Aryna Sabalenka vs. Victoria Mboko Prediction, Odds and Best Bets (Australian Open 2026, Round of 16, January 25)

Stats & odds for Sabalenka’s first career meeting vs Mboko.

The world’s best will be challenged by the rising star, as Aryna Sabalenka and Victoria Mboko lock horns in the Australian Open 2026 Round of 16 on Sunday. Sabalenka survived a minor scare in her previous encounter, and has another mammoth obstacle to overcome in the form of the 19-year-old. For the Canadian prodigy, an opportunity to enter her first Grand Slam quarterfinal potentially awaits. Let’s take a look at the stats and odds ahead of this highly anticipated contest on Rod Laver Arena.

After winning two more today, Aryna Sabalenka has now won 19 consecutive tie-breaks in Grand Slams 🙌

When the pressure is on, Aryna delivers 😎 pic.twitter.com/9aLQn7m8Ul
— TNT Sports (@tntsports) January 23, 2026

Sabalenka opened her account with two dominant victories over Rakotomanga Rajaonah and Bai. In Round-3, she needed two tiebreakers to overcome Potapova. The Belarusian top seed won the Brisbane International 2026 before coming over to Melbourne, winning 91% service games in the process. Mboko also reached the final in Adelaide, but fell short against Andreeva. Nonetheless, the No. 17 seed has proven her mettle by thrashing Jones, McNally and Tauson to reach the pre-quarterfinals.

Mboko meeting milestones in Melbourne! pic.twitter.com/ETtsntPpNg
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) January 23, 2026

According to the tennis betting odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the favorite to win this match with -590 odds on BetMGM. Victoria Mboko follows up with +440 odds on the BetMGM moneyline. Here’s how we are betting on the tigress vs the challenger in this Australian Open 2026 Round of 16, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.

Tournament & Round: Australian Open 2026, Round of 16
Surface: Outdoor Hard Court
Format: Women’s Singles, Best of Three Sets
Date & Start Time: January 25, 11:30 AM Local
Court: Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne
Best Bet: Victoria Mboko +4.5 Games @ +138 as per BetMGM

Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko Betting Odds

Given below are the latest odds for Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.

Market	BetMGM	FanDuel
Moneyline	Sabalenka (-590), Mboko (+440)	Sabalenka (-720), Mboko (+500)
Game Handicap	Sabalenka -5.5 (+107), Mboko +5.5 (-134)	Sabalenka -5.5 (-110), Mboko +5.5 (-122)
Total Games	>19.5 (-124), <19.5 (+100)	>19.5 (-126), <19.5 (-108)
Set Betting	Sabalenka 2-0 (-195)	Sabalenka 2-0 (-190)

Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko Predictions & Picks

Our Pick: Victoria Mboko +4.5 Games at +138

Whenever players can neutralize the pace of Sabalenka and counter her attacks, they tend to take the game deep. This was seen against the likes of Keys, Anisimova, Ostapenko and even Raducanu in 2025. While Mboko is another talent who does not think twice before going for her shots, her ability to find the corners under pressure is second to none. If the teenager can find a first serve percentage higher than her 2026 average of 64%, there will be openings for her.

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The first set will be crucial if Mboko wishes to knock out the two-time Australian Open champ. Sabalenka raises her level as the match goes on, and is a strong favorite to win the second set. The Canadian Open will have to find a way of stealing points on her second serve – which has garnered just 45% points prior to Melbourne Park and 65% this week. Fans can expect a hard-fought two or three set victory for the World No. 1 with not much to separate the two starlets.

Aryna Sabalenka Recent Form

Brisbane International 2026: Winner
WTA Finals 2025: Final
Wuhan Open 2025: Semifinal
US Open 2025: Winner
Cincinnati Open 2025: Quarterfinal

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Victoria Mboko Recent Form

Adelaide International 2026: Final
United Cup 2026: Round Robin
Hong Kong Tennis Open 2025: Winner
Pan Pacific Open 2025: Quarterfinal
Ningbo Open 2025: Round of 32

Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko Head to Head Record

Aryna Sabalenka and Victoria Mboko will face each other in the Australian Open Round of 16.

This will be their first meeting.

The world #1 vs one of the most talented young players in tennis.

Who wins? pic.twitter.com/xp9HCeVp69
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) January 23, 2026

The head-to-head between Sabalenka and Mboko is 0-0. The Australian Open 2026 encounter will be their first meeting on the WTA Tour.

How to Watch Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko at the Australian Open 2026?

The Australian Open 2026 can be viewed live on a variety of streaming platforms and TV channels across the world. This includes Tennis Channel, Stan Sport, ESPN International, TSN, beIN Sports, SuperSport, Canal+, Sony Sports, Eurosport and TNT Sports – depending on where you are watching from.

Date	January 25, 2026
Time	11:30 AM Local
Tournament	Australian Open 2026, Round of 16
Surface	Outdoor Hard Court
Court	Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne
TV/Streaming	Tennis Channel, Stan Sport, ESPN International, TSN, beIN Sports, SuperSport, Canal+, Sony Sports, Eurosport, TNT Sports

(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.