UFC 320 brings fans a middleweight clash that screams potential chaos. Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Muniz is happening on Saturday night in Las Vegas. This matchup pits a fast-starting striker against a submission specialist who loves dragging fights to the mat. One fighter wants to end things quickly, the other wants to grind it out.
Shahbazyan burst onto the UFC scene as a young phenom with knockout power and slick striking combinations. The hype was real until reality came knocking. Losses to Anthony Hernandez and Nassourdine Imavov, both by TKO, exposed his tendency to fade when fights go deep. But ‘The Golden Boy’ has bounced back nicely with two straight wins.
Muniz brings a completely different energy to this fight. The Brazilian submission ace has strangled his way through numerous opponents with his elite grappling game. His last outing was a disaster though. Ikram Aliskerov caught him behind the ear and put him to sleep in April. That knockout loss came after a long layoff following his split decision win over Jun Yong Park back in 2023. The ring rust was obvious and brutal.
Shahbazyan stands 6’2″ with a 75 inch reach. His striking output is aggressive at 3.74 significant strikes landed per minute with 48% accuracy. He absorbs 3.62 strikes per minute, which isn’t ideal but reflects his willingness to exchange in the pocket. His striking defense sits at just 48%, meaning he gets hit frequently when opponents fire back.
Shahbazyan’s grappling stats reveal some vulnerabilities that Muniz will definitely target. He averages 1.69 takedowns per fight at only 37% accuracy. His takedown defense is better at 66%, but that still leaves plenty of room for a skilled wrestler to get him down. He averages just 0.4 submissions per fight, showing grappling isn’t his preferred finishing method. At 27 years old with a 15-5 record, Shahbazyan is still figuring out how to maximize his physical gifts.
Muniz is 6 1” with a 78 inch reach, giving him a three inch advantage over Shahbazyan. His striking numbers tell the story of a grappler who strikes to set up takedowns. Muniz lands just 2.04 significant strikes per minute at 49% accuracy. He absorbs only 2.33 strikes per minute with 51% striking defense.
Where Muniz truly shines is on the ground. He averages a massive 4.02 takedowns per fight at 49% accuracy, showing his relentless pursuit of the mat. His takedown defense is poor at just 35%, but that rarely matters because he wants the fight on the ground anyway. The real danger comes from his submission game. Muniz averages 1.2 submissions per fight, three times higher than Shahbazyan’s output. The Brazilian is a southpaw which adds another wrinkle to his game. At 35 years old with a 24-7 record, Muniz has been around the block enough times to know his path to victory.
The betting markets heavily favor the younger fighter in this matchup. According to FanDuel, Edmen Shahbazyan is listed at -310. Meanwhile, Andre Muniz sits at +230 as the underdog. Those odds reflect serious doubts about Muniz’s ability to get past Shahbazyan’s striking.
The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at +330. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is higher and the odds (-480) reflect that.
Shahbazyan will likely come out fast and aggressive, looking to land his crisp combinations and put Muniz away early. He has genuine knockout power and Muniz showed a suspect chin in his last fight. If Shahbazyan can catch Muniz clean in the first round, this could be a short night.
Muniz is durable despite that recent knockout, and he’s extremely dangerous once fights leave the first round. Shahbazyan’s cardio issues are well documented. If Muniz can survive the early onslaught and drag this into round two, the entire complexion changes. A tired Shahbazyan becomes much easier to take down, and once Muniz gets top position, those submission skills become lethal.
If we bet on the fight, we are going with Edmen Shahbazyan to win via KO/TKO.
(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)
(Image Credit: Brett Davis – Imagn Images)
mma I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
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