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Noche UFC 3 – Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos Predictions, Preview And MMA Betting Odds

Zaid Quraishi

Noche UFC brings fans a major fight at 115 lbs. Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos is exactly why this strawweight weight class remains so compelling for fight fans. Both women enter this bout at crucial crossroads in their careers, making this matchup essential for title contention. The winner moves closer to championship gold, while the loser faces an uncertain future in the division’s elite tier.

Wrestling vs striking has been MMA’s oldest debate since the sport began. This fight represents that classic matchup perfectly. Suarez brings her suffocating grappling game against Lemos’ explosive striking power. The Brazilian knockout artist knows she needs to keep this fight standing, while the American wrestler wants nothing more than to drag it to the canvas. 

Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos Preview

Tatiana Suarez brings an impressive 11-1 record into this contest. The 34 year old southpaw stands 5’5″ with a 66 inch reach. She averages 4.65 takedowns per fight with 47% accuracy while defending an outstanding 80% of takedown attempts against her. These numbers reflect her Olympic-level wrestling background that has carried over seamlessly into mixed martial arts.

Suarez lands 3.22 significant strikes per minute with excellent 61% accuracy while absorbing just 1.58 strikes per minute. Her defensive striking sits at 47%, which isn’t elite but becomes less important when she controls where fights take place. The submission specialist averages 0.7 submission attempts per fight, showing her willingness to hunt for finishes on the ground rather than just grinding out decisions.

Amanda Lemos enters with a 15-4-1 record. The 38 year old Brazilian southpaw measures 5’4″ with a 65 inch reach. She lands 2.89 significant strikes per minute with solid 54% accuracy. However, she absorbs 3.46 strikes per minute, indicating she’s willing to trade shots to land her own bombs.

Lemos averages just 1.14 takedowns per fight with impressive 62% accuracy when she does shoot. More concerning for her chances is her 59% takedown defense, which could spell trouble against Suarez’s relentless pressure. She does match Suarez with 0.7 submission attempts per fight, showing she’s comfortable on the ground when fights end up there.

Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos MMA Betting Odds

The oddsmakers have made their pick for this fight. According to FanDuel, they have installed Tatiana Suarez as a massive favorite at -430. Meanwhile, Amanda Lemos comes in as a significant underdog at +340. These numbers reflect the betting public’s belief that Suarez’s wrestling will prove too much for Lemos to handle. 

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The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at +138. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is higher and the odds (-176) reflect that.

Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos Predictions And Picks

This matchup comes down to whether Lemos can keep the fight standing long enough to land her knockout shot. Her explosive power and precise striking give her a legitimate path to victory, especially early in the fight when her timing and reflexes are sharpest. The Brazilian has shown the ability to catch opponents coming forward, which could spell danger for Suarez if she’s too aggressive with her takedown attempts.

However, Suarez’s wrestling pedigree and relentless pressure should eventually wear down the Brazilian striker. Her ability to mix takedowns with clinch work against the fence gives her multiple ways to control where this fight takes place. Once Lemos finds herself on her back, Suarez’s top control and submission threats become major factors. The American’s cardio advantage should also play a role if this fight extends into the later rounds.

If we bet on the fight, we are going with Tatiana Suarez to win via submission.

(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)

(Image Credit: Christopher Hanewinc – Imagn Images)

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I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!

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