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Ben Shelton vs. Andrey Rublev Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for ATP Paris Masters 2025 Round of 16

Rudra Dubey

Shelton aims to continue breakout season as Rublev seeks redemption in Paris

Fifth seed Ben Shelton is set to face 12th seed Andrey Rublev in the third round of the Paris Masters 2025. Shelton received a first-round bye and defeated Flavio Coboli in straight sets, while Rublev cruised past qualifier Jacob Fearnley and Learner Tien without dropping a set. World No. 7 Shelton has enjoyed a strong season, reaching a career-high ranking of No. 6 in August. 

Considering a few early exits and a US Open retirement due to a left shoulder injury, the 23-year-old has been one of the tour’s most explosive performers. He claimed his third career title in Toronto, beating Karen Khachanov in three sets. He also reached the Munich final, the semifinals in Stuttgart and Washington, and the quarterfinals in Indian Wells and Cincinnati. Shelton has fired 562 aces this season, winning 75% of first-serve points, 27% of return points, and converting 41% of 317 break points.

Rublev has had a mixed year with moments of brilliance. The Russian captured his 17th career title in Doha by defeating Jack Draper and reached another final in Hamburg before losing to Flavio Cobolli. He also made semifinal runs in Open Occitanie and Mifel and quarterfinal runs in Rotterdam, Toronto, and Cincinnati. While consistency has eluded him, Rublev has still managed several solid Slam showings, reaching the fourth round multiple times. Statistically, he has produced 462 aces, winning 77% of first-serve points, 29% of return points, and converting 36% of 402 break points.

Ben Shelton vs. Andrey Rublev Head-to-Head Record

Ben Shelton leads 1-0 in his head-to-head against Andrey Rublev. Their only meeting came at the 2024 Basel Open, where the American prevailed in three hard-fought sets.

YearEventRoundWinnerScore
2024BaselQuarterfinalBen Shelton7-5, 6-7(3), 6-4

Ben Shelton vs. Andrey Rublev Comparison 

Ben SheltonCategoryAndrey Rublev
7Current Ranking17
109-73Career W-L367-208
38-20YTD W-L32-24
3Career Titles17
0Grand Slams0
1YTD Titles1

Ben Shelton vs. Andrey Rublev Prediction

Shelton may be tested early by Rublev’s rhythm and consistency, particularly in long rallies. However, the American’s energy and clutch serving indoors tip the scales in his favor. 

Prediction: Ben Shelton in straight sets

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Ben Shelton vs. Andrey Rublev Paris Masters 2025 Betting Odds

Ben Shelton (-138) enters as a slight favorite, backed by his recent indoor form and booming serve. Andrey Rublev (+115) has the experience and baseline firepower to threaten, but Shelton’s aggressive first-strike tennis should give him the edge.

Here are the betting odds according to FanDuel:

Ben Shelton: -138

Andrey Rublev: +115

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via FanDuel): 

Set 1 Winner Shelton: -126

Set 1 Winner Rublev: +102

(According to FanDuel: FanDuel offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Image Credit: Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.

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