Second career meeting as both players aim for their first win in Turin.
No. 5 seed Ben Shelton and No. 8 seed Felix Auger-Aliassime will be hoping to get their campaign up and running on Wednesday at the Nitto ATP Finals 2025. The two stars will face off for the first time this year, as things heat up in the Bjorn Borg Group. While the American has an uphill battle against Italian giant Sinner in the final round robin match-up, Auger-Aliassime will face Zverev. Today, we will break down the records and betting odds for this upcoming contest in Turin (via BetMGM).
A two-time Grand Slam semifinalist, Ben Shelton is making his debut at the season-ending championships this year. With a solitary title at the National Bank Open, Shelton cemented his spot among the ATP’s top stars. The 23-year-old achieved his career-best finish at three out of the four majors in 2025. He also finished as the finalist in Munich, and entered the ATP Finals on the back of a quarterfinal outing in Paris Bercy. Shelton has won 76% first serve points and 55% second serve points on hard courts this season.
Felix Auger-Aliassime was a last minute entrant into the Turin draw. The 25-year-old made his return to the Top-10 on the back of three titles, two finals and five semifinals. Auger-Aliassime was one of the few players to challenge World No. 2 Jannik Sinner this year – taking a set off him at Flushing Meadows. Currently ranked No. 8 in the world, the Canadian has a win-loss record of 48-23 across the 2025 campaign. On hard courts this year, Auger-Aliassime has won a total of 69% points on serve and 52% points on return.
Auger-Aliassime leads the head-to-head against Shelton by 1-0. Their only previous meeting was at Roland Garros 2024, where the American failed to make his presence felt on the challenging clay courts in Paris.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2024 Roland Garros | Round of 32 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 6-4 6-2 6-1 |
| Ben Shelton | Category | Felix Auger-Aliassime |
| 5 | Current Ranking | 8 |
| 111-75 | Career W-L Record | 263-170 |
| 40-22 | YTD W-L Record | 48-23 |
| 3 | Career Titles | 8 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 3 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
Based on the surface and recent form, everything points towards a tight win for Auger-Aliassime. His fierce groundstrokes are compounded by the fact that there is an extra zing from the court conditions. Shelton’s second serve success rate on hard courts could come back to haunt him, as the American fails to get out of trouble when his first serve does not click. If the match goes into a baseline duel, FAA is the firm favorite.
Prediction: Felix Auger-Aliassime in three sets.
Shelton has the odds in his favor when it comes to the pre-match betting market against Auger-Aliassime at the Nitto ATP Finals 2025. According to the implied probability on the money line, the American has a 79% chance of winning on Wednesday. Take a look at the odds for the match result as well as set-wise betting (as per BetMGM):
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
(Image Credits: Susan Mullane, Imagn Images)
