The tournament in Riyadh kicks off with an Australian Open SF rematch.
World No. 2 Iga Swiatek is set to face Madison Keys in a repeat of the Australian Open semifinal at the 2025 WTA Finals in Riyadh. The American is playing her first match since the US Open, where she lost in the opening round. On the other hand, Swiatek will be aiming to cap off a successful season with another title after winning in Cincinnati and Seoul. Follow BetMGM to know all about the betting odds for the WTA Finals 2025.
Despite making several semifinals and a final, Iga Swiatek’s first title of the year came at the 2025 Wimbledon Championships. The six-time Grand Slam champion also proceeded to win the Cincinnati Open as well as the Korea Open. At the recently concluded event in Wuhan, the 24-year-old reached the quarterfinals. Swiatek has an overall record of 61-15 this year. A former WTA Finals champion from 2023, the Pole has won 77% service games and 46% return games in 2025.
✨ 2018 – Girls' Singles Champion
— Wimbledon (@Wimbledon) July 12, 2025
✨ 2025 – Ladies' Singles Champion
Seven years on, @iga_swiatek is a #Wimbledon champion again 🏆 pic.twitter.com/uf2x6Hk4MP
Arguably the strongest competitor at the start of the season, Madison Keys’ level partly went down in the second half of the year. The 30-year-old won the ASB Classic and Australian Open back-to-back, after which she reached the semifinal at Indian Wells. Currently ranked No. 7 in the world, Keys has not put together a noteworthy outing since entering the final four at Queen’s Club. She has won 61% points on serve and converted 43% break points so far.
📍 @WTAFinalsRiyadh pic.twitter.com/6eELwds2nG
— Madison Keys (@Madison_Keys) October 30, 2025
Swiatek leads the head-to-head against Keys by 5-2. Their rivalry began in 2021, and they have also faced one another twice in 2025.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2025 Madrid | Quarterfinal | Iga Swiatek | 0-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2025 Australian Open | Semifinal | Madison Keys | 5-7 6-1 7-6(8) |
| 2024 Rome | Quarterfinal | Iga Swiatek | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2024 Madrid | Semifinal | Iga Swiatek | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2022 Cincinnati | Round of 16 | Madison Keys | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022 Indian Wells | Quarterfinal | Iga Swiatek | 6-1 6-0 |
| 2021 Rome | Round of 32 | Iga Swiatek | 7-5 6-1 |
| Iga Swiatek | Category | Madison Keys |
| 2 | Current Ranking | 7 |
| 403-90 | Career W-L Record | 421-232 |
| 61-15 | YTD W-L Record | 37-13 |
| 25 | Career Titles | 10 |
| 3 | YTD Titles | 2 |
| 6 | Grand Slams | 1 |
Madison Keys does not have the necessary match practice under her belt, and might struggle to find her footing. Moreover, Swiatek can exert a stranglehold over the encounter in the early stages. Expect the Polish sensation to race ahead at the beginning – courtesy some fierce groundstrokes from corner to corner. A high first serve percentage and forehand accuracy will be imperative for the American to stand a chance.
Prediction: Iga Swiatek in straight sets.
Swiatek (1/4) is the favorite and Keys (3/1) is the underdog in the 2025 WTA Finals group stage encounter. According to the implied probability on the money line, the former World No. 1 has a 72% chance of winning her opening match-up. Given below are all the important odds to know about (as per BetMGM):
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)
A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.
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