Tommy Paul vs. Miomir Kecmanovic Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & How to Watch
Fifth seed Tommy Paul is set to clash with Miomir Kecmanovic in the second round of the 2026 Dallas Open. Both players opened with comeback wins, as Paul over Jenson Brooksby and Kecmanovic over Sho Shimabukuro.
Paul is ranked world No. 24, fresh off a fourth-round run at the Australian Open. His 2025 season was uneven but featured real ceiling weeks, including semifinal runs in Houston and Rome and Slam quarterfinals in Melbourne and Paris. Statistically, his run fits indoor courts with modest ace output (251) but strong return pressure (32% first-serve return points won). Also, an excellent 45% breakpoint conversion rate matters on faster courts where chances are limited.
Kecmanovic, ranked No. 66, has struggled to string together wins at the tour level recently, with multiple first-round exits in early 2026. While 2025 included a Delray Beach doubles and singles title, his week-to-week reliability has been thin. His serve stats mirror Paul’s on first-serve efficiency (72%). But the return stats (27%) and lower break conversion (38%) suggest fewer ways to control sets. The market reflects this gap sharply, pricing Paul as a heavy favorite.
For today’s tennis picks, here’s how we’re betting on Tommy Paul vs. Miomir Kecmanovic today, including our Best Bet, supporting angles, and a set-score prop for bigger prices.
Tournament & Round: Dallas Open, Round of 16 (R16)
Surface: Indoor Hard Court
Format: Best of Three Sets
Date & Start Time: February 13, Not Before 2:00 AM CST Local Time
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Tommy Paul vs. Miomir Kecmanovic Odds
Given below are the latest odds for Tommy Paul vs. Miomir Kecmanovic from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap, and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.
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Tommy Paul vs. Miomir Kecmanovic Prediction & Picks
Our Pick: Under 2.5 Sets (-215, Fanduel).
The moneyline price correctly reflects the underlying gap but isn’t efficient enough, though match length can be used to bet. Paul’s return strength and superior break-point conversion create a meaningful edge. Even if sets stay tight, Paul can apply enough to reduce the possibility of a three-set match.
Kecmanovic’s path to extending this match relies on stealing a set outright, likely via a tiebreak. Given his recent first-round exits and lower return efficiency, that outcome occurs less frequently than the total sets over imply. So basically, Under 2.5 Sets is the most price-efficient among available betting options.
Miomir Kecmanovic has the lead 3-2 in his head-to-head over Tommy Paul. Their last four meetings are split 2-2, and several matches were decided by narrow margins and tiebreaks, including a five-set battle at the Australian Open.
Year
Winner
Event
Round
Score
2024
Tommy Paul
Stockholm
Quarterfinal
7-6(9), 6-2
2024
Miomir Kecmanovic
Australian Open
Round of 32
6-4, 3-6, 2-6, 7-6(7), 6-0
2023
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati
Round of 64
7-5, 7-6(2)
2022
Miomir Kecmanovic
Australian Open
Round of 64
7-6(7), 7-5, 7-6(8)
2020
Miomir Kecmanovic
New York
Round of 32
6-4, 6-2
Final Score Prediction & Set-Betting Prop
Projection: Tommy Paul wins in straight sets.
Higher Variance Set Bet: Tommy Paul 2-0 (+135, Fanduel). Given that this is a higher-risk bet, it is recommended to use this as a secondary angle.
21+ and present in AZ/CO/CT/IA/IL/IN/KS/LA (permitted parishes only) /MA/MD/MI/NJ/NY/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY. Minimum $10 first deposit required. Promotion Bonus will be credited to your account within 72 hours settlement of Qualifying Wager. First online real money wager only (minimum $5). Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expires in 14 days. Bonus bets and NFL Sunday Ticket code will be issued within 72 hours of bet placement. See full terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com.
How can I watch Tommy Paul vs. Miomir Kecmanovic on TV and live stream?
TV broadcasters for the 2026 Dallas Open include Tennis Channel (US), TSN / RDS (Canada), beIN Sports (Middle East/Asia), Sky UK/Ireland (UK), ESPN International (Latin America), and Sport TV (Portugal).
Streaming options vary by region and often require subscriptions. Live streaming is available on ATP TV (the official ATP streaming platform) and regional broadcasters’ own streaming platforms.
Match
Tommy Paul vs. Miomir Kecmanovic
Date
February 13, 2026
Start Time
Not Before 2:00 AM CST Local Time
Tournament
Dallas Open 2026
Event Type
Men’s Singles (ATP 250)
Surface
Indoor Hard Court
Court
Ford Center at The Star, Frisco, Texas
TV Coverage
Tennis Channel (US), TSN / RDS (Canada), beIN Sports (Middle East/Asia), Sky UK/Ireland (UK), ESPN International (Latin America), Sport TV (Portugal).
Live Streaming
Tennis TV (official ATP streaming platform) and streaming platforms of covering channels.
I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.
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