Sinner enters Turin battle as heavy favorite against resurgent Auger-Aliassime
Second seed Jannik Sinner is set to clash with eighth seed Felix Auger-Aliassime at the 2025 ATP Finals. Now, world No. 1 Sinner has defined the year with his exceptional level, reaching nine finals and winning five titles, remarkably, all after serving a three-month doping ban earlier in the season. His trophies came in Melbourne, Wimbledon, Beijing, Vienna, and most recently Paris, along with runner-up finishes in Rome, Roland Garros, Cincinnati, and the US Open, all losses to Carlos Alcaraz.
It’s also worth noting that Sinner was forced to retire in Cincinnati due to heat-related exhaustion, the same issue that ended his Shanghai run. Aside from those two retirements, Halle stands as his lone early exit of the year. Statistically, he’s been dominant with 364 aces, 79% first-serve points won, 34% return points won, and a 45% break-point conversion rate across 521 chances.
Do you see anyone other than Carlos Alcaraz or Jannik Sinner lifting the ATP Finals trophy? pic.twitter.com/hCj9G5TClQ
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) November 9, 2025
Auger-Aliassime’s road to Turin was far more dramatic. He wouldn’t have qualified at all had Lorenzo Musetti won his match in Athens, but he didn’t, and that opened the door for the Canadian. FAA’s season features titles in Adelaide, Open Occitanie, and Brussels, achieved even with injuries that repeatedly stunted his momentum through the spring. Toe and back issues forced withdrawals from Rotterdam, Rome, and Basel, yet he still produced a finals run in Dubai and semifinal appearances in Doha, Hamburg, and the US Open.
Most recently, he surged to the Paris Masters final before falling to Sinner in straight sets. Stat-wise, Auger-Aliassime brings heavier serving numbers with 749 aces, 77% first-serve points won, 30% return points won, and a 33% break-point conversion rate across 523 chances.
Felix Auger-Aliassime qualifies for the ATP Finals for the second time in his career.
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) November 8, 2025
🇨🇦❤ pic.twitter.com/MplqBNKzoi
Jannik Sinner currently leads Felix Auger-Aliassime 3-2 in their official head-to-head. Their first clash came in Madrid in 2022, where the Canadian took a straight-sets win. He backed it up later that summer in Cincinnati with a gritty comeback, giving him early control of the matchup.
Their next encounter came in Madrid in 2024, but Sinner’s withdrawal with a right-hip injury turned it into a walkover, so it doesn’t count toward the official record. Since then, the momentum has swung completely. Sinner has ripped off three consecutive wins this season in Cincinnati, the US Open, and most recently Paris, seizing command of the rivalry.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Paris | Final | Jannik Sinner | 6-4, 7-6(4) |
| 2025 | US Open | Semifinal | Jannik Sinner | 6-1, 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 2025 | Cincinnati | Quarterfinal | Jannik Sinner | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 2024 | Madrid | Quarterfinal | Felix Auger-Aliassime | W/O |
| 2022 | Cincinnati | Round of 16 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 2-6, 7-6(1), 6-1 |
| 2022 | Madrid | Round of 16 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 6-1, 6-2 |
| Jannik Sinner | Category | Felix Auger-Aliassime |
| 1 | Current Ranking | 8 |
| 316-86 | Career W-L | 263-169 |
| 53-6 | YTD W-L | 48-22 |
| 23 | Career Titles | 8 |
| 4 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 5 | YTD Titles | 3 |
Momentum, maturity, and mastery tilt this rivalry firmly toward Sinner, but FAA’s chaotic road to Turin and revived confidence make him dangerous if he catches fire early. Still, Sinner’s composure in big moments and his airtight pattern should carry him through.
Jannik Sinner is firing on all cylinders right now 🔥 pic.twitter.com/ykVUHDAPOD
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) September 7, 2025
Prediction: Jannik Sinner in straight sets
With Sinner priced at -1600 and Auger-Aliassime at +1000, the market leaves little room for debate. The Italian’s year-long dominance, superior return metrics, and three straight wins over FAA this season make him the statistical favorite.
Here are the betting odds according to FanDuel:
Jannik Sinner: -1600
Felix Auger-Aliassime: +1000
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via FanDuel):
Set 1 Winner Sinner: -650
Set 1 Winner Auger-Aliassime: +430
(According to FanDuel: FanDuel offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Image Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images
nfl 
mma I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.
Read moreWe use cookies for ads and to improve your experience. By continuing on the site, you agree to our Privacy Policy. Read more about it
