The ATP’s headliner battles the Canadian No. 1 for a spot in the final.
Top seed and 2025’s official year-end World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz will take on the in-form Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime in the semifinal of the 2025 Nitto ATP Finals in Turin. The Spanish sensation emerged unscathed with three wins in the group stage. Meanwhile, his 25-year-old opponent earned a crucial win over Alexander Zverev to enter this fixture. The winner is set to battle either Jannik Sinner or Alex de Minaur in Sunday’s final. Continue reading to know more about the preview, prediction, stats and odds (via BetMGM) for this contest.
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Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match Preview
There was a lot of pressure on Carlos Alcaraz ahead of the Nitto ATP Finals. The 22-year-old had to win three matches in order to finish the year as the No. 1 ranked player in the world. With straight sets wins over Alex de Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti, and a hard fought battle against Taylor Fritz, Carlitos sealed the deal. The six-time Grand Slam champion has won eight trophies in 2025. This includes a win-loss record of 67-8 and a run of nine straight tournaments of reaching the final.
This is what you could call a perfect night! 🥲 Semifinals in Turin and year-end No. 1! ❤️
At one point of time, Felix Auger-Aliassime had an outstanding 3-0 record against Alcaraz. However, the tables have turned over the past couple of years. When it comes to indoor hard courts, the World No. 8 is undefeated against Alcaraz. Auger-Aliassime has won three titles this year, and returned to form at the majors by entering his second US Open semifinal. The 25-year-old Canadian has a success rate around inching close to the 70% mark – which is why he remains an outer favorite to capture the crown this week.
WHAT A WIN!
Felix Auger-Aliassime defeats two time champ and world #3 Alexander Zverev 6-4, 7-6(4) and play the semifinals tomorrow vs. Carlos Alcaraz.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Head to Head Record
Alcaraz leads the head-to-head against Auger-Aliassime by 4-3. Since 2023, the World No. 1 hasn’t lost a single match against his Canadian counterpart.
Event
Round
Winner
Score
2024 Paris Olympics
Semifinal
Carlos Alcaraz
6-1 6-1
2024 Roland Garros
Round of 16
Carlos Alcaraz
6-3 6-3 6-1
2024 Indian Wells
Round of 32
Carlos Alcaraz
6-2 6-3
2023 Indian Wells
Quarterfinal
Carlos Alcaraz
6-4 6-4
2022 Basel
Semifinal
Felix Auger-Aliassime
6-3 6-2
2022 Davis Cup
Round Robin
Felix Auger-Aliassime
6-7(3) 6-4 6-2
2021 US Open
Quarterfinal
Felix Auger-Aliassime
6-3 3-1 RET.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Career Comparison
Carlos Alcaraz
Category
Felix Auger-Aliassime
1
Current Ranking
8
276-64
Career W-L Record
263-169
67-8
YTD W-L Record
48-22
24
Career Titles
8
8
YTD Titles
3
6
Grand Slams
0
Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Nitto ATP Finals 2025 Prediction
Alcaraz’s indoor record against Auger-Aliassime may not give him a whole lot of optimism ahead of this clash. However, the two encounters were played when the Spaniard had just become World No. 1 for the first time, and he hadn’t developed a fast-paced game yet. He will know how to trouble the Auger-Aliassime and introduce variety in order to enter the summit clash. We predict a battling win for Alcaraz.
Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz in three sets.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Nitto ATP Finals 2025 Betting Odds
Alcaraz (2/9) is the favorite and Auger-Aliassime (7/2) is the underdog for the Nitto ATP Finals 2025 semifinal. According to the implied probability on the money line, the Spaniard has a 74% chance of entering the final. Take a look at the odds (as per BetMGM):
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.
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