UFC 322- Valentina Shevchenko vs Zhang Weili Predictions, Betting Odds And Best Bets

Historic championship moments define careers at Madison Square Garden. Valentina Shevchenko defends her women’s flyweight title at UFc 322 against Zhang Weili in what many consider the greatest female fight in UFC history. This Valentina Shevchenko vs Zhang Weili co-main event features the flyweight GOAT against the strawweight champion moving up in weight. Zhang will be attempting to join the elite club of two-division champions in a five-round war.

Shevchenko stands 5’5″ with a 66 inch reach. Her 25-4-1 record showcases technical striking at 3.14 per minute with 52% accuracy while absorbing just 2.06. Shevchecnko’s striking defense sits at an impressive 63%. Her grappling shows solid involvement with 2.62 takedowns per fight at excellent 60% accuracy and 0.3 submission attempts. Her 75% takedown defense keeps fights in her preferred range.

🏆⚖️ Valentina Shevchenko (124.6lbs) and Zhang Weili (124.6lbs) both make weight within the flyweight championship limit and our co-main event is OFFICIAL. pic.twitter.com/7UU9nb4Nkf
— Home of Fight (@Home_of_Fight) November 14, 2025

Weili measures 5’4″ with a 63 inch reach. Her 26-3 record showcases aggressive striking at 5.15 per minute with 53% accuracy while absorbing 2.77. Weili’s striking defense registers at 54%, respectable but inferior to Shevchenko’s. Her grappling presents threats with 2.24 takedowns per fight at 45% accuracy and 0.5 submission attempts. Her 74% takedown defense shows solid defensive wrestling.

Valentina Shevchenko vs Zhang Weili Predictions And Picks

Zhang holds clear advantages in striking output against Shevchenko in this UFC bout, and her recent dominance of the strawweight division showcases finishing ability against elite competition. However, the statistics and physical advantages favor Shevchenko defending her title. Her three inch reach advantage, and natural 125-pound frame create significant problems for Zhang moving up from strawweight.

More critically, Shevchenko’s superior striking defense reveals better defensive habits, crucial in a five-round championship fight where damage accumulation decides outcomes. Shevchenko’s 2.62 takedowns per fight outclass Zhang’s 2.24 suggesting grappling advantages if the champion chooses to wrestle.

The critical factor lies in Zhang’s power translating up to flyweight. Her devastating knockout ability at strawweight destroyed Joanna Jedrzejczyk, but facing naturally bigger opponents with Shevchenko’s defensive mastery presents different challenges.

If we bet on this fight, we are going with Valentina Shevchenko to win via unanimous decision.

Valentina Shevchenko vs Zhang Weili MMA Betting Odds

According to FanDuel, Valentina Shevchenko enters as a slight favorite at -128. Meanwhile, Zhang Weili comes in at +100. The remarkably close odds reflect uncertainty around Zhang’s power translating to flyweight balanced against Shevchenko’s size and experience advantages.

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The odds for the fight going the distance stand at -220. The odds for the fight ending before the final bell is lower at +170 reflecting both fighters’ durability and defensive capabilities.

Valentina Shevchenko vs Zhang Weili Best Bets

Here are the best bets for Valentina Shevchenko vs Zhang Weili fight:

Shevchenko Moneyline (-128)

Excellent value on the natural flyweight with size advantages everywhere. Her height and reach advantages paired with superior striking defense should control all exchanges.

Shevchenko by Decision (+155)

Outstanding odds on the most likely outcome. Shevchenko’s technical superiority and defensive mastery should win rounds without necessarily finding the finish against Zhang’s proven durability.

Fight Goes Distance (-220)

Safe bet despite steep odds. Both fighters’ elite defensive capabilities and championship experience make early finishes unlikely.

(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)

(Image Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie – Imagn Images)

Zaid Quraishi

mma

I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!