The Arizona Cardinals are poised to part ways with quarterback Kyler Murray this offseason, with NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reporting a likely release barring a last-minute trade. Murray, in the second year of his $230.5 million extension signed in 2022, carries a massive cap burden of $125.1 million through 2028, including nearly $40 million fully guaranteed in 2026. A straight release would trigger a $57.7 million dead-cap hit, while a post-June 1 designation would split it to $50.5 million in 2026 and $7.2 million in 2027 – either way a severe financial penalty for the team.
The move reflects Arizona’s full commitment to a rebuild under new head coach Mike LaFleur and GM Monti Ossenfort after a 3-14 disaster in 2025-26. Murray’s injury history and limited availability have fueled the decision to move on from the 28-year-old signal-caller.
The Cardinals seek to release Kyler Murray primarily due to his unsustainable contract and persistent injury concerns. The $230.5 million extension leaves Arizona facing a crippling cap hit, while Murray himself has missed 30 games across seven seasons, including the entire second half of 2025-26 with a foot injury, with no clear timeline for return.
Limited to just five games last year, his availability and durability have eroded trust in him as the long-term franchise QB. With the team in full rebuild mode after a disastrous 3-14 campaign, parting with Murray allows Arizona to reset the quarterback room, gain cap flexibility, and prioritize youth and depth for sustained development.
Listed below are the Kyler Murray next team odds, after reports suggest that the Cardinals are very likely to release their current QB1, as per bookies.com.
| Teams | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | +150 | 40.0% |
| Released by Cardinals (No Trade) | +300 | 25.0% |
| New York Jets | +500 | 16.7% |
| Miami Dolphins | +700 | 12.5% |
| Minnesota Vikings | +900 | 10.0% |
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Despite widespread speculation and reports that the Cardinals are highly likely to release or trade Kyler Murray this offseason due to his massive $52M+ cap hit, injury history, and the team’s rebuild under Mike LaFleur, betting markets are still giving +150 odds for Murray to stay with Arizona in 2026.
This reflects uncertainty: no official release has occurred yet, the Cardinals face a crippling $57.7M dead-cap hit on outright cut, and no team has emerged willing to absorb his guaranteed money in a trade. Markets hedge on a last-minute deal, restructure, or Arizona retaining him short-term for cap reasons or lack of better options.
The Arizona Cardinals are strongly positioned to release quarterback Kyler Murray this offseason because release is seen as very likely but no a lock yet. The Cardinals haven’t done well recently, under him, and add to the fact that he’s extremely injury prone, a divorce makes the most sense for a team that is trying to rebuild under a new head coach.
As mentioned earlier, other teams are not looking for an injury prone quarterback, which makes Murray’s market value really small currently. However, the Cardinals do not have a quality QB in the market nor the draft to replace him with, which makes his release quite risky.
The New York Jets rank as the third-favorite team to sign Kyler Murray at +500 odds because they represent one of the most realistic and desperate landing spots if the Cardinals release him. With the Justin Fields experiment not being fruitful last season, the Jets front office is under pressure to upgrade the QB room quickly.
Apart from Murray being an injury prone QB, he has been elite with his dual-threat ability that offers a high-upside bridge or starter option without long-term commitment. His services could revitalize the offense around Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall, which may at least help the Jets improve their record from 3-14 last season to 5 or more wins.
The Miami Dolphins rank among the top landing spots for Kyler Murray at +700 because Tua Tagovailoa is widely expected to be released or traded this offseason. Tua’s rough 2025 season and massive $99.2 million dead-cap hit if cut have Miami searching for a new QB. Murray’s dual-threat stlye could provide a high-upside replacement or bridge under new head coach Jeff Hafley.
Miami has the cap flexibility to absorb Murray’s deal, needs immediate QB help, and probably views him as a dynamic upgrade over current options amid Tua’s uncertain future.
The Minnesota Vikings sit at +900 odds for Kyler Murray’s next team due to uncertainty around J.J. McCarthy after his rough 2025 season. Reports suggest Minnesota is exploring veteran QB like Murray to compete with or mentor McCarthy. Murray’s dual-threat style fits Kevin O’Connell’s offense, and the Vikings have $43M cap space.
The Vikings need to keep their star WR Justin Jefferson happy, who despite a 1000+ yards season, had a disappointing season, primarily due to an inexperienced QB like McCarthy taking over, which resulted in no players selected from the Vikings for the initial Pro Bowl roster for 2025-26.
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mma I cover the National Football League and things cannot get better than that. I always dreamed to play football or basketball professionally since I’m built like a Running Back. But now that I can’t, since I’m technically in the “Unc” age, I thought why not pick a career in sports industry? So here I am, doing what I love, and hoping that the Commanders win the Super Bowl. I give love to players when it’s due, but can be critical about their performances at the same time. Enough about me, now let my articles do all the talking.
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