggering difference.
Oliveira needs to pressure forward immediately and drag Luciano into ugly clinch battles along the fence. Her wrestling credentials give her a legitimate path to victory through ground control. The problem is Luciano’s excellent takedown defense and superior activity level should frustrate those attempts.
If we bet on the fight, we are going with Stephanie Luciano to win via unanimous decision.
(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)
mma I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
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