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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Valentin Vacherot Preview, Prediction and Betting Odds for ATP Paris Masters 2025 Quarterfinal

Sankalp Harikrishnan

Can the Canadian stop the in-form Shanghai Masters champ?

No. 9 seed Felix Auger-Aliassime is set to face the ever-improving Valentin Vacherot in the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters quarterfinal on Friday. The Monegasque sensation is on a roll at the moment, and will be desperate to prove that his heroic effort in Shanghai wasn’t a fluke. On the other hand, Auger-Aliassime is searching for a fourth trophy of the year. The winner of this match will face either Alexander Bublik or Alex de Minaur in the semifinal stage. Follow BetMGM for all the betting updates at the French capital.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Valentin Vacherot Match Preview

Felix Auger-Aliassime recently won the ATP-250 in Brussels, and followed it up with a quarterfinal finish in Basel. It has been a great season for the 25-year-old who is currently ranked No. 10 in the world. The Canadian baseliner won the Adelaide International as well as Open Occitanie in the beginning of the season. Auger-Aliassime was a finalist in Dubai, and reached five other semifinals including the US Open. The No. 9 seed has won 68% points on serve and 37% points on return games in 2025.

Valentin Vacherot confirmed a seeding at the 2026 Australian Open with a game-changing triumph against Cameron Norrie in the Round of 16. The Monegasque breakout star has turned the ATP circuit on its head – winning 12 matches since the start of the month. He has jumped to World No. 30 in the live rankings, and is currently playing the best tennis of his life. The Shanghai Masters champion has a record of 15-3 this year, including an 89% success rate on his own service games.

The head-to-head record between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Valentin Vacherot is 0-0. They will face each other for the first time on Friday in Paris.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Valentin Vacherot Career Comparison

Felix Auger-AliassimeCategoryValentin Vacherot
10Current Ranking40
261-168Career W-L Record21-10
46-21YTD W-L Record15-3
8Career Titles1
3YTD Titles1
0Grand Slams0

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Valentin Vacherot ATP Paris Masters 2025 Prediction

Vacherot is seemingly enjoying the slow nature of courts in Paris. The 26-year-old hits a heavy ball, and his fearlessness to go for the lines under pressure has worked in his favor. He also manages to consistently win cheap points on first serve, which Auger-Aliassime will look to change. The Canadian will be hoping to adopt an attacking approach to counter Vacherot. If he can push the Monegasque to hit more second serves and play defensive tennis, he can advance.

Prediction: Felix Auger-Aliassime in three sets.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Valentin Vacherot ATP Paris Masters 2025 Betting Odds

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Auger-Aliassime (11/20) is the favorite and Vacherot (29/20) is the underdog in this ATP Rolex Paris Masters 2025 quarterfinal. According to the implied probability on the money line, the Canadian has a 71% chance of advancing to the final four. Given below are all the important odds (as per BetMGM):

  • Felix Auger-Aliassime Win: 11/20
  • Valentin Vacherot Win: 29/20
  • Total Games >23.5: 23/25
  • Total Games <23.5: 41/50
  • Auger-Aliassime -2.5 (Game Handicap): 26/25
  • Total Sets >2.5: 5/4
  • Total Number of Tiebreaks >0.5: 10/13
  • Vacherot to Win At Least 1 Set (Yes): 8/13
  • Vacherot to Win Set-1 or Set-2: 13/10
  • Auger-Aliassime to Win Set-1 By 7-6: 4/1
  • Most Service Breaks (Draw): 21/4

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Robert Deutsch, Imagn Images)

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.

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