The Golden State Warriors (23‑47) head to State Farm Arena to face the surging Atlanta Hawks (37‑31) on Saturday night in a matchup that highlights two teams trending in opposite directions. Golden State has dropped seven of their last eight and continues to struggle both offensively and defensively, while Atlanta has won 11 of their last 12 and remains undefeated in their last nine home games.
The Warriors are dealing with a slew of injuries, including Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler, Seth Curry, and Al Horford, while Atlanta’s Jonathan Kuminga is day‑to‑day. Jalen Johnson leads the Hawks with 22.7 points, 10.4 rebounds, and 8 assists per game, while Nickeil Alexander‑Walker adds 20.4 points and perimeter shooting.
Oddsmakers have Atlanta favored by 10 points, with the total set at 229. The question is whether Golden State can find enough offense to keep pace with Atlanta’s balanced attack.
Best Bet: Hawks -10 (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Atlanta’s recent form and home dominance make them the sharper side to back. The Hawks have covered in 10 of their last 12 games and are 6‑0 ATS at home against Golden State. Their offense ranks seventh in scoring at 117.7 points per game and first in assists, while Golden State has struggled, going 1‑7 SU in their last eight and 0‑6 ATS in their last six road games against Atlanta.
The Warriors’ injuries have left them shorthanded, and their defense ranks 24th, allowing 118.3 points per game. While the total of 229 leans toward the over given Atlanta’s pace and Golden State’s defensive issues, the spread is the sharper angle. Hawks -10 is the best bet given their momentum, ATS trends, and Golden State’s road struggles.
This safer parlay leans on Atlanta’s stars to hit their averages while banking on the over, which ties in with Golden State’s defensive struggles and Atlanta’s offensive efficiency.
The longshot parlay hinges on Johnson’s all‑around dominance, Alexander‑Walker catching fire, and Atlanta pulling away late. Given Golden State’s recent form, this scenario is plausible.
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | +10 (-110) | +325 | O 229 (-110) |
| Hawks | -10 (-110) | -425 | U 229 (-110) |
Odds updated: March 21, 2026 – 12:00 p.m. ET. Lines may move throughout the day.
| Team | Player | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | Al Horford | Calf | Day to day |
| Warriors | Stephen Curry | Knee | Day to day |
| Warriors | Jimmy Butler | ACL | Day to day |
| Warriors | Seth Curry | Adductor | Day to day |
| Warriors | Moses Moody | Wrist | Day to day |
| Warriors | Quinten Post | Foot | Day to day |
| Warriors | L.J. Cryer | Hamstring | Day to day |
| Hawks | Jonathan Kuminga | Knee | Day to day |
The game tips off at 8:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 21, 2026.
The matchup will be held at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia.
The game will be broadcast nationally on NBCS, with streaming available via NBA League Pass.
| Detail | Info |
|---|---|
| Date | Saturday, March 21, 2026 |
| Time | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| Arena | State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA |
| TV/Streaming | NBCS / NBA League Pass |
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