2025 BNP Paribas Open Men's Singles Champion Jack Draper poses for a photo with the trophy after winning the event in Indian Wells, Calif., Sunday, March 16, 2025.

tennis

Jack Draper vs. Tommy Paul Head-to-Head Record, Preview and Prediction for ATP Madrid Open 2025 Round of 16

Clash of form: Draper's hot streak vs. Paul’s consistency

2025 BNP Paribas Open Men's Singles Champion Jack Draper poses for a photo with the trophy after winning the event in Indian Wells, Calif., Sunday, March 16, 2025.

Jack Draper and Tommy Paul will be facing each other for the sixth time at the Madrid Open, in Madrid, Spain. Fifth seed Jack Draper and 11th seed Tommy Paul both received first-round byes.

Draper advanced to the Round of 16 with a dominant straight-sets win over Tallon Griekspoor, followed by a walkover after Matteo Berrettini retired due to an abdominal injury. Paul, meanwhile, eased past Joao Fonseca in straight sets and then edged out Karen Khachanov in a tight three-set battle.

Jack Draper had kind words for Berrettini after retirement from their match in Madrid

“He said his abs were pulling. I’ve had ab injuries in the past. I believe he might have done it in his last match. Credit to him for coming out here and putting on a good first set. I saw his… pic.twitter.com/4Y0UTz5h4h
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) April 29, 2025

Jack Draper vs. Tommy Paul Head-to-Head Record

Jack Draper is leading the head-to-head against Tommy Paul with a record of 3-2. Their rivalry began at the 2023 Adelaide 2 tournament, where Draper claimed a straight-sets victory in the Round of 16. He reinforced his upper hand in early 2024 by defeating Paul once again in straight sets at the Adelaide International quarterfinals.

However, Paul responded strongly later that season at the Australian Open, overcoming Draper in four sets during their first-round clash. Since then, the pair have exchanged wins with Draper striking back in Acapulco with another straight-sets win, while Paul narrowed the gap in the Queen’s Club quarterfinals, turning the tide with a hard-fought three-set victory.

Year	Event	Round	Winner	Score
2023	Adelaide 2	Round of 16	Jack Draper	6–4, 6–4
2024	Adelaide	Quarterfinal	Jack Draper	6–1, 6–4
2024	Australian Open	Round of 64	Tommy Paul	6–2, 3–6, 6–3, 7–5
2024	Acapulco	Round of 32	Jack Draper	6–0, 6–4
2024	London / Queen’s Club	Quarterfinal	Tommy Paul	6–3, 5–7, 6–4

Jack Draper vs. Tommy Paul Comparison

Jack Draper	Category	Tommy Paul
6	Ranking	11
93-55	Career W-L	191-131
14-4	YTD W-L	15-6
3	Career Titles	4
0	Grand Slams	0
1	YTD Titles	0

Jack Draper vs. Tommy Paul Prediction

Draper enters the matchup in amazing form, having reached the Qatar Open final and claimed his first ATP Masters 1000 title at Indian Wells with wins over top names like Carlos Alcaraz, Taylor Fritz, and Holger Rune. His powerful lefty serve and baseline game make him a threat on any surface.

Paul, meanwhile, has quietly built strong momentum of his own, with a quarterfinal run at the Australian Open and semifinal finishes in Dallas and Houston. Known for his consistency, footwork, and all-court game, Paul has the tools to challenge Draper’s surge and make this a tightly contested battle.

Prediction: Jack Draper in straight sets