Thunder vs. Grizzlies Predictions, Odds and Best Bets For Monday, December 22

The Thunder have cooled slightly after a blistering 25‑3 start, dropping two of their last three, but they remain the league’s most complete team. Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander continues to shine with MVP‑level performances, supported by Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams, while Ajay Mitchell and the bench add crucial depth. Their defense, allowing just 103.2 points per 100 possessions, sets them apart from everyone else.

Memphis, meanwhile, is coming off a surprising 130‑122 home loss to Washington. Despite injuries and Ja Morant’s absence, the Grizzlies have found ways to win recently. Santi Aldama’s 37‑point outburst, Jaren Jackson Jr.’s two‑way impact, and steady contributions from Cam Spencer and Kentavious Caldwell‑Pope highlight their resilience.

Game Details

When: Monday, December 22, 2025 at 9:30 PM ET
Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
TV: FanDuel Sports Network Midwest Extra – Missouri
Live Streaming: Fubo, Peacock

Recommended Bet and Updated Odds

Bet	FanDuel	BetMGM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ Points	-194	-180

Analysis and Rationale

Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander continues to operate at a true MVP level, and nothing in Oklahoma City’s recent stretch suggests otherwise. Even in the loss to Minnesota, he was the Thunder’s best player with 35 points, showing once again that he remains their most reliable and explosive scorer. With Oklahoma City’s offense ranking among the league’s best and their trio of SGA, Chet Holmgren, and Jalen Williams accounting for over 70% of the scoring load, SGA’s usage is locked in every night.

What strengthens this prop even more is the context of the Thunder’s recent dip. After losing two of their last three, OKC will lean even harder on their star to steady the ship. When the Thunder need control, SGA’s scoring naturally rises, he’s their pace‑setter, their late‑clock creator, and the player who dictates every important possession. His consistency is unmatched, and his ability to get to his spots mid‑range, rim pressure, and foul‑line production makes 30+ points a realistic baseline rather than a ceiling.

one of our own 👏

Congratulations to Hamilton native Shai Gilgeous-Alexander on winning the 2025 Northern Star Award for the second year in a row as Canada’s top athlete! pic.twitter.com/rOf2vTv5Gk
— Hamilton Tiger-Cats (@Ticats) December 13, 2025

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction

The Thunder enter this matchup still looking like the league’s most complete team despite dropping two of their last three. Their defense remains the defining edge, allowing just 103.2 points per 100 possessions, and Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander continues to play at an MVP level after dropping 35 against Minnesota. With Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams providing steady two‑way production and the league’s deepest bench behind them, Oklahoma City remains overwhelmingly stable.

Memphis, meanwhile, is coming off a stunning 130‑122 home loss to Washington. Injuries and Ja Morant’s absence have stretched the rotation, though Santi Aldama’s 37‑point breakout and Jaren Jackson Jr.’s recent form keep them competitive. Still, against a disciplined Thunder defense, sustaining that output becomes far more difficult.

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Betting Odds and Spread

Market	Memphis Grizzlies	OKC Thunder
Money Line	+775	-1400
Spread	+16.5 (-115)	-16.5 (-105)
Total	O 229.5 (-105)	O 229.5 (-115)

Thunder vs. Grizzlies Best Bets

Here are the over/under and best player bets for the OKC Thunder, and the Memphis Grizzlies, according to FanDuel.

OKC Thunder Over/Under Odds

Over/Under Bets	Over	Under
OKC Thunder Total Points 123.5	-110	-110
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points 32.5	-108	-122

OKC Thunder Best Player Bets

Luguentz Dort 3+ Threes : +280
Chet Holmgren Double-Double : +160

FanDuel

High total bonus ceiling

Daily second-chance bet protection

No promo code required

$150

Welcome offer

Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets

Click to reveal code

COPIED

F A N D U V I P

Claim now

New customers only. Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.

Memphis Grizzlies Over/Under Odds

Over/Under Bets	Over	Under
Memphis Grizzlies Total Points 106.5	-108	-112
Cam Spencer Assists 6.5	+124	-166

Memphis Grizzlies Best Player Bets

Jaren Jackson Jr. 20+ Points : +150
Santi Aldama 4+ Rebounds : -1800

The odds given above are sourced from FanDuel. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game across all sports.

FAQs

Who is favored to win?

The Oklahoma City Thunder are massive favorites, listed at -1200 on FanDuel and -1400 on BetMGM.

What are the Grizzlies’ odds?

Memphis enters as a heavy underdog at +750 on FanDuel and +775 on BetMGM, offering a large payout but reflecting the steep challenge.

Why are the Thunder favored?

Oklahoma City’s dominant 25‑3 start, elite defense allowing just 103.2 points per 100 possessions, and MVP‑level play from Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander make them overwhelming favorites in this matchup.