The UFC middleweight division gets another compelling matchup this Saturday night. Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen will headline UFC Fight Night in Vancouver, Canada. This five-round battle promises high-level grappling and strategic warfare between two skilled submission artists. De Ridder has been on a tear since joining the UFC, racking up four straight wins. His most recent victory came against former champion Robert Whittaker, which really turned heads in the division. Allen steps in on short notice after Anthony Hernandez pulled out with an injury.
Allen has been one of the busiest fighters in the middleweight division over the past few years. He’s compiled an impressive resume with wins over quality opponents. His recent victory against Marvin Vettori showed he belongs among the elite. Both fighters excel on the ground, which makes this stylistic matchup fascinating. This fight could have serious implications for the middleweight title shot moving forward.
De Ridder brings an outstanding record of 21-2 into this bout. The Dutch submission specialist stands tall at 6’4” with a 78 inch reach. De Ridder averages nearly 3 significant strikes per minute while maintaining 52% accuracy. His striking defense sits at 50%, which isn’t elite but gets the job done. Where he truly shines is grappling, averaging 2.86 takedowns per fight with a decent 27% accuracy. His takedown defense checks in at 66%, and he hunts for submissions constantly with a 0.6 average per fight. The former ONE Championship double champ has seamlessly transitioned to UFC competition.
Allen comes in with 25 wins against 7 defeats in his professional career. He stands 6’2” inches with a 75 inch reach advantage. Allen is more active with his striking, landing 3.85 significant strikes per minute at 53% accuracy. However, he absorbs 3.96 strikes per minute, which could be problematic against volume strikers. His striking defense needs work at 47%. Allen averages 1.65 takedowns per fight with better accuracy at 41%. His takedown defense sits at 56%. What stands out is his submission average of 1.2 per fight, showing his Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt isn’t just for show.
According to FanDuel, they have Reinier De Ridder installed as a clear favorite at -210. Meanwhile, Brendan Allen comes back as the underdog at +162. These odds reflect de Ridder’s recent success and his dominant win over Whittaker. The bookmakers clearly respect his grappling pedigree and ability to control fights.
The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at +196. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is higher and the odds (-260) reflect that.
This fight likely plays out as a grappling heavy affair from the opening bell. De Ridder will pressure forward immediately, looking to clinch and drag Allen to the canvas. His suffocating top control and long limbs create nightmares for opponents once he establishes position.
Allen won’t make it easy though, as his own grappling credentials are legit. The key factor might be cardio over 5 rounds. De Ridder showed signs of fading against Whittaker in the later rounds. Allen could exploit this if he survives the early onslaught and pushes the pace. But, de Ridder’s experience and submission threat give him the edge throughout.
If we bet on the fight, we are going with Reinier de Ridder to win via unanimous decision.
mma I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
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