Liverpool will welcome Newcastle United to the Anfield Stadium on Saturday, January 31, 2026. The Premier League clash carries significant implications for both sides’ ambitions for the top-four spots. The Reds are enduring an uncharacteristic domestic slump.
They’ve failed to win a league game in 2026 so far. Meanwhile, Newcastle are coming to the Merseyside trying to recover momentum after a damaging home defeat last weekend. Despite Liverpool’s recent late-game collapses in the league, Anfield has remained a stronghold across competitions.
Arne Slot’s side will also see this as a critical opportunity to reassert themselves in the Champions League qualification race. Meanwhile, the Magpies are navigating injuries in midfield and defense. Their historically poor record away to Liverpool also adds another layer of intrigue.
You can find more of our soccer predictions on our main picks hub. Here’s how we’re betting Liverpool vs Newcastle United tonight, including our Best Bet, a Same-Game Parlay, and key trends to know.
Liverpool vs Newcastle United Match Details
Competition: Premier League
Date & kickoff: Saturday, January 31, 2026 – 3:00 PM ET / 8:00 PM GT
Venue: Anfield Stadium, Liverpool, England
Expected XIs: Liverpool 4-2-3-1 vs Newcastle United 3-4-3
Best Bet for Liverpool vs Newcastle United
Our best bet for Liverpool vs Newcastle United is Both Teams to Score: Yes at -190 (BetMGM) / -200 (FanDuel).
Liverpool’s defensive issues in recent matches have been well documented. The Reds have conceded three goals beyond the 90th minute this Premier League season which is more than any other side. Across their last 10 league matches, Liverpool have allowed 1.52 expected xGA per game.
It’s a notable increase compared to their early-season defensive numbers. At the same time, Liverpool remain one of the league’s most consistent attacking teams at Anfield. They are averaging 2.05 xG per home match. They’re also scoring in every league fixture at Anfield this season.
Even during their five-match winless league run, they generated more than 1.6 xG in four of those games. It’s evident that they can attack consistently despite poor results. Meanwhile, Newcastle have scored in seven of their last nine away matches in all competitions. They’re also averaging 1.43 xG on the road.
The return of Bruno Guimaraes significantly raises Newcastle’s ball-progression and chance-creation ceiling. With him starting, Newcastle’s xG increases significantly. Given Liverpool’s depleted back line and Newcastle’s pace in transition through Anthony Gordon and Harvey Barnes, both sides finding the net appears probable.
Liverpool vs Newcastle United Prediction
Our pick: Liverpool to Win at -135 (BetMGM) / -140 (FanDuel)
Liverpool’s short moneyline can be backed by their dominant home record against Newcastle and their continued attacking efficiency at Anfield. The Reds are unbeaten in 29 consecutive Premier League home matches against Newcastle. They’ve won 23 of those encounters.
Even in seasons where Liverpool have struggled domestically, this fixture has consistently tilted in their favor. From a form perspective, Liverpool’s league struggles contrast sharply with their home performances across competitions. They are unbeaten in seven straight matches at Anfield.
This includes their latest win – the 6-0 Champions League demolition of Qarabag in midweek. Over their last 10 home matches, Liverpool are boasting a +9.8 xG differential. The Magpies’ away form remains a concern. They have won just three away league games all season and concede an average of 1.71 xGA on the road.
The absence of Joelinton further weakens their midfield duel capacity. Especially against Liverpool’s high-tempo pressing and interior overloads. While Newcastle are capable of scoring, Liverpool’s superior home chance volume, historical dominance, and urgency to halt their league slide justify their status as favorites.
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Same-Game Parlay (Bet Builder) for Liverpool vs Newcastle United
Bet $100 to Win $145.43 (FanDuel) Total Goals Over 2.5 (-196) + Both Teams to Score: Yes (-200) + Hugo Ekitike to either score or assist (-150)
This parlay reflects a matchup that consistently produces goals and attacking contributions from key forwards. Over 2.5 goals has landed in eight of Liverpool’s last 10 league matches. And Newcastle have cleared that mark in six of their last nine games.
The Red’s defensive absences increase volatility while both sides play with high defensive lines. BTTS aligns with the expectation that Newcastle can exploit Liverpool’s structural issues late in games. Whereas, Liverpool’s home attack remains reliable. Hugo Ekitike’s inclusion adds player-specific value.
Since joining Liverpool, Ekitike averages 0.63 xG+xA per 90 minutes. He has strong off-ball movement with impressive link-up play. Against a Newcastle defense missing Fabian Schar and Joelinton’s screening presence, Ekitike is well-positioned to either finish chances or provide final passes in the box.
This builder leans into the goals and attacking involvements in this fixture. Liverpool’s matches continue to generate high xG totals despite inconsistent results. Whereas, Newcastle’s attacking output improves significantly with Guimaraes on the pitch. Over 2.5 goals and BTTS capture the likely game script, and Ekitike’s hybrid scoring/assisting role provides flexibility without relying on a single finishing outcome.
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Liverpool -135 / Draw +320 / Newcastle United +320
Liverpool -140 / Draw +300 / Newcastle United +360
Goals Markets
Over 2.5: -220 / Under 2.5: +155 Over 3.5: +110 / Under 3.5: -155
Over 2.5: -215 / Under 2.5: +172 Over 3.5: +118 / Under 3.5: -144
BTTS
Yes: -190 / No: +135
Yes: -205 / No: +156
Asian Handicap
Liverpool -1.25: +138 / -1.50: +165 Newcastle United +1.25: -175
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Draw No Bet
Liverpool: -350 Newcastle United: +230
Liverpool: -380 Newcastle United: +300
Double Chance
Liverpool or Draw: -500 Newcastle United or Draw: +115
Liverpool or Draw: -550 Newcastle United or Draw: +125
Trends to Know for Liverpool vs Newcastle United
Head-to-Head: Liverpool have dominated recent meetings, winning each of their last four Premier League home games against United — a longer such streak than any since the late 1970s.
Home Fortitude: Liverpool are unbeaten at the Emirates in the league this season (16 matches) and concede less than a goal per home fixture, underscoring defensive discipline and crowd influence.
Away Vulnerability: Newcastle United’s away record includes several draws and defensive lapses, with no clean sheets in away league matches this season.
Goals Expectation: Recent direct clashes and current form suggest a high probability of multiple goals, with Both Teams to Score featuring prominently in historical and season metrics.
Attacking Contributions: Liverpool’s offensive depth and Mbeumo’s creative influence lend credence to combined player impact markets.
Latest Injuries & Lineup News for Liverpool vs Newcastle United
In soccer, injuries and rotations can drastically alter how a match plays out, especially when it comes to BTTS, totals, and goalscorer markets. Navigating through a few key injuries in this clash, both coaches will look to lineup their strongest XI. Here are the players who are either doubtful or are set to miss out:
Team
Player
Status
Notes
Liverpool
Jeremie Frimpong
Out
Hamstring
Liverpool
Joe Gomez
Out
Knee
Liverpool
Giovanni Leoni
Out
ACL
Liverpool
Conor Bradley
Out
Knee
Liverpool
Alexander Isak
Out
Leg
Newcastle United
Joelinton
Out
Groin
Newcastle United
Tino Livramento
Out
Thigh
Newcastle United
Emil Krafth
Out
Knee
Newcastle United
Fabian Schar
Out
Ankle
Newcastle United
Jacob Murphy
Out
Hamstring
Reminder: Always check confirmed lineups 60–75 minutes before kickoff, especially for goalscorer and BTTS markets.
How to watch – quick Q&A
What time is Liverpool vs Newcastle United?
Liverpool vs Newcastle United kicks off at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, January 31, 2026 (8:00 PM local UK time).
Where is the match being played?
The match will be played at the Anfield Stadium in Liverpool, England.
How can I watch on TV / stream?
Broadcast rights vary by territory. In the US, the Premier League can be telecast on the NBC network and Telemundo. The match will be telecast on TNT Sports in the UK. The match will also be available to stream on these broadcasters’ official websites.
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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