Liverpool will host Burnley at Anfield on Saturday, January 17, 2026. The Premier League clash will pit one of the division’s most historically dominant sides against the league’s struggling newcomers. Liverpool are arriving unbeaten in all competitions over their last 11 matches under Arne Slot.
Though they have drawn three consecutive league fixtures since the turn of the year, revealing cracks in their attacking productivity after an expansive title-winning campaign last season. Burnley, by contrast, are in serious relegation trouble.
They’re sitting 19th with an alarming away record that includes only one point from 10 trips on the road. The stakes are high for Liverpool as they fight to consolidate a Champions League position, while Burnley desperately seek any positive result to narrow a wide gap to safety.
You can find more of our soccer predictions on our main picks hub. Here’s how we’re betting Liverpool vs Burnley tonight, including our Best Bet, a Same-Game Parlay, and key trends to know.
Liverpool vs Burnley Match Details
Competition: Premier League
Date & kickoff: Saturday, January 17, 2026 – 10:00 AM ET / 3:00 PM GT
Venue: Anfield Stadium, Liverpool, England
Expected XIs: Liverpool 4-2-3-1 vs Burnley 3-4-3-1
Best Bet for Liverpool vs Burnley
Our best bet for Liverpool vs Burnley is BTTS: No at -175 (BetMGM) / -144 (FanDuel).
Backing Both Teams to Score: No is supported by a stark contrast in attacking efficacy between the two sides this season. Liverpool’s underlying data shows a positive expected goals (xG) difference. They’re boasting 31.9 expected goals for and 23.8 expected goals against in the Premier League campaign so far.
It’s evident that they have both decent chance creation and defensive resilience compared to league peers. By comparison, Burnley have struggled in both facets. They have generated only around 18.76 expected goals across 21 league matches. Their defensive expected goals against sits high.
It’s evident that their susceptibility at the back. On the road Burnley have a low scoring rate (12 goals in 10 away games). And their concession of 26 away goals also underscore their inability to consistently threaten more potent attacks. Furthermore, Liverpool have kept multiple clean sheets this season.
Especially at Anfield where their home record (six wins, two draws, two losses) indicates defensive stability. In contrast, Burnley’s lack of away clean sheets (none in 10) suggests they are unlikely to find the net. Especially if Liverpool manage the game effectively. Thus, the No on BTTS aligns closely with how each side has performed on both sides of the ball this season.
Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction
Our pick: Burnley to Win at -425 (BetMGM) / -475 (FanDuel)
Liverpool’s overwhelming favorite status in the moneyline markets reflects both their superior league position and comprehensive head-to-head advantage. In the Premier League, Liverpool have won approximately 75% of historical matchups against Burnley.
They’ve registered 15 wins in the last 20 meetings, compared with just three wins for the Clarets. This season highlights similar disparities. Liverpool are 4th in the league with 35 points, while Burnley sit 19th with 13 points after 21 games. They’ve built only a point tally built on just three wins.
The home side’s form is especially pertinent. They are unbeaten in recent matches across competitions including the FA Cup. They’ve also shown the ability to break down teams with deep defensive blocks. They’ve often edged games even when not at their most fluid.
On the other hand, Burnley’s away record is one of the league’s worst. They registered just one draw and eight losses in 10 away fixtures, contributing to an average of 0.4 points per away match. Even when Burnley have shown occasional resilience, such as a 2-2 draw with Manchester United, those results are anomalies rather than the norm.
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Same-Game Parlay (Bet Builder) for Liverpool vs Burnley
Bet $100 to Win $296.92 (FanDuel) Total Goals Over 2.5 (-178) + Both Teams to Score: No (-144) + Igor Thiago to score anytime (-220)
This parlay blends expectation of Liverpool controlling proceedings with contributions from their key attacking personnel. Liverpool’s matches have trended toward multiple-goal outcomes. That, combined with Burnley’s porous defence, particularly away from home, the over 2.5 goals leg holds weight.
Both Teams to Score: No reflects climates where Liverpool have often closed games defensively after establishing leads. And Burnley’s poor scoring form supports the notion that they may struggle to breach Liverpool’s back line.
Hugo Ekitike, returning from injury with a goal and assist in the FA Cup, projects as a focal outlet for Liverpool’s attack. He’ll be blending physical presence and opportunism in the final third. His involvement in the goals either by scoring or assisting taps into Liverpool’s attacking reconstruction under Slot.
This builder captures a likely Liverpool dominance in territory and goal production while emphasising their ability to suppress Burnley’s attacking threat. Ekitike’s inclusion capitalises on his recent positive output and projected role as Liverpool’s lead option in the final third.
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Over 2.5: -185 / Under 2.5: +130 Over 3.5: +138 / Under 3.5: -190
Over 2.5: -176 / Under 2.5: +142 Over 3.5: +152 / Under 3.5: -188
BTTS
Yes: +125 / No: -185
Yes: +122 / No: -154
Asian Handicap
Liverpool -1.25: -208 / -1.5: -150 Burnley +1.25: +118
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Draw No Bet
Liverpool: -2000 Burnley: +775
Liverpool: -2000 Burnley: +1280
Double Chance
Liverpool or Draw: -2500 Burnley or Draw: +310
Liverpool or Draw: -3000 Burnley or Draw: +360
Trends to Know for Liverpool vs Burnley
Head-to-Head: Liverpool have a strong historical edge in this fixture, winning the majority of meetings and dominating recent Premier League clashes.
Home Strength: Liverpool’s Anfield record this season is robust, blending defensive resilience with strategic attacking output even when their finishing is suboptimal.
Burnley Struggles: Burnley’s away form is one of the worst in the division, with just one point from 10 matches and a high number of goals conceded on the road, aligning with their status as relegation candidates.
Scoring Patterns: Recent matches across both teams suggest Liverpool’s games frequently hit Over 2.5 goals, while Burnley’s scoring drought on the road supports the No on BTTS.
Recent Form: Liverpool’s unbeaten run across competitions contrasts with Burnley’s intermittent results, where draws and losses outweigh their rare successes.
Latest Injuries & Lineup News for Liverpool vs Burnley
In soccer, injuries and rotations can drastically alter how a match plays out, especially when it comes to BTTS, totals, and goalscorer markets. Navigating through a few key injuries in this clash, both coaches will look to lineup their strongest XI. Here are the players who are either doubtful or are set to miss out:
Team
Player
Status
Notes
Liverpool
Alexander Isak
Out
Ankle
Liverpool
Connor Bradley
Out
Knee
Liverpool
Giovanni Leoni
Out
ACL
Liverpool
Mohamed Salah
Out
International Duty
Burnley
Mike Tresor
Out
Unspecified
Burnley
Zian Flemming
Out
Unspecified
Burnley
Jordan Beyer
Out
Thigh
Burnley
Zeki Amdouni
Out
Knee
Burnley
Connor Roberts
Out
Achilles
Burnley
Josh Cullen
Out
Knee
Burnley
Joe Worrall
Doubtful
Unspecified
Reminder: Always check confirmed lineups 60–75 minutes before kickoff, especially for goalscorer and BTTS markets.
How to watch – quick Q&A
What time is Liverpool vs Burnley?
Liverpool vs Burnley kicks off at 10:00 AM ET on Saturday, January 17, 2026 (3:00 PM local UK time).
Where is the match being played?
The match will be played at the Anfield Stadium in Liverpool, England.
How can I watch on TV / stream?
Broadcast rights vary by territory. In the US, the Premier League can be telecast on USA Network and Universo. Unfortunately, the match will not be telecast in the UK. The match will also be available to stream on these broadcasters’ official websites.
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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