Jun 6 2023; Paris,France; Aryna Sabalenka celebrates winning her match against Elina Svitolina (UKR) on day 10 at Stade Roland-Garros.

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Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marta Kostyuk Head to Head Record, Preview and Prediction for WTA Madrid Open 2025 Quarterfinal

Kostyuk once stated she “does not respect” Sabalenka in 2023.

Jun 6 2023; Paris,France; Aryna Sabalenka celebrates winning her match against Elina Svitolina (UKR) on day 10 at Stade Roland-Garros.

Around 24 hours after her Round of 16 triumph, World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka returns to Manolo Santana Stadium for her Madrid Open quarterfinal on Wednesday. The Belarusian powerhouse faces Ukraine’s Marta Kostyuk in a high stakes, high reward encounter. Kostyuk is seeded No. 24 at the tournament, and comes into the match with great momentum. Can she stop the unstoppable force?

With three consecutive finals appearances to her name across her last three tournaments, Aryna Sabalenka is looking to make it 4/4 at the Spanish capital. The 26-year-old also reached the final at the Australian Open earlier this year, losing to Madison Keys. Finishing as the runner-up in Madrid last year, Sabalenka will be desperate to regain her lost crown – she was the champion here in 2023. She beat Blinkova, Mertens and Stearns to make it to the quarterfinals.

A former Top-20 player, Marta Kostyuk has dropped to No. 36 in the world rankings. The Grand Slam and Olympics quarterfinalist is having a par 2025 outing – a win over Sabalenka will result in her maiden semifinal entrance of the season. Kostyuk has a 11-9 record this year, but doesn’t have a positive history against her three-time Grand Slam winning opponent. The 22-year-old overcame multiple hurdles in the form of Raducanu, Kudermetova and Potapova to book her spot in the last eight.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Head to Head Record

Aryna Sabalenka has a 2-0 head to head record against Marta Kostyuk thus far. Wednesday’s quarterfinal will be their second meeting on clay.

The fact that Sabalenka is yet to drop a set against Kostyuk is testament to her power and dominance. In their first even face-off, the reigning US Open champion was the top seed in Dubai. Coming up against Kostyuk in the Round of 32, she was ruthless from the baseline. In the return fixture at the 2023 Roland Garros Championships, No. 2 seed Sabalenka won convincingly yet again.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2023 Roland Garros	Round of 128	Aryna Sabalenka	6-3 6-2
2022 Dubai	Round of 32	Aryna Sabalenka	6-4 6-1

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Titles Comparison

Aryna Sabalenka	Category	Marta Kostyuk
3	Grand Slams	0
19	WTA Singles Titles	1
6	WTA Doubles Titles	2
8	WTA-1000 Titles	0
R2 (Tokyo 2020)	Olympics Best Performance	QF (Paris 2024)
No. 1	Current World Ranking	No. 36

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Madrid Open 2025 Prediction

Sabalenka was stingy 😤

Aryna saves 12/13 break points to reach the #MMOpen QF. pic.twitter.com/kJyMkSMRJS
— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) April 29, 2025

In their last meeting on clay, Sabalenka showcased why she is among the best clay courters in the world. The top seed will attack the Kostyuk serve, and target her backhand wing. Meanwhile, the Ukrainian will have to go for her shots and attempt to dictate rallies from the back of the court. Considering their strong baseline game, don’t be surprised if either player attempts some drop shots to change the rhythm and pace.

Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka in straight sets.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Madrid Open 2025 Betting Odds

Aryna Sabalenka Win: 2/9

Marta Kostyuk Win: 4/1

Aryna Sabalenka

Betting

Iga Swiatek

Madrid Open

Marta Kostyuk

Tennis

WTA

WTA 1000

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.