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UFC 323 – Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira Predictions, Betting Odds And Best Bets

Zaid Quraishi

Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira matchup features championship experience and striking versatility against clinical grappling precision in a pivotal flyweight contender clash. Both fighters are looking to secure their positions as the next title challenger in the flyweight division. These contenders will clash at UFC 323 on December 6th.

Moreno stands 5’7″ with a 70 inch reach and a 23-8-2 record. He showcases aggressive striking at 3.96 per minute with 44% accuracy while absorbing 3.62. His striking defense sits at excellent 60% and his grappling presents respectable threat with 1.51 takedowns per fight at 44% accuracy and 0.4 submission attempts. He has a solid 64% takedown defense that keeps scrambles competitive when opponents shoot.

Taira measures 5’7″ with a 70 inch reach and 17-1 record. He showcases conservative striking at 2.87 per minute with superior 60% accuracy while absorbing just 2.54. His striking defense registers at 47% and his grappling absolutely dominates his approach with 3.21 takedowns per fight at 48% accuracy and 1.7 submission attempts. However, he has a concerning 45% takedown defense that presents vulnerability in scrambles.

Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira Predictions And Picks

This UFC fight breaks down to whether Moreno’s championship experience and striking variety can overcome Taira’s grappling and youth. Moreno holds clear advantages in elite-level experience, having competed through five-round wars with Deiveson Figueiredo and championship battles that forged his battle-tested mentality. His superior striking defense significantly outpaces Taira’s 47%, demonstrating better defensive awareness in exchanges.

Taira’s clearest route involves turning this into grappling matches early. His 3.21 takedowns per fight at 48% accuracy significantly outpaces Moreno’s 1.51 average, while his 1.7 submission attempts demonstrate dangerous finishing threats beyond positional control. Moreno represents solid defensive wrestler at 64% takedown defense, but can be taken down, especially early when reading tempo. 

However, Moreno’s championship experience, striking variety, and unbreakable mentality should overcome Taira’s grappling advantages over three rounds. His ability to maintain pace and pressure while surviving grappling exchanges neutralizes Taira’s primary weapons. 

If we bet on this fight, we are going with Brandon Moreno to win via unanimous decision.

Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira MMA Betting Odds

Tatsuro Taira enters as a slight favorite at -132 on FanDuel. Meanwhile, Brandon Moreno comes in as the +104 underdog. The near pick’em odds reflect uncertainty around Moreno’s accumulated damage vs Taira’s youthful grappling dominance.

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The odds for the fight going the distance stand at -290. The overwhelming odds favor judges deciding this matchup, with early finish odds at +215 reflecting both fighters’ proven durability and tactical approaches that accumulate rounds rather than seeking knockouts.

Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira Best Bets

Here are the best bets for Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira fight:

Moreno Moneyline (+104)

Excellent value on the championship-tested veteran as the underdog. His superior striking defense combined with championship experience should neutralize Taira’s grappling advantages. 

Fight Goes Distance (-290)

Safe bet despite steep odds. Both flyweights possess proven durability and technical skills throughout careers. Moreno’s championship rounds experience and Taira’s patient grappling approach favor tactical battles reaching scorecards. 

Moreno by Decision (+170)

Premium odds for the veteran’s most likely victory path. His superior striking variety and championship pacing accumulate rounds clearly when surviving grappling exchanges. Taira’s low striking defense and inexperience against elite competition create scoring advantages for Moreno’s combinations over three rounds.

(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)

(Image Credit: Perry Nelson – Imagn Images)

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I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!

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