May 3, 2025; Des Moines, Iowa, UNITED STATES; Mason Jones (blue gloves) reacts after defeating Jeremy Stephens (not pictured) during UFC Fight Night at Wells Fargo Arena. Mandatory Credit: Reese Strickland-Imagn Images

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UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs Borralho – Bolaji Oki vs Mason Jones Predictions And MMA Betting Odds

Lightweight fights provide the perfect blend of technical skill and raw excitement. When two young guns with heavy hands step into the octagon, fireworks usually follow. This weekend, UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs Borralho brings exactly that scenario when fans get to see Bolaji Oki vs Mason Jones in what promises to be a thrilling showcase.

The Nigerian born Oki has been steadily building his reputation in the UFC, while Welsh fighter Jones seeks redemption after a painful setback that cost him his spot on the roster temporarily. Jones spent two years fighting his way back through regional promotions after his UFC release. He has gone undefeated in Cage Warriors to earn another shot at the big stage. Both men carry the hunger that makes lightweight scraps so entertaining.

Bolaji Oki vs Mason Jones Preview

Bolaji Oki (10-2) stands at 5’10” with a 73 inch reach. He throws an incredible 7.05 significant strikes per minute, making him one of the most active fighters in the entire lightweight division. His 45% accuracy means nearly half of those shots find their target, creating constant pressure that breaks down opponents over time. Oki shows solid defensive awareness at 62% strike defense despite his willingness to engage in firefights. His 85% takedown defense suggests he’s comfortable keeping fights standing where his volume advantage pays dividends.

Mason Jones (16-2 -1NC) stands at 5’10” with a 74 inch reach. He averages 5.56 significant strikes per minute with 41% accuracy, showing he picks his shots more carefully than his opponent. Where Jones truly separates himself is his wrestling game, averaging an impressive 4.24 takedowns per 15 minutes with 52% accuracy. Jones struggles more defensively at just 48% strike defense. This is evidence of his tendency to get drawn into brawls when the smart play would be circling away or shooting for takedowns.

Bolaji Oki vs Mason Jones MMA Betting Odds

FanDuel has established Mason Jones as a slight favorite despite his recent setback. Current odds show Mason Jones priced at-142. Meanwhile, Bolaji Oki sits as the underdog at +116. This line reflects the bookmakers’ belief in Jones’s more diverse skill set and his ability to control where the fight takes place.

The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is lower and the odds (+100) reflect that. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at -128.

Bolaji Oki vs Mason Jones Prediction And Picks

This fight sets up as a classic striker vs grappler matchup with both men possessing enough crossover skills to make things interesting. Oki’s volume striking creates problems for anyone trying to close distance, but Jones has shown the wrestling ability to potentially take the fight to the ground where Oki becomes much less dangerous. The key question becomes whether Jones can resist the urge to stand and trade when Oki starts letting his hands go.

Jones’s path to victory requires discipline and smart fight management. His takedown success rate suggests he can get this fight to the mat, where his top control and submission attempts could neutralize Oki’s striking volume. However, his poor striking defense and tendency to get drawn into brawls could spell trouble against someone who throws over seven strikes per minute.

Oki’s best chance comes from overwhelming Jones with sheer volume and forcing him into a firefight where defensive lapses get punished repeatedly. His 62% striking defense should help him avoid the worst of Jones’s power shots while landing enough volume to pile up rounds on the scorecards.

If we bet on the fight, we are going with Mason Jones to win via unanimous decision.

(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)

(Image Credit: Reese Strickland – Imagn Images)

Bolaji Oki

Mason Jones

UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs Borralho

Zaid Quraishi

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I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!